Brian5671 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: after Sunday it will be warm and dry again Not really if you look at models for next week...it's a 7 day stretch of mostly garbage 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Just now, Brian5671 said: Not really if you look at models for next week...it's a 7 day stretch of mostly garbage I was looking at the 7 day and it looked like partly sunny Monday - Wednesday. Our pattern seems to be nice the first 2-3 days of the week and wet and cool for the second half of each week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I was looking at the 7 day and it looked like partly sunny Monday - Wednesday. Our pattern seems to be nice the first 2-3 days of the week and wet and cool for the second half of each week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: yup looks like the rain comes back after the beginning of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 13 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I dont believe it, temps usually overperform Temps won't overperform in our area Friday with rain and ENE winds. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 9 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Temps won't overperform in our area Friday with rain and ENE winds. It's almost impossible not to hit 50 this time of year. So I'll go with climatology and say we will at least get into the 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 8 Author Share Posted May 8 10 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: It's almost impossible not to hit 50 this time of year. So I'll go with climatology and say we will at least get into the 50s. Sure for the high but if raining it could be stuck in the upper 40s during that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 15 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Sure for the high but if raining it could be stuck in the upper 40s during that time Agreed. Some models are sagging the rain a bit south Friday so if it's just cloudy we'd be in the 50's. Hard to imagine after the last 3 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 41 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: It's almost impossible not to hit 50 this time of year. So I'll go with climatology and say we will at least get into the 50s. Yeah low-mid 50s for highs. I don't think anyone believes we'll stay in the 40s Friday. When I said temps won't overperform due to ENE winds and rain, I meant it will get stuck in the low-mid 50s similar to what happened on Sunday. Temps are likely to be at or slightly lower than the current forecast Friday, just like they usually go higher than forecast on sunny days with offshore winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Storms over western MA visible from the LIE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah low-mid 50s for highs. I don't think anyone believes we'll stay in the 40s Friday. When I said temps won't overperform due to ENE winds and rain, I meant it will get stuck in the low-mid 50s similar to what happened on Sunday. Temps are likely to be at or slightly lower than the current forecast Friday, just like they usually go higher than forecast on sunny days with offshore winds. It was 52 here last Sunday, I think it will probably be about the same as that. Man, that day sucked lol. Windy to boot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Why is the wind coming out of the south here? I noticed it's westerly over NJ, typically with a strong west wind it pushes all the marine air offshore and the west wind makes it to the coast after a frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 8 Author Share Posted May 8 18 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah low-mid 50s for highs. I don't think anyone believes we'll stay in the 40s Friday. When I said temps won't overperform due to ENE winds and rain, I meant it will get stuck in the low-mid 50s similar to what happened on Sunday. Temps are likely to be at or slightly lower than the current forecast Friday, just like they usually go higher than forecast on sunny days with offshore winds. I think it was 2008 or 09 we had a rainy day in the 40s in mid may but probably had an early high in the 50s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Up to 88 here for high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 49 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Agreed. Some models are sagging the rain a bit south Friday so if it's just cloudy we'd be in the 50's. Hard to imagine after the last 3 days! Dragging south as in it misses entirely? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 75 here, nice afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 85 right now. Most temps seem to be from 84-87 throughout a lot of the area in NJ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Another shot of cooler air will begin to arrive tomorrow. The chill won't be exceptional for the season. However, Friday could be mainly cloudy with highs only in the 50s in much of the region. Some showers are possible. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around May 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.85°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is fading. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring. The SOI was +12.12 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.368 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 57% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.2° (1.0° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 My temperature has risen to 78.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Balmy early May evening. I'm still at 73. Feels like summer. I'm not looking forward to the return to raw and cold. It's the month when both the AC and heat will run, sometimes within 48 hours of one another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 29 minutes ago, lee59 said: My temperature has risen to 78.5 Looks like once the westerly wind kicked up this evening, you guys rocketed up. Parts of eastern NJ are still in the low 80s at this hour, in early May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 2 minutes ago, Picard said: Balmy early May evening. I'm still at 73. Feels like summer. I'm not looking forward to the return to raw and cold. It's the month when both the AC and heat will run, sometimes within 48 hours of one another. Been a lot of back and forth lately with AC vs. heat (heat especially in the mornings) It is warm out tonight. Still 70 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 22 minutes ago, Picard said: Looks like once the westerly wind kicked up this evening, you guys rocketed up. Parts of eastern NJ are still in the low 80s at this hour, in early May. Still 77 here with nice breeze, first evening that actually feels like summer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 9 Author Share Posted May 9 33 minutes ago, Picard said: Balmy early May evening. I'm still at 73. Feels like summer. I'm not looking forward to the return to raw and cold. It's the month when both the AC and heat will run, sometimes within 48 hours of one another. We may salvage a decent day tomorrow at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 High for the day was 87 here. Current temp 73 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Just got home from Knicks game. Feels like a summer night 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 6 hours ago, psv88 said: Just got home from Knicks game. Feels like a summer night The Garden was rocking 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 9 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: We may salvage a decent day tomorrow at least Today looks decent. Even tomorrow rain north and east of the city could be limited. Euro however is wet for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Too bad we couldn’t get southward corrections like this during the winter. New run Old run 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: Too bad we couldn’t get southward corrections like this during the winter. New run Old run Yup, going to be rainy tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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