bluewave Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Where was that h5 setup in January? Haha I just hope for a nice Memorial Day Weekend this year. Nothing worst then when it rains on parades and picnics Absolutely. This would have been a nice pattern over the winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 16 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: You do realize people have different allergies right? Are we supposed to eliminate all the trees? Fruit trees cause allergies, pine trees cause allergies, cat dander cause allergies, mold spores, grass, etc. also the big increase in allergies is more so a product of us using non-native trees and plants. This is huge in cities where we bring in “urban specialist” trees that can survive in the harsher environments. Siphoning off water to space wouldn’t decrease precipitation. The issue is heat not the amount of water. The oceans have far more heat content in them than in the recent past which increases global humidity and this precipitation. Siphoning off water won’t change that. But it's more than just precipitation, it's also the matter of sea level rise, where will all this excess water go? Trust me on this, in a few decades, people will be thinking of places where all this excess water will need to go, because our coastal cities wont be inhabitable by then. About allergies my original solution was to merely find a way to get pollination to be reduced-- a way to population control for all plants. Pollination is a great thing, but excess of anything is terrible and this is a perfect example. If we had a way to limit pollination to what it's normally supposed to be, it would be much better for the environment and for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 16 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, the EPS forecast 500 mb pattern through day 15 doesn’t look like it will produce any 90°heat around NYC the area. The warmest days with these teleconnections would probably be upper 70s to low 80s with numerous days cooler than that. So it looks like the strongest warmth this month will turn out to have been frontloaded unless we start seeing warmer changes near the end of the month in later runs. The higher latitude ridging and blocking appears to keep the Southeast ridge on hiatus for a while. why dont we get endless blocking in the winter anymore and what is it that's keeping this blocking in place-- is it the recent solar megastorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 8 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Where was that h5 setup in January? Haha I just hope for a nice Memorial Day Weekend this year. Nothing worst then when it rains on parades and picnics why dont we EVER get this in winter instead of now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX-PA Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 11 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Where was that h5 setup in January? Haha I just hope for a nice Memorial Day Weekend this year. Nothing worst then when it rains on parades and picnics I always compare Memorial day weekend with Thanksgiving..You get your warm ones and cold ones..But really the heat doesn't kick in till June. Or December for the cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 4 minutes ago, WX-PA said: I always compare Memorial day weekend with Thanksgiving..You get your warm ones and cold ones..But really the heat doesn't kick in till June. Or December for the cold. But for several years we have had this dirty pattern where it's rainy and mild in the winter and rainy and cold in the spring. Last year was a nice break during the springtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 At the request of my wife and kids, and as it is Mother’s Day, the heat has been reactivated as the internal temp dropped to 60. Currently 43, with rain, in Chester. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 11 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: At the request of my wife and kids, and as it is Mother’s Day, the heat has been reactivated as the internal temp dropped to 60. Currently 43, with rain, in Chester. Heat is on along with fireplace today. Nice November day 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 Latest GFS makes me wonder if there'll ever be westerly winds here again. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 15 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said: At the request of my wife and kids, and as it is Mother’s Day, the heat has been reactivated as the internal temp dropped to 60. Currently 43, with rain, in Chester. I mean I keep it on every day. May is supposed to be a "heating" month anyway. My solution is to keep the house heat off (it's been off since April ended) and just keep a space heater on in the room I use the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Latest GFS makes me wonder if there'll ever be westerly winds here again. No one has clearly stated what's causing this blocking pattern to last this long-- it never lasts this long during the winter. I'm wondering if there is a solar influence here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 31 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Latest GFS makes me wonder if there'll ever be westerly winds here again. Yeah, nice cold pool developed to our east with all the blocking since March 20th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: But it's more than just precipitation, it's also the matter of sea level rise, where will all this excess water go? Trust me on this, in a few decades, people will be thinking of places where all this excess water will need to go, because our coastal cities wont be inhabitable by then. About allergies my original solution was to merely find a way to get pollination to be reduced-- a way to population control for all plants. Pollination is a great thing, but excess of anything is terrible and this is a perfect example. If we had a way to limit pollination to what it's normally supposed to be, it would be much better for the environment and for us. It’s all part of the water cycle. We aren’t getting rid of the issue. I’m well aware of sea level rise as I’m and environmental scientist. As for pollination there is no “excess” in pollination. Wind pollinated plants don’t have the option to pinpoint where their pollen goes. Until wind pollinators grow penises they must make an abundance of pollen to even have a shot at successfully mating. Then we have a whole issue with insect pollinating plants losing their pollinators because of the non-target effects of pesticides. It really isn’t an easy solution to any of our problems. But blasting water to space is not a wise idea as it is a larger energy reserve than even all the fossil fuels on the planet. It stores so much heat. Lose that and we have huge issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 48 cloudy, misty, east wind. 50s, raw today. Much warmer Mon/Tue this week but Tue looks to go cloudy again with amore widespread rain later Tue night and Wed (5/15). THu/Fri drier and warmer pending on if any and how much clearing - 70s. Next weekend looks continued unsettled. Perhaps today's the coolest till the fall. Eventually these onshore flows (tendencies) come around, and timing that one looks like May 22 - 24 ish and beyond for an overall change to warmer, in time for the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 47 .40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 50 here with only .07 in the bucket so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 43 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: It’s all part of the water cycle. We aren’t getting rid of the issue. I’m well aware of sea level rise as I’m and environmental scientist. As for pollination there is no “excess” in pollination. Wind pollinated plants don’t have the option to pinpoint where their pollen goes. Until wind pollinators grow penises they must make an abundance of pollen to even have a shot at successfully mating. Then we have a whole issue with insect pollinating plants losing their pollinators because of the non-target effects of pesticides. It really isn’t an easy solution to any of our problems. But blasting water to space is not a wise idea as it is a larger energy reserve than even all the fossil fuels on the planet. It stores so much heat. Lose that and we have huge issues. https://www.cdc.gov/climateandhealth/effects/allergen.htm#:~:text=Climate change will potentially lead,that can affect our health. It's a serious problem with climate change and longer growing seasons... we've already seen this with a vastly longer growing season than we had a few decades ago. Not only does this cause "inconvenient" allergic symptoms it can make existing medical conditions much worse including asthma and lead to higher rates of hospitalization. Higher rainfall is also mentioned as a problem for people with asthma since it encourages the growth of mold indoors. And in general, mold is nothing to be trifled with, since it can be difficult to remove and quite lethal. Climate change will potentially lead to both higher pollen concentrations and longer pollen seasons, causing more people to suffer more health effects from pollen and other allergens. Pollen is an airborne allergen that can affect our health. Pollen grains are tiny “seeds” dispersed from flowering plants, trees, grass, and weeds. The amount and type of pollen in the air depends on the season and geographic region. Though pollen counts are typically higher during the warmer seasons, some plants pollinate year-round. Climate change will potentially lead to shifts in precipitation patterns, more frost-free days, warmer seasonal air temperatures, and more carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere. These changes can affect: when the pollen season starts and ends and how long it lasts each year, how much pollen plants create and how much is in the air, how pollen affects our health (the “allergenicity” of pollen), how much pollen we’re exposed to, and our risk of experiencing allergy symptoms. Pollen exposure can trigger various allergic reactions, including symptoms of hay fever. Hay fever, also known as allergic rhinitis, occurs when allergens like pollen enter your body and your immune system mistakenly identifies them as a threat. If you have allergic rhinitis, your body then responds to the allergen by releasing chemicals that can cause symptoms in the nose. Symptoms of allergic rhinitis can occur during certain seasons or year-round, depending on the allergen, and affect as many as 60 million people per year in the United States. Symptoms from allergic rhinitis include sneezing, runny nose, and congestion. Pollen exposure can also trigger symptoms of allergic conjunctivitis. Allergic conjunctivitis is the inflammation of the lining of the eye (conjunctiva) due to exposure to allergens like those in pollen. Allergic conjunctivitis is found in up to 30% of the general population and as many as 7 out of 10 of patients with allergic rhinitis. Symptoms from allergic conjunctivitis include red, watery, or itchy eyes. People with respiratory illnesses like asthma may be more sensitive to pollen. Exposure to pollen has been linked to asthma attacks and increases in hospital admissions for respiratory illness. Medical costs linked with pollen exceed $3 billion every year, with nearly half of those costs being linked to prescription medicine. Higher pollen concentrations and longer pollen seasons can also make you more sensitive to allergens. This can trigger asthma episodes in individuals with asthma and diminish productive work and school days. Extreme rainfall and rising temperatures also can contribute to indoor air quality problems. For example, they can cause the growth of mold indoors, which may lead to worsened respiratory conditions for people with asthma and/or mold allergies and heightened challenges in maintaining adequate asthma control. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 This spring turning into shit. Last September all over again! Rain every weekend. Awful 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 Interesting that Bayer did some of this research, not a fan of theirs at all, but the research is important. https://www.bayer.com/en/news-stories/the-pollen-problem A growing body of research shows that the warmer temperatures and higher atmospheric carbon dioxide levels caused by climate change are altering flowering seasons worldwide, lengthening pollen seasons and increasing the amount of pollen in the air in some parts of the world. Pollen seasons are now starting earlier and ending later, especially in the Northern Hemisphere. For example, one study found that between 1995 and 2011, warmer temperatures in the United States caused the pollen season to be 11 to 27 days longer. Those extra days could mean more pollen exposure, which is bad news for America’s 25 million hay fever sufferers as about 75% of them are allergic to ragweed, a common allergen. A longer growing season and increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere may be contributing to ragweed growing faster, producing more pollen per plant, and having a higher allergenic content. And a single ragweed plant produces about a billion grains of pollen per an average season, with each grain potentially carried up to 400 miles (644 km) by the wind. And it’s not just plants. Global warming may also aid the growth of trees that produce more allergenic pollen, such as oak and birch, over less allergenic species like pine. A study in Italy found that over a 27-year period as temperatures increased, the pollen seasons for allergenic trees like olive and cypress, started earlier, lasted longer and affected more people. Climate change could also impact other airborne allergens. A rise in carbon dioxide emissions could substantially worsen mold allergies. One laboratory test found that a common fungus grown in current carbon dioxide levels produced 8.5 times as much allergenic protein as those grown in pre-industrial carbon dioxide levels. A 2018 survey showed almost half of Tokyo’s population suffer from hay fever, compared with less than a third in 2008. The Rise of Allergies in Cities We are also becoming a more urban society, with around 68% of the world’s population predicted to live in towns and cities by 2050. As with increasing pollution along with other factors, the move towards more urban living in various countries has also coincided with a rise in the prevalence of airborne allergies. For example, in one African nation asthma and allergic rhinitis were found to be twice as prevalent in urban settings. A critical factor in causing this is air pollution. Atmospheric pollutants such as exhaust fumes have been found to have direct effects on the physical, chemical, and biological properties of pollen grains making them more allergenic. Air pollution also makes us more susceptible. When ground-level pollution levels are high, it takes much less pollen to trigger a pollen allergy. Urban landscapes also bring other problems. They create what are called heat islands, areas several degrees warmer than surrounding rural areas. In these, trees and plants can turn green earlier and stay green longer during the year and thereby produce more pollen. This is exacerbated by some misguided historical town planning. Many cities had planted male-only trees as they don’t produce the seeds, fruits or pods that can ‘litter’ the streets. They do, however, produce pollen and lots of it. And with little female trees to receive that pollen, city air and streets can become filled with pollen during hay fever season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 55 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: It’s all part of the water cycle. We aren’t getting rid of the issue. I’m well aware of sea level rise as I’m and environmental scientist. As for pollination there is no “excess” in pollination. Wind pollinated plants don’t have the option to pinpoint where their pollen goes. Until wind pollinators grow penises they must make an abundance of pollen to even have a shot at successfully mating. Then we have a whole issue with insect pollinating plants losing their pollinators because of the non-target effects of pesticides. It really isn’t an easy solution to any of our problems. But blasting water to space is not a wise idea as it is a larger energy reserve than even all the fossil fuels on the planet. It stores so much heat. Lose that and we have huge issues. It's interesting that you mentioned wind pollinators.... Bayer's research claims that we have an excess of "male" trees and that's the result of bad city planning. More of the same here: https://nypost.com/2023/04/19/too-many-male-trees-making-spring-allergy-season-hell-in-nyc/ When it comes to allergies, men are the “root” of the problem! An excess of obnoxious, pollen-spewing male trees are wreaking havoc on New Yorkers’ sinuses — worsening what experts predict will be a hellish spring allergy season this year. In a trend dubbed “botanical sexism,” urban planners planted more male trees in the Big Apple because they’re generally easier to maintain than females, which litter sidewalks with seeds and fruit, experts told The Post. “But males are actually much more prolific producers of pollen. It’s an aggravating factor for allergies,” said Dr. Sebastian Lighvani, of the Allergy Experts practice on the Upper East Side. “The concept of allergies wasn’t on the radar of planners when they planted so many males. So we’re stuck with a preponderance of them,” he said. Pollen from dioecious trees such as maples linger in the air longer and fail to fully absorb due to the city’s lack of leafy ladies, according to doctors and horticulturists. As the inconsiderate males spread their seed, it creates an itchy, sneezy nightmare for New Yorkers. https://www.cnn.com/2023/03/08/health/allergy-season-early-pollen-wellness-climate/index.html But these aren’t isolated trends. As the planet warms, researchers say allergy season is starting earlier and lasting longer. And a study from the journal Nature published last year found that pollen count is projected to increase by 200% by the end of the century if planet-warming pollution continues to rise. Climate Central, a nonprofit focused on climate news and research, recently analyzed how warmer temperatures have affected allergy season in 203 US cities since 1970. It found that on average, the growing season – the period between the last freeze in spring to the first freeze of fall – is lasting 16 days longer in the Southeast, 15 days longer in the Northeast and 14 days longer in the South. In the West, growing season is 27 days longer on average, Climate Central reported. Reno, Nevada, for example, has seen a shocking increase of 99 days. And a longer growing season means a longer allergy season. Mold allergens on the rise Plant pollen isn’t the only trigger of seasonal allergies. Mold, a type of fungi that reproduces with tiny airborne spores, can also be allergenic for some people and can exacerbate seasonal allergies, according to the report. While outdoor mold is not as well-studied as pollen, according to the report, one thing is clear: Warmer and wetter weather – conditions that many locations are seeing more of amid the climate crisis – is favorable for mold development. Allergy season will start much earlier than normal and be far more intense because of climate crisis, study suggests “With climate change, we’re seeing increases in warming in all seasons, but particularly the fastest warming season for most locations across the US is the winter season,” Casey said. “So now we’re dealing with mold at a time of year that we typically wouldn’t.” Casey also pointed out that the climate crisis is making extreme precipitation more likely, which provides that crucial dampness for mold to grow. The report highlights the link between allergens and thunderstorms, which researchers say spread pollen and mold spores through the air more efficiently. “The problem with pollen grains is that when they get wet, they rupture, and they break into tinier bits called sub-pollen particles,” Casey said. “Those tinier bits are more easily dispersed by the wind when they dry out, and they have an easier time getting into your nasal passages.” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 54 and cloudy here-no rain so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 More auroras to come?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 have the heat on... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 Sure hope the dry period lasts a few weeks longer. Awesome may so far. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 Horrific day 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 It’s actually in the 70s up in northern Quebec. We are pretty much the only cool spot in the country. Even eastern Mass and Maine in the 60s. I absolutely hate seeing Canada in the 70s when we in the 50s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 9 minutes ago, psv88 said: It’s actually in the 70s up in northern Quebec. We are pretty much the only cool spot in the country. Even eastern Mass and Maine in the 60s. I absolutely hate seeing Canada in the 70s when we in the 50s It has been ugly more often than not since the early March torch. I know we have been above normal but this spring has felt worst considering how nice they have been in recent years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: It has been ugly more often than not since the early March torch. I know we have been above normal but this spring has felt worst considering how nice they have been in recent years Yea. The rough part has been seeing southern Canada warmer than us day after day due to the flow off the Atlantic. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: It has been ugly more often than not since the early March torch. I know we have been above normal but this spring has felt worst considering how nice they have been in recent years I think whenever the switch gets flipped its going to be an an abrupt change to much warmer/hotter and more humid weather then what we have been recently experiencing. The big question is when. Hoping by the tail end of the month. We'll see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 Picked up 0.42" of rain so far today. Current temp 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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