Typhoon Tip Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 Nothing like a deep coastal nor'easter while the rest of the planet undoubtedly puts up another hottest month ever - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 45 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow, Houston got fucked. And now the Nam tries to fuck the weekend. Yeah the weekend is starting to look like shit, when as of yesterday it still looked decent. Models having a tough time lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 21 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: Yeah the weekend is starting to look like shit, when as of yesterday it still looked decent. Models having a tough time lately. same here. looked crappy then good, now cloudy/showrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Nothing like a deep coastal nor'easter while the rest of the planet undoubtedly puts up another hottest month ever - Wouldn't surprise me one bit. Here's another one for some laughs 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 +1 for Dendrite? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 42 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Wouldn't surprise me one bit. Here's another one for some laughs That's a bit different circumstance, though. The Euro I was using to commiserate was D8.5 This above is typical of the GFS at that range. ... just humoring a 372 hour chart for a moment... It seems like a transfixed result of the model, where out around further ranges it (perhaps) loses all other driving forcing ... allowing the underlying Labrodorian cold climate sink as an actual atmospheric footprint. I mean really, just imagine for a moment we remove the land from the map, that's indistinguishable from a the Labrador current's cold SST termination waters. Which by the way, that depiction is colder than the current, too. It would have a cold offset regardless of its own rancid low. ( That latter fact sometimes makes me wonder if it is exposing some of the modeling strategy at NCEP where they may in fact be initializing grids based on climate. The Lab current has been notably getting warmer in the last 10 years in particular ...etc. ) Not just with that aspect. I've noticed the GFS is the wrong model - always - to ever detect heat at extended leads. It's like they templated the model to hide CC LOL ( little sarcasm there..) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: +1 for Dendrite? He goes -2 tomorrow with rains and 50’s while we 70+ sun here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 It's almost like the GFS' physics cause these analogous 'Jovian' like fixed spots. Vortex modes, and the rest of the atmosphere just starts moving around them. We happen to be stuck with one SE of L.I. ... Not saying its even wrong, necessarily. There's currently a festering llv gunk low there this morning, helping to send <700mb slab back west into the region. It seems to be all but entirely uncoupled to the mid and upper air synoptics. Something about the llv mass field circulation medium is forcing that interesting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 Beautiful morning. Mentally preparing for Labradorean ass vomit…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 There will probably be a violent snap to heat and humidity once the junky onshore pattern subsides. The pukey flow has been tough to get rid of, like a stage 5 clinger 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Hot, humid, and east coast tropics threats. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 Fixed 2 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 All seriousness ... ( and tedium ), it's a nice out there today. 70 here. I'm noticing that the CU trajectory and the llw wind is actually more NE were I am here in N . Middlesex in east central Mass. That's technically not a marine flow here. With sat presentation showing only micro fluffies getting in the way of the sun, we're probably going to be just fine this mid day. Maybe the s-breeze mechanics overwhelm late in the day. I also noticed the 12z NAM is a little better for Sunday. It's probably going to be cooler coast, warmer deep interior type thing. Could see that being 63 here and 53 at Logan. ...75 in ALB. With sun around. That's a better scenario than prior run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 11 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: I must have missed the 1 NAM run that had 3 to 6 I'm just kidding around with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: +1 for Dendrite? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 Kind of shocked to walk out of my house at 11am en route to Worcester having car thermometer reading 71-75 all the way and it felt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: All seriousness ... ( and tedium ), it's a nice out there today. 70 here. I'm noticing that the CU trajectory and the llw wind is actually more NE were I am here in N . Middlesex in east central Mass. That's technically not a marine flow here. With sat presentation showing only micro fluffies getting in the way of the sun, we're probably going to be just fine this mid day. Maybe the s-breeze mechanics overwhelm late in the day. I also noticed the 12z NAM is a little better for Sunday. It's probably going to be cooler coast, warmer deep interior type thing. Could see that being 63 here and 53 at Logan. ...75 in ALB. With sun around. That's a better scenario than prior run. Looks like WNE is where you want to be this weekend vs ENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: All seriousness ... ( and tedium ), it's a nice out there today. 70 here. I'm noticing that the CU trajectory and the llw wind is actually more NE were I am here in N . Middlesex in east central Mass. That's technically not a marine flow here. With sat presentation showing only micro fluffies getting in the way of the sun, we're probably going to be just fine this mid day. Maybe the s-breeze mechanics overwhelm late in the day. I also noticed the 12z NAM is a little better for Sunday. It's probably going to be cooler coast, warmer deep interior type thing. Could see that being 63 here and 53 at Logan. ...75 in ALB. With sun around. That's a better scenario than prior run. How do you think tomorrow ends up? Poopie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 It can't get much greener. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 44 minutes ago, dendrite said: Let’s talk tomorrow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 26 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: How do you think tomorrow ends up? Poopie? Yeah unfortunately ...tomorrow probably is 15 below today ( tick or two ). It's probably a day where Danbury CT is bathing in a utopia while Beverley MA is having second thoughts of ever having placed a town charter in that location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Let’s talk tomorrow lol Models are pretty shitty across all of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Models are pretty shitty across all of SNE. It will be better here than Dendyland. Won’t be sunny , but breaks and no rain here vs washout and cold up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 76F. Just keep on torching. Up to +4.5 for May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It will be better here than Dendyland. Won’t be sunny , but breaks and no rain here vs washout and cold up there. It may not rain 'up here' though, ... much. I mean drizzle passing here and there but primarily dry. There's no real means to provide lift, and most likely where the models have the stationary very light QPF blob parked over eastern zones that's just the land/sea convergence over sensitive in the runs. It may also start to sag south during the afternoon. Sort of like what happened yesterday. It'll be a cooler air mass everywhere though. It's a matter of how much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 76F. Just keep on torching. It's become a phenotype of Mays to have BTV smoke NYC and BOS' batting average for warmth lol Although next weeks looks like a I-95 corridor warm special from D.C. to PWM Wed/Thur - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It will be better here than Dendyland. Won’t be sunny , but breaks and no rain here vs washout and cold up there. Maybe you're 59 and he's 55. Wow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe you're 59 and he's 55. Wow. I’ll be 65-68.. with enough breaks nearing 70. And dry. That’s the key 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll be 65-68.. with enough breaks nearing 70. And dry. That’s the key LOL. Sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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