bluewave Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 12:10 PM, LibertyBell said: Is it possible for it to become south based during the summer too? Expand We got a south based blocking pattern in the summer of 2020 which was really wet so it held the 90° days down at Newark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 12:24 PM, bluewave said: We got a south based blocking pattern in the summer of 2020 which was really wet so it held the 90° days down at Newark. Expand it really sounds like the reason this block is bad is because it's ocean based. Because the waters are warmer than air temps in the winter and cooler than air temps in the spring and summer, it has the effect of smoothing out our extremes and making our winters warmer and our springs and summers cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 12:29 PM, LibertyBell said: it really sounds like the reason this block is bad is because it's ocean based. Because the waters are warmer than air temps in the winter and cooler than air temps in the spring and summer, it has the effect of smoothing out our extremes and making our winters warmer and our springs and summers cooler. Expand Yeah, it’s probably related in some way to the many marine heatwaves across the planet right now. The Euro shifts back to cooler and wetter again from Memorial Day into the start of June. So no pattern change showing up just yet. May 27 to June 3 EPS forecast 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 anyone feeling a little dizzy due to the very warm temps this morning or is it only me? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 12:56 PM, nycwinter said: anyone feeling a little dizzy due to the very warm temps this morning or is it only me? Expand get your blood sugar and blood pressure checked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 12:34 PM, bluewave said: Yeah, it’s probably related in some way to the many marine heatwaves across the planet right now. The Euro shifts back to cooler and wetter again from Memorial Day into the start of June. So no pattern change showing up just yet. May 27 to June 3 EPS forecast Expand This is why to get any kind of consistent snowfall in the winter or heat in the summer you have to move away from the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 1:47 PM, LibertyBell said: get your blood sugar and blood pressure checked Expand It's not that hot yet. Heat really wipes me out, but okay so far. It's been a dry heat, so far, so not so bad. Old people are supposed to like the heat, but not me. I melt. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 1:45 AM, Stormlover74 said: Let's see if we get bumped up to slight Expand I don't like how early the timing is for tomorrow. I would think areas to the south and east would be favored due to that, but I hope we get something decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 22, 2024 Author Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 2:29 PM, winterwx21 said: I don't like how early the timing is for tomorrow. I would think areas to the south and east would be favored due to that, but I hope we get something decent. Expand I thought it was coming later in the day or at night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 2:31 PM, Stormlover74 said: I thought it was coming later in the day or at night? Expand A lot of the models have been showing the action around midday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 2:31 PM, Stormlover74 said: I thought it was coming later in the day or at night? Expand On 3km NAM and HRRR the storms get going in the morning. Doesn't mean we won't get a decent storm, but I'm usually more confident when the timing is for later in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 22, 2024 Author Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 2:44 PM, winterwx21 said: On 3km NAM and HRRR the storms get going in the morning. Doesn't mean we won't get a decent storm, but I'm usually more confident when the timing is for later in the day. Expand Yeah it kinda looked like there were 2 rounds but morning convection usually ruins our chances for later in the day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 I'd much rather the morning convection than risk the afternoon sea breeze choking everything off 10 miles from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 2:54 PM, Stormlover74 said: Yeah it kinda looked like there were 2 rounds but morning convection usually ruins our chances for later in the day Expand yeah stick a fork in it if there's clouds/morning garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 2:54 PM, Stormlover74 said: Yeah it kinda looked like there were 2 rounds but morning convection usually ruins our chances for later in the day Expand I see 12z RGEM does hit our area pretty good around midday and early afternoon. We hope! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 2:59 PM, winterwx21 said: I see 12z RGEM does hit our area pretty good around midday and early afternoon. We hope! Expand Have my daughter’s school fishing trip tomorrow. Hoping for no rain… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 12:56 PM, nycwinter said: anyone feeling a little dizzy due to the very warm temps this morning or is it only me? Expand You need help 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 83 already. Cooking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 Current temp 83/DP 66/RH 57% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 12:56 PM, nycwinter said: anyone feeling a little dizzy due to the very warm temps this morning or is it only me? Expand You may need to take off your jacket and gloves… 2 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 3:15 PM, JetsPens87 said: You need help Expand Got to be some sort of trolling routine.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 3:35 PM, Brian5671 said: Got to be some sort of trolling routine.... Expand I was gonna say the same thing. It seems like an act to me. He's probably laughing when he types that crazy stuff. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 Up up we go 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 i wish the weather was like this everyday from march 1st until november 1st. then boom immediate fall and winter, repeat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 22, 2024 Author Share Posted May 22, 2024 Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 1:50 PM, LibertyBell said: This is why to get any kind of consistent snowfall in the winter or heat in the summer you have to move away from the coast. Expand We would be closer to 100° rather than 90° if the historic heat dome over Mexico didn’t get suppressed to our south across Florida. https://x.com/OSUWXGUY/status/1792912484979835203 Sweltering heat looks to continue across Mexico with the ECMWF ensemble mean showing mid level height anomalies as high as 4.7 STD DEV above the climate of just the past 20 years. Suggests a probability of ~1 in 769K 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 I'm already sweating. This weather is atrocious I don't mind 50s and 60s though 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 3:15 PM, JetsPens87 said: You need help Expand I've felt very dizzy in humid heat before but this is nothing like that. I remember a day in July 1996 which was a summer with almost no 90 degree days, but we had a lot of very humid days with temps in the 80s, I felt extremely light headed on an overcast day with a temperature of 80 and a dew point of 80 (100% humidity.) That's the lowest actual temp that ever happened to me. Interestingly I have never had this issue when it was sunny no matter how high the temperature was, it's only when it's cloudy and extremely humid that I've ever felt light headed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 Up to 85 / 64 plenty of mid / upper 80s today. We'll see if anyone can touch 90. Showers/storms (clouds) tomorrow but still warm. Dries out Fri (5/24) and much of Sat (5/25). Still a bit iffy on timing of showers and rain chances this 3 day weekend between late Sat - Sun (5/26) and/or later Sun and Memorial day (5/27). Beyond there 5/28 - 5/30 trough into the east and overall near normal with brief warmup 5/31 with trough to open next month and a cooler first 5 days looking longer range. Beyond there height rise towards the 6th / warmer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted May 22, 2024 Share Posted May 22, 2024 On 5/22/2024 at 3:35 PM, Brian5671 said: Got to be some sort of trolling routine.... Expand On 5/22/2024 at 3:37 PM, winterwx21 said: I was gonna say the same thing. It seems like an act to me. He's probably laughing when he types that crazy stuff. Expand Him and Anthony are two of the biggest known trolls when it comes to this weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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