Rtd208 Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 Nice day out there. Current temp is 76 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Well then move to Miami. 115F HI the subtropical ridges are only getting bigger 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 1 hour ago, Rtd208 said: Nice day out there. Current temp is 76 here. 74 with a dewpoint of 55 tolerable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 5 hours ago, bluewave said: While it’s too early to do a rainfall or clouds potential forecast for Memorial Day, looks like we could see more onshore flow with high pressure anchored east of New England. That second map especially looks like garbage for us. Hopefully it's wrong. I agree that midweek should be warm if we can get a westerly flow of some kind finally. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: That second map especially looks like garbage for us. Hopefully it's wrong. I agree that midweek should be warm if we can get a westerly flow of some kind finally. Yeah, temperatures should peak midweek before the cold front arrives. Places like Newark could reach 90° if the flow goes more SSW instead of the current SSE forecast with the slight bend in the streamlines. Best bet to reach 90° is probably in Central NJ away from the sea breeze. Plus areas from Albany to New Hampshire could reach 90° since sea breezes won’t be an issue there. Even your area on the North Shore could get into the 80s. Looks like a step down in temperatures as the stronger onshore flow returns by Memorial Day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: the subtropical ridges are only getting bigger If there's no hurricanes or flooding, severe storms then it's as useless as dry cold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 36 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: If there's no hurricanes or flooding, severe storms then it's as useless as dry cold Yep 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 19 Author Share Posted May 19 Gorgeous out now. Cleared out completely. 75 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 72 in the city 53 in boston.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 A warming trend is getting underway. The warmth will crest with temperatures peaking in the lower and perhaps middle 80s during the middle of the week. Beyond that, temperatures will generally remain near or somewhat above normal through the remainder of May. The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.3°C for the week centered around May 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.73°C. Neutral conditions are developing. The SOI was +5.99 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.223 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.3° (1.1° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 19 Share Posted May 19 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Yeah, temperatures should peak midweek before the cold front arrives. Places like Newark could reach 90° if the flow goes more SSW instead of the current SSE forecast with the slight bend in the streamlines. Best bet to reach 90° is probably in Central NJ away from the sea breeze. Plus areas from Albany to New Hampshire could reach 90° since sea breezes won’t be an issue there. Even your area on the North Shore could get into the 80s. Looks like a step down in temperatures as the stronger onshore flow returns by Memorial Day. I don’t think 80s will be an issue here as long as there’s some westerly component to the wind. The barrier beaches of course are another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 It feels like forever ago when it was as nice as it was today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Despite all the bitching and moaning about clouds, rain and cool weather, May will still end up being above normal lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 20 Author Share Posted May 20 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Despite all the bitching and moaning about clouds, rain and cool weather, May will still end up being above normal lol And below average precip at ewr unless we get a deluge in the final week. But doesn't tell the whole story with clouds so much of the time and measurable precip half the days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Looks like the holiday weekend will be better on Saturday then Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Nasty storm headed into OKC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Now it's a PDS tornado warning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 12 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Despite all the bitching and moaning about clouds, rain and cool weather, May will still end up being above normal lol Above normal is basically normal these days...LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Anniversary of the warmest spring day on record around NYC Metro back in 1996. Deep WNW flow all the way out to Islip ahead of the sea breeze front. This was back in the days before these onshore flow patterns with high pressure east of New England began increasing. It’s ironic that our warmest spring day on record nearly reaching 100° occurred after the greatest winter on record for snow lovers. We also had one of our coolest summers after that. It was the last year with under 10 days reaching 90° at Newark. Data for May 20, 1996 through May 20, 1996Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 99 NY MINEOLA 1 NE COOP 99 NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 98 CT NORWICH PUBLIC UTILITY PLANT COOP 98 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 97 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 97 NY MINEOLA COOP 97 CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 97 CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 97 NY PATCHOGUE 2 N COOP 97 NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 97 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 96 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 96 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 96 NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 96 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 95 NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 95 CT MOUNT CARMEL COOP 95 NY SETAUKET STRONG COOP 95 NY WEST POINT COOP 95 NY WEST NYACK COOP 95 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Mar through MayClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 1 1996 98 0 2 1987 95 0 - 1969 95 0 3 2002 94 0 4 2022 93 0 - 1986 93 0 5 2010 92 0 - 1992 92 0 - 1991 92 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 65 and some low clouds angled NE - SE on a strong E/NE flow. SKies clear by noon for all. A very nice day mid 70s to near 80 in the warmer spots. Overall dry and warm week. Step up to the 80s Tue (5/21) - Fri (5/24), peaking Wed and Thu with upper 80s to near 90 in the warmer locations as 850 MB temperatures peak near 16 - 19C. Front comes through later Thu evening with the next shot at rain/storms before clearing and generally remaining war on Fri. The coming long Memorial Day weekend looks split with a warmer / drier Fri - Sat with the onshore flow returning Sun (5/26) with clouds and cooler and perhaps a cooler, wetter Memorial Day (5/27). Beyond there near normal overall to open next mont with trough pulling of of the east and heights rising towards the 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (1996) NYC: 96 (1996) LGA: 97 (1996) JFK: 95 (1996) Lows: EWR: 41 (2002) NYC: 43 (2002) LGA: 44 (2002) JFK: 42 (2002) Historical: 1894 - A record late snow of two to eight inches whitened parts of central and eastern Kentucky. Lexington KY received six inches of snow. (The Weather Channel) 1916 - A tornado struck the town of Codell, KS. A tornado struck the town on the same day the following year (1917), and a third tornado hit Cordell on May 20th in 1918. (The Weather Channel) 1957 - A tornado touched down to the southwest of Kansas City and traveled a distance of seventy-one miles cutting a swath of near total destruction through the southeastern suburbs of Ruskin Heights and Hickman Mills. The tornado claimed the lives of forty-five persons, and left hundreds homeless. It was the worst weather disaster of record for Kansas City. About all that remained of one house was a small table and a fish bowl atop, with the fish still swimming about inside the bowl, rather unconcerned. (The Kansas City Weather Almanac) 1987 - Thunderstorms in southern Texas produced grapefruit size hail, near the town of Dilley ("by dilly"), and produced wind gusts to 73 mph at Lake Amistad. The large hail broke windows, killed small animals, and damaged watermelon. Thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from Indiana to the Dakotas. Thunderstorms produced baseball size hail at Denver IA, and wind gusts to 80 mph in southern Henry County IL. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms in the south central U.S. produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Omaha, NE, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Midland and Dallas, TX. Temperatures in California soared into the 90s and above 100 degrees. San Jose CA reported a record high of 97 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Pre-dawn thunderstorms produced large hail in eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas. Later in the morning thunderstorms in North Carolina produced dime size hail at Hanging Dog. Thunderstorms also produced severe weather from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Central Plains Region later that day and night, with baseball size hail reported around Lawn, Novice and Eola TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across the southeastern quarter of the nation through the day and night. Severe thunderstorms spawned six tornadoes, including one which injured two persons at Algoma, MS, and another which injured nine persons at Rogersville, MO. There were 119 reports of large hail or damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced baseball size hail at Houston MO and damaging winds which killed one person at Toccoa GA. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Daylight 14H: 37M equivalent to July 22nd. Another 31 days of lengthening days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 In addition to the 90 degree heat, I think we have severe t-storm potential on Thursday. Nice that we have some interesting weather to look forward to this week after all the boring east wind weather we've had this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 35 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Daylight 14H: 37M equivalent to July 22nd. Another 31 days of lengthening days. Yes, another 31 days but the gain of daylight is subtle each day now. Only 15 minutes more of evening daylight gain before we reach latest sunset. We've almost dug out the hole and it will be time to start filling it back in again...so to speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Cleared out and winds more NNE coming around. Up to a sunny 70. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 43 minutes ago, MANDA said: Yes, another 31 days but the gain of daylight is subtle each day now. Only 15 minutes more of evening daylight gain before we reach latest sunset. We've almost dug out the hole and it will be time to start filling it back in again...so to speak. 5:30 to 8:10 here right now--we get to 5:23 and 8:30. Weird how it's not even on each end.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 44 minutes ago, MANDA said: Yes, another 31 days but the gain of daylight is subtle each day now. Only 15 minutes more of evening daylight gain before we reach latest sunset. We've almost dug out the hole and it will be time to start filling it back in again...so to speak. We'll gain a total of 29 mins between now and peak. Nice to see the sun minus the clouds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 Yesterday I was actually able to sit outside for a few hours under blue skies and warm temperatures, only the third time this year on a day I wasn't working. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 The weather is perfection this morning 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 20 Share Posted May 20 not liking this week at all... 1 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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