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51 degrees with light rain. As ugly as it gets for May. The only positive is the lettuce plants love this weather, lol. 

We're probably going to get stuck in the 50s again on Sunday. Awful. Looking forward to getting back to the 70s on Monday. Hopefully Sunday will be our last chilly day of the season. 

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55 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

51 degrees with light rain. As ugly as it gets for May. The only positive is the lettuce plants love this weather, lol. 

We're probably going to get stuck in the 50s again on Sunday. Awful. Looking forward to getting back to the 70s on Monday. Hopefully Sunday will be our last chilly day of the season. 

Saturday will be absolutely amazing with clear skies, I hope we get to see the northern lights!

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10 minutes ago, HailMan06 said:

If you think Florida’s insurance crisis is bad now just wait for what happens after a major hurricane hits a major population center.

The problem is so many people live in coastal areas in Florida. Take that increase in population and the increase cost of inflation and it is no wonder insurance costs have increased dramatically in Florida.

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Plenty of low pressure around on the ensembles over the next 10 days. So a continuation of rain chances every several days. The warmest days that are drier look like 70s to perhaps around 80°for the usual warm spots. But no 90° heat showing up yet like we got through the first 10 days of May. It’s same the back and forth pattern that began around March 20th. 
 

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326E421B-EA04-44C1-99B5-612DF869604E.thumb.png.c052b378f6f1b26a6ca191a9fe715a85.png

 

 

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Sun trying to peek out here. Funny how this back door pattern is so entrenched that dry air/confluence is actually pushing in from the east and eating up the rain like we sometimes see in winter. Eastern New England actually had a nice day because of the confluence. 

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A mainly dry but still cool weekend lies ahead. Tomorrow will be mainly fair and milder with readings topping out in the lower and middle 60s. Sunday should be mainly cloudy with some scattered showers and somewhat cooler readings in the upper 50s and lower 60s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around May 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.85°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is fading. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring.

The SOI was -13.00 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.202 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 58% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.0° (0.8° above normal).

 

 

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On 5/8/2024 at 3:06 PM, winterwx21 said:

Temps won't overperform in our area Friday with rain and ENE winds. 

 

On 5/8/2024 at 3:16 PM, LibertyBell said:

It's almost impossible not to hit 50 this time of year.

So I'll go with climatology and say we will at least get into the 50s.

 

 

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