ldub23 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 4 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EPS thru Day 6 Seems like the faster solutions have a trough taking it out to sea. If it misses the first trough then things could get interesting further North later next week. 12 Euro is quite a bit different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 10 minutes ago, ldub23 said: 12 Euro is quite a bit different Trough misses it. Interesting solution in that the front that comes down with the trough to us on Wednesday just kind of hangs out, with an onshore flow for the rest of the week. Certainly would help with temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 6 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: Trough misses it. Interesting solution in that the front that comes down with the trough to us on Wednesday just kind of hangs out, with an onshore flow for the rest of the week. Certainly would help with temps. clouds rain and an east wind is far better than 98 and sun. Future Debby is a threat here in SE VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 I love low 70's vs low 90's late next week but would much rather see Debby remnants parked over Lynchburg instead of Nashville! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 We're in Hilton Head through Tuesday. Prefer to get this this thing here and out in time for the flight home, but kind of looking forward to possibly Good thing is that, besides planning to go to Bethany Beach with friends on Thursday-Sunday, there's nothing forcing us to head home that day since I've got PTO planned for the week anyways. Could just reschedule our flight, if needed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 WB 18Z GFS compared to 0Z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 2 Share Posted August 2 Some of the 12z EPS individual members brought impacts from Debby into the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 3 Author Share Posted August 3 A lot of changes with the GFS today. Note the trough/ridge in the last three runs. Definitely worth watching with a sharper eye up the coast. Even an inland system in the SE could be very impactful further north. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 I approve of the overnight runs. Euro’s a drought buster. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: I approve of the overnight runs. Euro’s a drought buster. Move the Euro NW by about 20 miles and slow it down over us for another 12 hours please. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 More tracks closer to the coast or inland, rain impact from this system is increasing for the upcoming week. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 We probably won't have a good idea on this until the system clears Cuba. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 3 Author Share Posted August 3 2 hours ago, frd said: More tracks closer to the coast or inland, rain impact from this system is increasing for the upcoming week. There is prolific rain potential with this one for a lot of areas. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: There is prolific rain potential with this one for a lot of areas. 12z GFS has this hang around and not clear the East coast until a week from Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 3 Author Share Posted August 3 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: 12z GFS has this hang around and not clear the East coast until a week from Sunday Yeah it is extremely slow. Kind of doubt that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 12z GFS/CMC/ICON all have impacts from Debby in the region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 12z GFS operational is a legit drought killer for everyone. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 3 Author Share Posted August 3 Euro isn’t north enough for a region wide drought buster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 It looks like the GFS might of smoked a little bit of crack. That's a unique storm track lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said: There is prolific rain potential with this one for a lot of areas. WPC raised the bar. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 18 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Euro isn’t north enough for a region wide drought buster. How much for DC-Baltimore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 7 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: How much for DC-Baltimore? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 1 minute ago, yoda said: Wow that's heartbreaking. I-64 gets the goods and we're virtually high and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 3 Author Share Posted August 3 13 minutes ago, frd said: WPC raised the bar. Yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 Euro isn’t north enough for a region wide drought buster. Which model tends to handle tropical systems better: gfs or euro?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 16 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Wow that's heartbreaking. I-64 gets the goods and we're virtually high and dry. 3” would double my entire summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 7 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Which model tends to handle tropical systems better: gfs or euro? I always go Euro in tropical, but by the time it's up in these parts it's interacting with mid latitude weather systems. Would tend to take the under up in these parts, especially from I-95 and points west. We rarely get decent tropical here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 3 Author Share Posted August 3 11 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Which model tends to handle tropical systems better: gfs or euro? . It can vary by storm and context. For intensity, now that we have a well defined center, the hurricane models like the HAFS-A&B, HWRF, HMON tend to be best especially at shorter to medium range. For track, it’s the global models, and most often the Euro and GFS. The Euro has struggled so far with this one imo, but it’s still worth looking at and taking seriously. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 3 Share Posted August 3 56 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Euro isn’t north enough for a region wide drought buster. I mean, 2-4” ain’t bad… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 3 Author Share Posted August 3 Just now, WxUSAF said: I mean, 2-4” ain’t bad… Somebody will complain. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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