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Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th


Typhoon Tip
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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Definitely a trend south from 6z. Maybe convection playing a role in that. But, sometimes surface lows don't have a big effect on the upper levels if it's already torched. The surface low could be quite out of place compared to like 850 low etc. 

Which model?

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5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Definitely a trend south from 6z. Maybe convection playing a role in that. But, sometimes surface lows don't have a big effect on the upper levels if it's already torched. The surface low could be quite out of place compared to like 850 low etc. 

I've noticed this too .. maybe 20-30 mi tick S/SE 

16z HRRR quite aggressive flipping IP to SN down to rt2 initially and down to the pike as it exits 

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1 minute ago, ma blizzard said:

I've noticed this too .. maybe 20-30 mi tick S/SE 

16z HRRR quite aggressive flipping IP to SN down to rt2 initially and down to the pike as it exits 

Rips my face off here. Ray offering shitty support to clients tomorrow if correct.

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro is paltry on QPF. Either a big win, or glue factory.

It’s been that way for several runs now for the most part since yesterday. Might be a red flag. 
 

But it basically has no agreement from other guidance. 

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2 minutes ago, Weathernoob335 said:

For what it's worth isn't the NAM showing the same?

NAM had a much higher area of 2”+ QPF over maine and SE NH and far NE MA. Euro had a small bullseye. They weren’t too dissimilar further west though. 

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Just now, DomNH said:

17z HRRR might be the coldest run yet. 

Trying to flip the pike region to snow around 06-07z. Warm layer really tries to wash out. I’m skeptical but big lift can do the trick sometimes. Esp if it’s in the DGZ where it will enhance latent cooling. 

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