NoCORH4L Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Are we ever going to kick this onshore flow regime? Seems like it's perpetually a week away. Kinda like in winter, where the "favorable pattern" is always close but keeps getting pushed LoL. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 41F this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 49 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: Are we ever going to kick this onshore flow regime? Seems like it's perpetually a week away. Kinda like in winter, where the "favorable pattern" is always close but keeps getting pushed LoL. Today and tomorrow are warm. Probably Wednesday too. Questionable after. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 13 Author Share Posted May 13 11 hours ago, Sn0waddict said: Smoke Season has arrived not this again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: not this again 1 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Today should be demonstratively different than the general early October vibe of yesterday's 58 F under pancaking skies. It was 45 at dawn here and it's now 59 ... scratch that, 60 averaging those home station sites within a mile of mi case. We've surpassed yesterday's highs at 8:15 in the morning already. Satellite trends suggest the day's not free of cloud burden entirely. It may end up averaging partly sunny by day's end, but with 850s +6C by 21Z, some 7 warmer than yesterday, while the wind is off-shore, all taking place under 70% of May insolation, probably sends the Ts a couple ticks higher than machine. MAV is 71 at BDL and FIT, and 69 at ASH. Good day to test the MOS. MET is in the upper 60s at those sites so probably a slam dunk from that source. Incidentally, the MET has touched 80 now for BDL and FIT for tomorrow. First time we've seen machine numbers that warm. Beyond all this ... the cinema of the models has definitively changed tenors now, losing entirely those cold plumes S of 50 N. The frontal system passages I looked at in the GFS and Euro, albeit different and poor continuity and probably changing placement in space and time in future runs, one aspect that remains in common from both sources is that the air mass before, and immediately behind each one is not appreciably cooler than normal at 850 mb. These systems were behaving more like late spring events should, more like temperature speed bumps while clouds/precip smear through. But behind them in particularly, 552 dm thicknesses pervade the GL-OV-NE ... keeping hour hands warm in the 'glove' heh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Today and tomorrow are warm. Probably Wednesday too. Questionable after. Some spots tickling 80 tomorrow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Looks like the mean variance will be 68 to 82 instead of 54 to 68 MEX is back into the 70s Thur/Fri after a upper 60s Wednesday. 68ish Sat and 75 to 80 Sun/Mon? Good time to stroll through lilac aromas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Think I'm gonna tune up my bike for seasonal reentry ride this afternoon. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 25 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Some spots tickling 80 tomorrow? Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 AWT. Summer begins this week 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 2 hours ago, NoCORH4L said: Are we ever going to kick this onshore flow regime? Seems like it's perpetually a week away. Kinda like in winter, where the "favorable pattern" is always close but keeps getting pushed LoL. It's been a slog N-E of HFD and particularly ORH... Interestingly, there's been some variance in the objective data. For example, HFD is above normal for Apr and so far also in May. This has not apparently been true for CON/ASH/FIT-BED and BOS. There's been some sort of meso-beta scaled reality in there is that is a negative variant relative to the broader regional mean for the last 45 days. We were discussing this yesterday... It's an interesting debate between verification and subjective appeal. I'm sure Kevin has a boner for this spring based upon the environment the cat sees while hiding head inside the paper bag of Tolland... whole ass and tail sticking out, thinking that's the world in there. Lol ( any time to tease Kevina is a good time - cheers ). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Somewhat of an irony... now that the pattern seems to be morphed warmer, any day with a west wind will likely drive the FIT-LWM/ ASH- Manchester NH region the warmest of anywhere NE of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Some spots tickling 80 tomorrow? I would think with ease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 ~80% of days since 1st day of spring have been with -NAO. This is flipped from winter. -NAO incoming, again, beginning this weekend - good news is (right now) looks significant enough to send the worst (easterly flow) down to the Mid Atlantic and we can 60-70 in mid May behind the door, with surface HP overhead..... Hedge in favor of dry, seasonable temps and low dews in NNE. You guys in far southern sections--good time for a vacation.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 12z GFS now says we might salvage Thursday with mild temps and less cloudcover with the storm being a bit further south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 anyone E of ~ Monadnocks to Worcester Hills may not end the afternoon quite this mild. Pretty intense sea-breeze boundary is carving W under the fair weather CU field on hi res vis. The wind fields in the interior here are very light - may not be enough to stop that colder air with its attendant distant low -tide aroma from penetrating inland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Nice day in harwich/Dennis today. 60s full sun. Cape Coc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Brookline/Brighton areas are lovely today. Shirtsleeve weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 7 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: AWT. Summer begins this week +1 for dendrite 1 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: +1 for dendrite You'll be warmer than him tomorrow most likely ... SW wind has a subtle d-slope aspect to it, no? I figure Concord to Manchester, Lowell/Lawrence, me to Fitchburg and down to metrowest of Boston are gonna cook. Probably 83 and over MOS. As suspected, prior to the s-breeze arrival we bested machine by 1 to 3 deg today. Tomorrow looks like a slam dunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 I think it's been posted before and I regret not bookmarking it. Is there a site for average wind speed by climo site? I'm looking to compare seasonal wind speeds year over year (i.e. was this Spring more/less windy than last Spring?) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Might have hit 70F up here today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 24 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Might have hit 70F up here today. 68° for the high here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 wish that D9 18z gfs were correct, big big severe 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstoned Posted May 13 Share Posted May 13 Lightning blasted birch in the intense storm of this past Wednesday, on Springfield College's East Campus. Though a slim tree dwarfed by towering oaks and white pine, it took the strike instead of one of them. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 Certainly not the 75 to 85 summer pattern some have claimed but it could be worse. "Mild and mainly dry today with some uncertainty regarding how warm Wednesday will be. Heading into a cloudier and unsettled weather pattern for late in the week into the weekend, as a series of slow-moving upper level disturbances move through Southern New England. While it is not likely to be raining the entire period,at least hit or miss showers can`t be ruled out at any time.Temperatures for late in the week into the weekend trend slightly cooler than normal on high temperatures and milder than normal on the lows.&& 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 1 hour ago, kdxken said: Certainly not the 75 to 85 summer pattern some have claimed but it could be worse. "Mild and mainly dry today with some uncertainty regarding how warm Wednesday will be. Heading into a cloudier and unsettled weather pattern for late in the week into the weekend, as a series of slow-moving upper level disturbances move through Southern New England. While it is not likely to be raining the entire period,at least hit or miss showers can`t be ruled out at any time.Temperatures for late in the week into the weekend trend slightly cooler than normal on high temperatures and milder than normal on the lows.&& Yup. Theme of the winter continues. Except for the temps, they really have no idea about the sensible weather though. Weekend could end up being a disaster or serviceable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted May 14 Share Posted May 14 2 hours ago, kdxken said: Certainly not the 75 to 85 summer pattern some have claimed but it could be worse. "Mild and mainly dry today with some uncertainty regarding how warm Wednesday will be. Heading into a cloudier and unsettled weather pattern for late in the week into the weekend, as a series of slow-moving upper level disturbances move through Southern New England. While it is not likely to be raining the entire period,at least hit or miss showers can`t be ruled out at any time.Temperatures for late in the week into the weekend trend slightly cooler than normal on high temperatures and milder than normal on the lows.&& Looks like a nice stretch of 75-80+ temps for CT this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now