WxWatcher007 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Also looks like that stuff in SE NY about to track along southern CT is becoming more sfc based so may see increasing risk for localized damaging wind gusts Yeah the stuff out there looks solid 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Also looks like that stuff in SE NY about to track along southern CT is becoming more sfc based so may see increasing risk for localized damaging wind gusts I'm sure SW CT will get the goods as usual. By the time it gets to New London county it will probably be weakening due to ocean taint....but we'll see. The current radar shows some good cells over and moving off the eastern end of Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 So we done in N CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Getting dark here...let's get some damage! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 23 Author Share Posted May 23 9 minutes ago, metagraphica said: I'm sure SW CT will get the goods as usual. By the time it gets to New London county it will probably be weakening due to ocean taint....but we'll see. The current radar shows some good cells over and moving off the eastern end of Long Island. The steep lapse rates should help compensate for marine air a bit, but lapse rates are weakening (probably from latent heat release). Anyways, good elevated CAPE so should see decent elevated storms at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Whole thing really does look like a landphoon lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Mehphoon. Except along the shoreline. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 23 Author Share Posted May 23 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Mehphoon. Except along the shoreline. I'm on the shoreline. I'm hoping for golf ball hail and 70 mph winds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm on the shoreline. I'm hoping for golf ball hail and 70 mph winds Better chance of the Bruins still coming back to beat the Panthers. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I'm on the shoreline. I'm hoping for golf ball hail and 70 mph winds check the NYC thread-it's mainly heavy rain and some thunder not seeing much wind being reported Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 82/70 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 23 Author Share Posted May 23 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: check the NYC thread-it's mainly heavy rain and some thunder not seeing much wind being reported more of a joke lol. Unless the storms become rooted surface based there will be minimal wind. Small hail is going to be the best bet within these. I would think you see some strengthening of this activity though with eastward progression. Might be one of those times SE CT does best 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Yeah a lot of this was diurnally assisted. As the suns come up over the realm that halts the radiative cloud top cooling related destabilizing factor- which is elevated instability. That may account for some weakening look to the satellite. Warning's allowed to expire. I have dim sun through vil debris, and rad looks like nothing is getting this far N in Mass. Probably, this all slides off by 1pm looking at translation rate on sat, and then we'll see if we can muster sfc based instability associated with the front. etc... These morning convection things can get in the way of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: more of a joke lol. Unless the storms become rooted surface based there will be minimal wind. Small hail is going to be the best bet within these. I would think you see some strengthening of this activity though with eastward progression. Might be one of those times SE CT does best ha. someday we'll get our true severe day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 23 Author Share Posted May 23 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: ha. someday we'll get our true severe day Hopefully we can get some EML setups this summer. but give me those or cold pool setups like 2008. but for now, at least looking forward to some good thunder and lightning 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 13 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Hopefully we can get some EML setups this summer. but give me those or cold pool setups like 2008. but for now, at least looking forward to some good thunder and lightning I think you're visualizing a synopsis that has been increasingly rarefied over the last 10 or 12 years ... What is becoming more prevalent during summers: early heat of varying but ultimately unremarkable stature, followed a weakness at mid levels ( when not an actual trough) becoming Rossby stuck along 90W. This has been causing stagnated theta-e positive anomalies at llvs, but because of that total wholesale construct, EML expulsion can't get much E of Detroit before deflecting south. Over here on the E side of said axis, 84/78 putrid black mold air stagnatie has has been mid summer favored. Obviously that is not/has not been true at all times - people have to be nuanced in thinking along gradations and tendency - a tendency to do so, increasing... I'm waiting to see if that emerges again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 23 Author Share Posted May 23 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I think you're visualizing a synopsis that has been increasingly rarefied over the last 10 or 12 years ... What is becoming more prevalent during summers: early heat of varying but ultimately unremarkable stature, followed a weakness at mid levels ( when not an actual trough) becoming Rossby stuck along 90W. This has been causing stagnated theta-e positive anomalies at llvs, but because of that total wholesale construct, EML expulsion can get much E of Detroit before deflecting south. Over here on the E side of said axis, 84/78 putrid black mold air stagnatie has has been mid summer favored. Obviously that is not/has not been true at all times - people have to be nuanced in thinking along gradations and tendency - a tendency to do so, increasing... I'm waiting to see if that emerges again. Yup...this has been brutal to watch unfold these last few summers. I guess this stuff is like winter wx...we can go a span of multiple years where we get clobbered and get a handful of them and we can go several year stretches without any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Last night's min in the 60s wasn't very far off from where our average highs should be this time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Yup...this has been brutal to watch unfold these last few summers. I guess this stuff is like winter wx...we can go a span of multiple years where we get clobbered and get a handful of them and we can go several year stretches without any. At least tropical is producing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 25 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: check the NYC thread-it's mainly heavy rain and some thunder not seeing much wind being reported Oddly our power just went out....hardly ever does, so not sure the issue. Definitely some nice cracks of thunder, but no wind at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Just now, weatherwiz said: Yup...this has been brutal to watch unfold these last few summers. I guess this stuff is like winter wx...we can go a span of multiple years where we get clobbered and get a handful of them and we can go several year stretches without any. aaahhh... I'm temped to proffer a CC connection there. Not sure we're necessarily going to balance things out with a "span of years" in this case. We can have a summer and/or winter of old, still, but the return rates are stretching. Just my suspicion - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Just now, Spanks45 said: Oddly our power just went out....hardly ever does, so not sure the issue. Definitely some nice cracks of thunder, but no wind at the moment Very heavy rain here and rolling thunder-almost no wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 I guess hearing a couple of early rumbles this morning wasn’t a positive harbinger for the rest of the day after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 4 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Oddly our power just went out....hardly ever does, so not sure the issue. Definitely some nice cracks of thunder, but no wind at the moment Check the eversource outage map. They usually have a dot on the map of the exact spot/issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Here comes DITs phoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 It had that look this morning . Not a lot of severe unfortunately. Just some boring rain and a few rumbles in this area anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Here comes DITs phoon Looks like some hail down towards Griswold/Lisbon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 23 Author Share Posted May 23 Getting some increases in flashes and the nice long, loud booms. So we definitely elevated with an inversion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Cloudy and mid 70s and Greenfield. South of Pike is welcome to keep all of the rain down that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 23 Share Posted May 23 Canal area lit up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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