weatherwiz Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 We are still just about 2.5 weeks away from the official start of our severe weather season, but that doesn't mean we can't get severe weather before then. The greatest overall potential is to the west of our region where the Storm Prediction Center has an enhanced risk in place for the potential of damaging wind gusts. A marginal risk for severe weather extends to the I-91 corridor across Massachusetts and Connecticut. Anyways, the most impressive element Sunday will the advection of very steep mid-level lapse rates: Shear will be impressive with 40-50+ knots of bulk shear overspreading the region Unfortunately, despite the presence of very steep mid-level lapse rates, surface temperatures only into the 60's with dewpoints into the 40's (maybe climbing into the lower 50's late) will hold back on instability potential and instability will be marginal at best. Also, while we have impressive shortwave energy and shortwave trough digging into the region, this does lag the sfc cold front so the best forcing will be a bit displaced: What can we expect? A line of heavy rain and embedded thunder should move across the region, particularly across western areas during the late afternoon and early evening Combination of steep lapse rates, strong winds aloft, and a bit of an inverted V look will promote the potential for some localized damaging wind gusts within the line 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Damage 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 I hope you all have a great event, plenty of wild storms with damage. And also hopefully a precursor to a relatively active season <3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 How far south do you see this line moving? I'm departing a cruise sun evening from NYC.Edit. .. looks like I could be in for a light show once it gets dark. Nice.Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Looks like some showers on the hrrr. Violent. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 lol, dont use the HRR at 36 hrs for severe weather in April in SNE: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Congrats PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 We're always right on the cusp of greatness but it never happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Oh we gonna bang like South https://x.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1779506449669919170?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14 Author Share Posted April 14 Still looks solid for a few localized damaging wind gusts early this evening within western sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 36 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Still looks solid for a few localized damaging wind gusts early this evening within western sections. Maybe closer to the NY line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14 Author Share Posted April 14 14 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Maybe closer to the NY line Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Turned out to be a pretty epic day with full sun.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 14 Author Share Posted April 14 THUNDER!!!!!!!!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 32 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: THUNDER!!!!!!!!!!!! Had a bang here 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Miggity Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Saw some cool clouds heading south from a Bball tournament in Westford today.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted April 14 Share Posted April 14 Congrats PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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