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Severe Threat 04-02 through 04-03


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Well, it's the first significant threat of severe weather for the regional forum coverage for the 2024 season.  This looks to be a late day and potential nocturnal event so let's get to posting here versus the random observations thread.  

Major population areas within the tornado threat includes Greater Birmingham, Metro Atlanta, Metro Charlotte, Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, and the Piedmont Triad area (Winston-Salem, Greensboro, High Point), and Columbia.

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Secondary tornado threat on 04/03 for the Virginia Tidewaters including the Hampton Roads (Norfolk, Virginia Beach, Portsmouth, Hampton, and Newport News) metro, Greater Richmond, The Triangle (Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill), Fayetteville, the NC Outer Banks in North Carolina, Myrtle Beach, Charleston, Jacksonville, Savannah, and Greater Orlando and the Tampa Bay area in Florida.

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Eastern AL/western GA overnight...
   In response to the amplifying midlevel trough/deepening cyclone over
   the MS/OH Valleys, deep-layer flow and low-level moisture advection
   will increase tonight across AL/GA.  A surge of upper 60s
   boundary-layer dewpoints and strengthening low-level shear both
   appear supportive of supercells/tornadoes overnight in a broken band
   ahead of the synoptic cold front.  An isolated strong tornado or two
   will be possible.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

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1 hour ago, kayman said:

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Secondary tornado threat on 04/03 for the DMV (DC metro area and Greater Baltimore), the Virginia Tidewaters including the Hampton Roads (Norfolk, Virginia Beach, Portsmouth, Hampton, and Newport News) metro, Greater Richmond, The Triangle (Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill), Fayetteville, the NC Outer Banks in North Carolina, Myrtle Beach, and Greater Orlando and the Tampa Bay area in Florida.

They’ve just increased the tornado threat level somewhat for tomorrow for E NC/far SE VA/far NE SC from 2-5% to 5-10%.

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26 minutes ago, GaWx said:

They’ve just increased the tornado threat level somewhat for tomorrow for E NC/far SE VA/far NE SC from 2-5% to 5-10%.

Thanks and I will be amending it

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Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

1032 PM CDT Tue Apr 2 2024

 

ALC021-047-030400-

/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240403T0400Z/

Chilton AL-Dallas AL-

1032 PM CDT Tue Apr 2 2024

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR

SOUTHWESTERN CHILTON AND NORTHEASTERN DALLAS COUNTIES...

 

At 1032 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Parnell, or 10

miles north of Valley Grande, moving east at 50 mph.

 

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

 

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without

         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage

         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is

         likely.

 

Locations impacted include...

Plantersville.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a

basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy

building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in

a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect

yourself from flying debris.

 

&&

 

LAT...LON 3260 8704 3262 8705 3264 8705 3266 8703

      3270 8703 3275 8693 3266 8691 3266 8692

      3264 8692 3263 8691 3261 8691

TIME...MOT...LOC 0332Z 251DEG 44KT 3267 8698

 

TORNADO...OBSERVED

MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

 

$$

 

40/Sizemore

 

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Confirmed TDS over Rockdale County in the eastern suburbs of Metro Atlanta headed directly for Conyers

 

Severe Weather Statement

Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Peachtree City GA

1155 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

 

GAC247-030430-

/O.CON.KFFC.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240403T0430Z/

Rockdale GA-

1155 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 AM EDT FOR

NORTHEASTERN ROCKDALE COUNTY...

 

At 1154 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Lakeview

Estates, or over Conyers, moving northeast at 35 mph.

 

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

 

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without

         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage

         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is

         likely.

 

Locations impacted include...

Conyers, Lakeview Estates, Georgia International Horse Park, and

Milstead.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a

basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy

building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in

a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect

yourself from flying debris.

 

&&

 

LAT...LON 3364 8406 3368 8409 3371 8407 3376 8402

      3373 8394 3367 8393

TIME...MOT...LOC 0354Z 245DEG 29KT 3368 8404

 

TORNADO...OBSERVED

MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

 

$$

 

 

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Confirmed TDS with the same supercell on the Southside of the Greater Birmingham area again

Tornado Warning

Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

1052 PM CDT Tue Apr 2 2024

 

ALC001-021-030430-

/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240403T0430Z/

Autauga AL-Chilton AL-

1052 PM CDT Tue Apr 2 2024

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT FOR

NORTHEASTERN AUTAUGA AND SOUTHEASTERN CHILTON COUNTIES...

 

At 1052 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Pooles

Crossroads, or 8 miles southwest of Clanton, moving east at 50 mph.

 

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

 

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without

         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage

         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is

         likely.

 

Locations impacted include...

Clanton, Marbury, Higgins Ferry Park, Verbena, Pooles Crossroads,

Mitchell Lake, Cooper, and Mitchell Dam.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a

basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy

building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in

a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect

yourself from flying debris.

 

&&

 

LAT...LON 3269 8675 3276 8677 3287 8646 3286 8645

      3283 8646 3282 8646 3280 8644 3279 8641

      3277 8641 3275 8638 3275 8641 3269 8641

TIME...MOT...LOC 0352Z 252DEG 44KT 3273 8671

 

TORNADO...OBSERVED

MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

 

$$

 

40/Sizemore

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1 minute ago, SluggerWx said:

Huge debris signature in that Conyers cell.

Sent from my Pixel 6 using Tapatalk
 

Yes it is hitting the downtown area of Conyers right now! 

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The prior TDS supercell that went through Conyers in Rockdale County appears to be cycling at the moment but it's still has a strong low-level circulation.  Those in southern Walton County towards Monroe needs to be watching this closely. 

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Central Alabama supercell is still producing a TDS with debris ball on the CC from BMX radar

 

Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service Birmingham AL

1111 PM CDT Tue Apr 2 2024

 

ALC021-030430-

/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240403T0430Z/

Chilton AL-

1111 PM CDT Tue Apr 2 2024

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT FOR EAST

CENTRAL CHILTON COUNTY...

 

At 1111 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Higgins Ferry

Park, or 10 miles east of Clanton, moving east at 50 mph.

 

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

 

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without

         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage

         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is

         likely.

 

Locations impacted include...

Higgins Ferry Park, Mitchell Lake, and Mitchell Dam.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a

basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy

building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in

a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect

yourself from flying debris.

 

&&

 

LAT...LON 3275 8649 3284 8654 3287 8646 3286 8645

      3283 8646 3282 8646 3280 8644 3279 8641

      3277 8641 3276 8639

TIME...MOT...LOC 0411Z 252DEG 43KT 3281 8645

 

TORNADO...OBSERVED

MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

 

$$

 

40/Sizemore

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2 hours ago, kayman said:

Yes it is hitting the downtown area of Conyers right now! 

That Conyers tornado looked very scary on the radar with a clearcut circulation. Hopefully nobody got hurt and the damage wasn’t too bad.

————

  “There have been 71 recorded wind events in ConyersThe most severe event was an F2 tornado, which occurred in 1973.

Spotlight: An F2 Tornado
Damages: $275,000,000
Date: Mar 31, 1973”
 
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 The Conyers, GA, tornado was rated as EF-2. Fortunately no more than a couple of minor injuries were a result:

"An EF-2 tornado with maximum winds of 115 mph traveled ENE 9.5 miles across Rockdale County, including the city of Conyers, downing hundreds of trees, many on homes, cars and businesses. Two injuries were reported.”

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