jm1220 Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 There was a bit of a model war yesterday between the 3k NAM that had a more cloudy/backdoor-y look today and GFS which shot everyone west of the William Floyd to 80. Looks like Upton lowered my point/click high for the day. It’ll be a day to day struggle as long as we’re in this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 22 minutes ago, jm1220 said: There was a bit of a model war yesterday between the 3k NAM that had a more cloudy/backdoor-y look today and GFS which shot everyone west of the William Floyd to 80. Looks like Upton lowered my point/click high for the day. It’ll be a day to day struggle as long as we’re in this pattern. Next week will be more sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 2 Author Share Posted May 2 Just now, LibertyBell said: Next week will be more sunny Wouldn't count on that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Wouldn't count on that Forecast for Monday-Wednesday behind the Sunday storm is for partly sunny skies and temps in the mid to upper 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 The Bronx at 71 now and I’m stuck at 55 and mist. Cmon…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 It’s brightening up a bit near ISP, not as misty, but still socked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 9 minutes ago, Cfa said: It’s brightening up a bit near ISP, not as misty, but still socked in. well west of you, it's still cloudy here. Brightening up a little sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: Lovely morning Yeah, spring is one of the the only seasons these -NAO patterns overperform. I am on the New England side of the backdoor with low clouds and mist. Like the cooler weather in general up here so far. Especially how quickly the temperatures fall due to much better radiational cooling after sunset. New Haven CLOUDY 55 54 96 S6 29.95F FOG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 Pesky cloud deck. Sunny extreme north shore and mid 60s, stuck at 61 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 2 minutes ago, psv88 said: Pesky cloud deck. Sunny extreme north shore and mid 60s, stuck at 61 here. the sky is really bright here but still no blue breaks, it's just a matter of time though. as long as the sun comes out by 5 I'm happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, spring is one of the the only seasons these -NAO patterns overperform. I am on the New England side of the backdoor with low clouds and mist. Like the cooler weather in general up here so far. Especially how quickly the temperatures fall due to much better radiational cooling after sunset. New Haven CLOUDY 55 54 96 S6 29.95F FOG I feel like our springs in the 90s were much warmer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 Clear skies, 77 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 29 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I feel like our springs in the 90s were much warmer Especially 1991 with the record number on 90° days that spring. But the springs have been steadily getting earlier and warmer. It’s just that the warm up has occurred with more frequent spring -NAOs. The -NAOs can’t prevent the warming trend but they do shorten the warm ups when the -NAO is enough of a factor. So this spring has featured short 80°+ warm ups lasting a few days before the backdoors and onshore flow returns. Data for March 1, 1991 through May 31, 1991Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 CT DANBURY COOP 11 NJ CRANFORD COOP 9 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 8 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 8 NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 8 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 6 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 6 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 6 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 5 NY NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 4 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 4 NY MINEOLA COOP 4 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 3 NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 3 NY WEST POINT COOP 3 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: Especially 1991 with the record number on 90° days that spring. But the springs have been steadily getting earlier and warmer. It’s just that the warm up has occurred with more frequent spring -NAOs. The -NAOs can’t prevent the warming trend but they do shorten the warm ups when the -NAO is enough of a factor. So this spring has featured short 80°+ warm ups lasting a few days before the backdoors and onshore flow returns. Data for March 1, 1991 through May 31, 1991Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 CT DANBURY COOP 11 NJ CRANFORD COOP 9 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 8 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 8 NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 8 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 6 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 6 NJ LITTLE FALLS COOP 6 NY PORT JERVIS COOP 5 NY NEW YORK AVE V BROOKLYN COOP 4 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 4 NY MINEOLA COOP 4 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 3 NJ WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 3 NY WEST POINT COOP 3 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 3 Thanks this makes so much sense and our shorter heatwaves now too. Years like 1991, 1993, 1999 and 2002 we had very long multiple streaks of 7+ days with 90 or higher. Besides the +NAO back then in the spring and summer it was also drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 49 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: the sky is really bright here but still no blue breaks, it's just a matter of time though. as long as the sun comes out by 5 I'm happy. Yeah no blue breaks yet but I’m seeing the sun pierce through the clouds here in Melville. I hope we can take advantage of some daytime heating, it’d suck to clear out too late for a substantial warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 I mean I’m at 62 now which isn’t bad, but of course today’s the day the clouds refuse to break up, when we had a legit shot at 80. NAM for the win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 cleared out quickly here within the last hr up to 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 Sky finally beginning to clear out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 38 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Thanks this makes so much sense and our shorter heatwaves now too. Years like 1991, 1993, 1999 and 2002 we had very long multiple streaks of 7+ days with 90 or higher. Besides the +NAO back then in the spring and summer it was also drier. Yeah, more annual 90° days overall but coming in shorter runs due to the wetter climate interrupting the individual heatwaves. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 83 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 Cleared out, up to 69 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 It's starting to clear out here, still some clouds around but more and more blue skies now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 The park 79, Kennedy 63. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: I feel like our springs in the 90s were much warmer Perhaps also less humid than our current clime. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 5 minutes ago, psv88 said: The park 79, Kennedy 63. Yikes. I wonder how much longer the sun has been out there. It's upper 60s here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I wonder how much longer the sun has been out there. It's upper 60s here Would say 2-3hrs longer than those of us in C/W LI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 85 now. Clouds clinging to LI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 1 minute ago, SACRUS said: 85 now. Clouds clinging to LI what wind direction do you guys have? the forecast was for WNW winds and quickly clearing skies which obviously did not happen until now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 11 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: what wind direction do you guys have? the forecast was for WNW winds and quickly clearing skies which obviously did not happen until now lol WSW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now