stormtracker Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 4 hours ago, WxUSAF said: 6z WPC map is 3-6” for the entire subforum I think it might rain 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 I need to test my sump pump and DC backup sump pump this week! Gotta gas up the generator too...I got a ton of wagyu in the basement freezer I can't risk losing. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 GFS looks to be holding firm on the southern track, re-landfalling near Savannah Thursday morning and pushing slowly west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 3 hours ago, nj2va said: Woof I’m currently in the pink area in SC. Don’t really care for 20” of rain, but would be cool to experience. I really hope we get a decent drought buster back home…if for nothing else than to stop the whining. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 5 minutes ago, mattie g said: I’m currently in the pink area in SC. Don’t really care for 20” of rain, but would be cool to experience. I really hope we get a decent drought buster back home…if for nothing else than to stop the whining. Wife and I did the Burke lake loop on saturday, needless to say it's looking a bit low 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 12z CMC is 3-6/4-8" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 5 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z CMC is 3-6/4-8" 5-10” possible with good ratios?? 20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 5 Author Share Posted August 5 36 minutes ago, mattie g said: I’m currently in the pink area in SC. Don’t really care for 20” of rain, but would be cool to experience. I really hope we get a decent drought buster back home…if for nothing else than to stop the whining. Be safe down there. May need to start posting here more so I don’t throw my phone out the window. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 12z GFS appears to be 1" - 3" across the area. Small area of 4" amounts in NE Maryland according to College of DuPage website. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 15 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: 12z GFS appears to be 1" - 3" across the area. Small area of 4" amounts in NE Maryland according to College of DuPage website. 12z GEFS mean is right around 3" FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 GFS pushes the front through tomorrow and Wednesday. Also gives us decent rain/storms with the front. This makes Debby wander back west instead of more due north like other guidance. The other guidance doesn’t push the front through anymore, and Debby’s able to track north. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 GFS for week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 36 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 5-10” possible with good ratios?? Whats the kuchera say? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 12z UKIE concurs with the honorable 12z CMC delegates... 4 to 8 inches areawide BR and i81 corridor crushed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 10 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z GEFS mean is right around 3" FWIW GFS appears to be the driest of the guidance right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Latest GEM gives me nearly 7 inches! Bring it on!!!!!!! My stream needs a good flushing. It has been nearly 5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: GFS appears to be the driest of the guidance right now. So uh...go with the model with the least...rain? Or is it the reverse this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 It seems that over the past couple of runs, the operational GEM, ICON, and GFS all have this precip void over DC Metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: So uh...go with the model with the least...rain? Or is it the reverse this time? I've found it wise to always go with the guidance that shows the most heart break...keeps your expectations low. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 13 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: It seems that over the past couple of runs, the operational GEM, ICON, and GFS all have this precip void over DC Metro. Depending on the track, I could envision how the metro area is a relative minimum with upslope enhancement in the mountains and more precipitation with the storm center to the southeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 WB 12Z EURO. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 5 Author Share Posted August 5 Once it gets back into a more robust steering pattern, it starts scooting NE pretty quickly. Significant rain in a somewhat compressed time frame. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Euro takes what’s left of Debby over Annapolis as a 999mb low early Saturday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: Be safe down there. May need to start posting here more so I don’t throw my phone out the window. Just got back from a run out on the bluff on the northern end of the island. Conditions are so much different on the sound than they are just 1/2 mile inland. Quite blustery out there but pretty blasé at the house. I'm sure that'll change as the center gets a little closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 7 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO. WxUSAF bullseye 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Once it gets back into a more robust steering pattern, it starts scooting NE pretty quickly. Significant rain in a somewhat compressed time frame. Indeed. Maybe a signal for "too much too fast" event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 5 Author Share Posted August 5 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Indeed. Maybe a signal for "too much too fast" event? I think that may depend on how much Debby holds together the next few days and reintensifies. Euro develops a really water laden system over the Atlantic before the SC landfall. The better organized it is I think the more efficiently it’ll be able to wring moisture out of the atmosphere as it interacts with the trough and moves northward. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 Someone is going to get wet in these parts. That's for sure. The PWATs, front, and rich moisture coming off the Atlantic will not be denied. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 The euro signaling about 24hrs of pre storm rains from thursday morning to Friday morning. Will be interesting to see how this part of the event plays out. Should be efficient rainers with PWATs already well over 2". 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 5 Share Posted August 5 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO. Max in Stephens City. I think it's safe to say toss the Euro. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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