Typhoon Tip Posted May 4 Share Posted May 4 Getting two days, back-to-back, above 70 F in this -NAO relaying into a +PNA is actually a pretty fantastic achievement relative to that predicament. Beyond that, NWS is right ... probably 5 to 6 consecutive days of BN. How much, or if we can pull a 'normal' day out of that stretch will come down ( as usual ) to the amount of sun. The Euro variant would be on the uglier side of a frontal boundary, with cyclic waves running out along or S of LI Each one enhancing light rain and raw E drift to the air. Couped up cabin fever at a time of the year whence that is clearly stealing what precious time we have for summer in this godforsaken cold dumpster region of the continent... This is entry into solar maximum week ... From now through August 8 we are getting what we're going to get from old sol - I'd rather not spend a week of it rotting but to each is his or her own. That all said, I suspect the Euro is over doing it with those thermal profiles S of ~60 N across the continent after D 7 or 8 ... that looks like typical model trying to eclipse the season shit we see in that time range during spring modeling season. For that matter, there some possibility these models are all wholesale over doing that L/W rangle in that time range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted May 4 Share Posted May 4 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Someone tell the Martian few / scattered means sunny . Lol Ya I was outside in Middletown all day I got fried mostly sunny until about 3-4pm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 4 Share Posted May 4 1 hour ago, BrianW said: Just sitting back with an IPA enjoying the sun, blooms and lawn..... We laugh and tan and drink and snicker at em . Not really any other options . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 4 Share Posted May 4 30 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Getting two days, back-to-back, above 70 F in this -NAO relaying into a +PNA is actually a pretty fantastic achievement relative to that predicament. Beyond that, NWS is right ... probably 5 to 6 consecutive days of BN. How much, or if we can pull a 'normal' day out of that stretch will come down ( as usual ) to the amount of sun. The Euro variant would be on the uglier side of a frontal boundary, with cyclic waves running out along or S of LI Each one enhancing light rain and raw E drift to the air. Couped up cabin fever at a time of the year whence that is clearly stealing what precious time we have for summer in this godforsaken cold dumpster region of the continent... This is entry into solar maximum week ... From now through August 8 we are getting what we're going to get from old sol - I'd rather not spend a week of it rotting but to each is his or her own. That all said, I suspect the Euro is over doing it with those thermal profiles S of ~60 N across the continent after D 7 or 8 ... that looks like typical model trying to eclipse the season shit we see in that time range during spring modeling season. For that matter, there some possibility these models are all wholesale over doing that L/W rangle in that time range. Wed- Sat will be a lot of mixed clouds and sun .. showers one or two periods mixed in and 65-70 inland 55-60 near nasty N Atl . NWS always ACATT and a few high folks go by it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted May 4 Share Posted May 4 Don't have to worry about install if you've got nothing to install in the first place! Topped out at 62.2° today. 'Nother nice one. Lawn will need its first mow in the next couple days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted May 4 Share Posted May 4 20 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Don't have to worry about install if you've got nothing to install in the first place! Topped out at 62.2° today. 'Nother nice one. Lawn will need its first mow in the next couple days. Just had mine done today. First mow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sled Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 Just for the record, it is no longer sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 46° with an East Wind. Folks loading up with wood today. Brrrr... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Wed- Sat will be a lot of mixed clouds and sun .. showers one or two periods mixed in and 65-70 inland 55-60 near nasty N Atl . NWS always ACATT and a few high folks go by it You got me. Your guy says everything is looking great for another summer week. Keep those air conditioners locked and loaded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 It was in the 60's here today. Are they a day drinker? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 Looks seasonably mild/cool through the next 10 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 46.8° -RA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 The GFS is vomit worthy after Tuesday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 46.8° -RA Rainy wet Sunday in the 40s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 39 minutes ago, dendrite said: The GFS is vomit worthy after Tuesday Best spring evah’ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 Rainy wet Sunday in the 40s.Going for short hike before it gets hereSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 37 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Best spring evah’ 2nd year in a row with a relatively quiet Brush Fire season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 1 hour ago, dendrite said: The GFS is vomit worthy after Tuesday No worries "Wed- Sat will be a lot of mixed clouds and sun .. showers one or two periods mixed in and 65-70 inland" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 49F at noon on may 5th. I hate it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 4 hours ago, dendrite said: The GFS is vomit worthy after Tuesday And that's actually better than the 00z and 06z in the sequential order. I mean ... it's been getting better - imho. But still is above the vomit threshold - ha. One upshot is that it's keeping the pattern progressive while that +PNA trough spends that 5 days in there. We're not stalling lows in the area. I'm also noticing that we aren't pulling as much "blue line" S of the border as much as prior runs. Maybe it's bad pattern and at the same time the model's admitting that the sun is hot now. jeez Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 Hoodie weather is great I know I'm alone but I love this weather. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted May 5 Author Share Posted May 5 Can't rule out some strong storms Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Can't rule out some strong storms Wednesday. Tomorrow evening as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 It's subtle . .. but, the 12z Euro's trying to normalize that D5 - 10 pattern. It's got a ways to go but it's not as obnoxious with the 500 mb height synopsis as it was in prior runs. Wednesday may have some interesting convection with that entangled warm boundary/weak cyclone deal. Nice theta e pooling in CT with a strong temperature gradient in that vicinity, with a modest mid level wind max/right exit jet region coming in over S surface winds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 32 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Hoodie weather is great I know I'm alone but I love this weather. Problem is if it’s hoodie weather where you are, folks are lighting wood stoves up here . Been stuck between 46-50F all day. Currently 47F. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 38 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Problem is if it’s hoodie weather where you are, folks are lighting wood stoves up here . Been stuck between 46-50F all day. Currently 47F. The difference between today and tomorrow will be among the more impressive single day changes we've seen in quite some time, pan-regional. Especially in your lower els that escape the fog capped valley inversion - which I think the wind will be establishing a S bias in the Notch. No one's really talking about that as it's a non-injurious notable but 46 to 76 isn't out of the question say St Johnbury region, and that's true for down our way too. It's 49 here mi casa this hour, steady R- Can't find a model lower than 76 here when factoring in the typical 2-meter sounding slope. This is one of the deals where the whole system sensibly is more like a warm front, even though a cf clears the region prior to dawn. It's one of my personal labeled type of system, more common in autumn and spring - where the cold is on the front side only. Only when this does it is spring, you get the sun booster to really bring the point home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's subtle . .. but, the 12z Euro's trying to normalize that D5 - 10 pattern. It's got a ways to go but it's not as obnoxious with the 500 mb height synopsis as it was in prior runs. Wednesday may have some interesting convection with that entangled warm boundary/weak cyclone deal. Nice theta e pooling in CT with a strong temperature gradient in that vicinity, with a modest mid level wind max/right exit jet region coming in over S surface winds. Maybe some tors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 Looks meh for a lot of May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 Next 2 days we summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted May 5 Share Posted May 5 Irrelevant here but impressive cold snowstorm for even relatively low elevations in the Tahoe area. I mean, I guess 6,000ft is still up there… but even if MWN got a cold, dry 26” in 24 hours it would be note-worthy. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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