Rtd208 Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: https://twitter.com/iembot_okx/status/1794090100084863464?t=0u3Mip7waqpFhXkqarwZeA&s=19 They definitely shifted the slight risk a bit east from this mornings update. It wouldn’t surprise me if the remainder of NE NJ and the city get into the slight risk for excessive rainfall in future updates. We’ll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 cool 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: wasn't last May much warmer and drier than this one though? This May is a little warmer so far at +1.0 in NYC vs -0.5 last year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 24 Author Share Posted May 24 30 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: They definitely shifted the slight risk a bit east from this mornings update. It wouldn’t surprise me if the remainder of NE NJ and the city get into the slight risk for excessive rainfall in future updates. We’ll see. Nam holds off the precip until evening which would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 A warm weekend lies ahead. Temperatures will top out mainly in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Temperatures will generally remain near or somewhat above normal through the remainder of May. A general 0.50"-1.00" rainfall with locally higher amounts is likely on Memorial Day. The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around May 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.57°C. Neutral conditions are imminent. The SOI was -0.98 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.277 today. On May 22 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 1.691 (RMM). The May 21-adjusted amplitude was 1.743 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 93% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 65.0° (1.8° above normal). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 Beautiful day! First part of Memorial Day might be okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 24 Share Posted May 24 Btw. Today was gorgeous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 3 hours ago, bluewave said: This May is a little warmer so far at +1.0 in NYC vs -0.5 last year. Why does last year's May seem so much warmer? More 80+ days maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: Btw. Today was gorgeous It was the perfect day-- it hit 87 here at 4 PM low humidity and zero absolutely clouds! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: cool hmmm I wonder when the earliest 70 degree low was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 88 out here today. Incredible day on the sound on the boat. Water was flat with light winds. Clean bottom for the boat up to 40 mph. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 Beautiful night I'm currently wearing my tank top 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 Highs: EWR: 88 PHL: 88 New Brnswck: 86 BLM: 86 ACY: 86 LGA: 86 TEB: 86 TTN: 85 JFK: 85 ISP: 84 NYC: 84 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 Models have scattered showers tonight or early Sunday. So we have a shot at having at least a trace of rain on every weekend this spring. I wonder if this has happened before? Newark May 18-19…..0.04 May 11-12…0.38 May 4-5…..0.31 Apr 27-28…0.11 Apr 20-21…0.05 Apr 13-14…0.04 Apr 6-7…….T Mar 30-31…0.01 Mar 23-24….3.10 Mar 16-17…..T Mar 9-10….1.46 Mar 2-3…..1.31 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 Friday was a top 5 day of 2024 if not listed as the top when all is said and done 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 Warming up pretty quickly this morning. Current temp 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 Wearing shorts for the first time today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Wearing shorts for the first time today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 73/51 easterly wind component at my station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 75 and partly sunny day going for the 5th straight 80(+) day. Upepr 70s low 80s for most. Some scattered showers but overall dry and quite nice. Sunday more of the same partly sunny low 80s for most. Memorial southerly flow pushes humidity / and trough pushes is clouds then rounds of heavy showers and rain byt he afternoon. Beyond Memorial day , to close the month, trough into the NE, near normal / slightly below (coolest on Wed/Thu). GFS drier this coming week. A wild goose chase for any heat or heatwave through the first 8 days of next month (next 2 weeks) as troughs will have a tendency to linger near the northeast or cut off along the east coast. Not a cool pattern but could turn wet and cut off any heat. Ridging into the second third of the month seem the progression. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 Next two weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 58 minutes ago, weathermedic said: 73/51 easterly wind component at my station 75 ENE here. Great day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 Through May 25th EWR: +2.6 JFK: +1.8 NYC: +1.5 TTN: +1.0 LGA: +0.6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 13 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Why does last year's May seem so much warmer? More 80+ days maybe? Similar # of 80 degree days vs last May - less clouds and raw days last year, but overall a touch warmer this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 We'll see if that heavier 1.75+ pushes east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 2 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Similar # of 80 degree days vs last May - less clouds and raw days last year, but overall a touch warmer this year Maybe we can make up for the cloudiness with a nice stretch now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 12 hours ago, psv88 said: 88 out here today. Incredible day on the sound on the boat. Water was flat with light winds. Clean bottom for the boat up to 40 mph. Yesterday completely rocked, it will be difficult to have anything top it this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 9 hours ago, SACRUS said: Highs: EWR: 88 PHL: 88 New Brnswck: 86 BLM: 86 ACY: 86 LGA: 86 TEB: 86 TTN: 85 JFK: 85 ISP: 84 NYC: 84 87 here with low dewpoints and low humidity it's hard to get any better than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Wearing shorts for the first time today Not yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 25 Share Posted May 25 13 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Through May 25th EWR: +2.6 JFK: +1.8 NYC: +1.5 TTN: +1.0 LGA: +0.6 Yeah, the warmer minimums are driving the departures again with the onshore flow keeping the high departures smaller than the lows. EWR Max…+2.1 Min….+3.3 LGA Max….-0.1 Min….+1.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now