powderfreak Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 What is with this smear campaign of the NWS? Really haven’t seen anything wrong with their overall forecast… they said showers possible anywhere, then a more concentrated area developed in a narrow zone? What are we doing on here? lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sled Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What a nice dry day to do some yardwork. I wonder what others are doing today. Double kids birthday party in the rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 lol that is not from upslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 Actually looping radar you can see the mid level forcing from SW to NE helping to enhance it. Just a good WAA push and a little deffy to squeeze it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 37 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What is with this smear campaign of the NWS? Really haven’t seen anything wrong with their overall forecast… they said showers possible anywhere, then a more concentrated area developed in a narrow zone? What are we doing on here? lol. They had a totally dry forecast for CT today. In the morning AFD. Meanwhile somewhere in Tolland ….. half an inch and counting . I admitted I was wrong. They should too . It’s ok to be wrong and admit it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Actually looping radar you can see the mid level forcing from SW to NE helping to enhance it. Just a good WAA push and a little deffy to squeeze it out. There's also some straight up convergence between about HFD and ASH ( axis ). Look at the region sat loop you get a distinct impression of a general westward motion east of that line, and an eastward motion west of it. Where in fact if Kevin drove 30 minutes west he'd be in brightening. I think western CT is trying to salvage the afternoon. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 some of us knew it was likely going to be wet today and mowed yesterday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: There's also some straight up convergence between about HFD and ASH ( axis ). Look at the region sat loop you get a distinct impression of a general westward motion east of that line, and an eastward motion west of it. Where in fact if Kevin drove 30 minutes west he'd be in brightening. I think western CT is trying to salvage the afternoon. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined It's fine in Burlington CT; mild and dim sunshine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 6 minutes ago, FXWX said: It's fine in Burlington CT; mild and dim sunshine. Hey John .. low grade heat wave potential, Tue-Thur. By that we mean ... flirting with the big nine-O but could miss with upper 88's. I don't see this as being a dewy heat - we'll see on that... Wet antecedence may contribute locally more so than transport with higher soil moisture after recent rains. But, the current machine numbers are likely a shade cool given the over-arcing synoptic look there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: They had a totally dry forecast for CT today. In the morning AFD. Meanwhile somewhere in Tolland ….. half an inch and counting . I admitted I was wrong. They should too . It’s ok to be wrong and admit it. The grids looked like they had a chance of showers? Showers possible in any location, showers becoming widespread, CT River Valley may luck out with a primarily dry day sounds like a good call… dry obs and temps near 70F at BDL currently? Showers will become more widespread after 15Z today as PWATs surge to >1.0", aided by a weak 925mb jet of 20-30kt draped over eastern MA. General thinking is showers are possible in any location, but will be more widespread east of the Worcester metro area. In fact, the CT River Valley may "luck out" with a primarily dry day as weak high pressure attempts to nudge in from the southwest. While it will a dreary and rather chilly day, with little to no diurnal swing in temps from current obs (in the 50s and low 60s, west) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 Pretty impressive ORH is at 1” of rain. That’s a nice deform band. Would be a crusher out of no where in winter for a narrow zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 24 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The grids looked like they had a chance of showers? Showers possible in any location, showers becoming widespread, CT River Valley may luck out with a primarily dry day sounds like a good call… dry obs and temps near 70F at BDL currently? Showers will become more widespread after 15Z today as PWATs surge to >1.0", aided by a weak 925mb jet of 20-30kt draped over eastern MA. General thinking is showers are possible in any location, but will be more widespread east of the Worcester metro area. In fact, the CT River Valley may "luck out" with a primarily dry day as weak high pressure attempts to nudge in from the southwest. While it will a dreary and rather chilly day, with little to no diurnal swing in temps from current obs (in the 50s and low 60s, west) It was a bad start to the day in Hartford and points east but who cares. That’s the pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: It was a bad start to the day in Hartford and points east but who cares. That’s the pattern. I was just about to delete that thinking, I really don’t give a shit either way. Not sure why I decided to fight that battle or stand on that hill . Really don’t care. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 Wtf. Great day yesterday. Now low clouds , showers and other bs. Same tomorrow?Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: It was a bad start to the day in Hartford and points east but who cares. That’s the pattern. It's actually perfect to me ... it fits right in timing with my personal pattern. heh. Not a work out day. No yard projects going on. No other plans? I guess if we have to douche out a whole day, this would have been the day I picked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 Good day to get some outside stuff done. I was told rain all day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: What is with this smear campaign of the NWS? Really haven’t seen anything wrong with their overall forecast… they said showers possible anywhere, then a more concentrated area developed in a narrow zone? What are we doing on here? lol. It’s a talking point for a part of the political spectrum that wants to boost privatization of a lot of what the NWS does. Not saying that’s his perspective but that’s where it got its start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: The grids looked like they had a chance of showers? Showers possible in any location, showers becoming widespread, CT River Valley may luck out with a primarily dry day sounds like a good call… dry obs and temps near 70F at BDL currently? Showers will become more widespread after 15Z today as PWATs surge to >1.0", aided by a weak 925mb jet of 20-30kt draped over eastern MA. General thinking is showers are possible in any location, but will be more widespread east of the Worcester metro area. In fact, the CT River Valley may "luck out" with a primarily dry day as weak high pressure attempts to nudge in from the southwest. While it will a dreary and rather chilly day, with little to no diurnal swing in temps from current obs (in the 50s and low 60s, west) There's a lot of perception involved. As the local wx hobbyist, I get asked about the forecast. Given verification like today, different reactions: To NWS, "You blew it." To me, "You nailed it." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 58 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I was just about to delete that thinking, I really don’t give a shit either way. Not sure why I decided to fight that battle or stand on that hill . Really don’t care. The downside of being a climatologically beautiful time of year (here at least) is that it can be awfully boring. Nothing remotely interesting. No snow, no tropical, no heat, no dews, no cold, no drought, no fires, no flooding, nothing. Throw in a bunch of rainy days that force people inside and some go stir crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 12 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The downside of being a climatologically beautiful time of year (here at least) is that it can be awfully boring. Nothing remotely interesting. No snow, no tropical, no heat, no dews, no cold, no drought, no fires, no flooding, nothing. Throw in a bunch of rainy days that force people inside and some go stir crazy. Especially when it wasn’t modeled or forecast . To go from a scattered shower to a day long soaking rain is enough to just take a bat to every window in the house 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: The downside of being a climatologically beautiful time of year (here at least) is that it can be awfully boring. Nothing remotely interesting. No snow, no tropical, no heat, no dews, no cold, no drought, no fires, no flooding, nothing. Throw in a bunch of rainy days that force people inside and some go stir crazy. Yeah it’s turned real nice in ALB. 70s and sun. Out with the nieces at the local elementary school. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 23 hours ago, powderfreak said: Bedford. That’s a nice town. My friend lives there. Torch tiger used to live there and post about snow. Then something traumatic happened and he wasn’t the same. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Good day to get some outside stuff done. I was told rain all day. Meh- rained during my daughter’s soccer game in RI, not fun! At least it wasn’t cold! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 49 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Meh- rained during my daughter’s soccer game in RI, not fun! At least it wasn’t cold! There’s been about 3 drops here. A welcomed stein for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 Got in a three hour outdoor birthday party for my 13-year-old rain free. had a two minute sprinkle a few minutes ago but brightening up again now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 Meanwhile over 2.5” just SW of ORH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 Around 0.25” here. Mowed my mother in law’s yard before it really rained which was good. Midweek looks pretty warm to hot. Some folks might tickle 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 .80 on the day as rain continues to rot right over the spine of the hills here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewbeer Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 Misery mist for a while here, took down a small dead tree and did some pruning. Back to cloudy and breezy, 63F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 Wow, I wasn’t really paying attention to radar today but I didn’t realize there was so much precipitation south and east of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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