dryslot Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 1 minute ago, NW_of_GYX said: Ya it’s a much different system than last weekends. If I had to guess I’d say the winners will be further south than the last one I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 I am good missing out on this one…. 20 inches the other week was enough for me…. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 Looking at the 18z GEFS we start out mid 30's on weds with temps dropping into the 20's at the surface as some of the heavier precip falls Wednesday night into 12z thursday as the low gets cranking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 Looking at the 18z GEFS we start out mid 30's on weds with temps dropping into the 20's at the surface as some of the heavier precip falls Wednesday night into 12z thursday as the low gets cranking.Yeah, 2m temp avg cooled off by a full degree Celsius vs 12zSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said: Yeah, 2m temp avg cooled off by a full degree Celsius vs 12z Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk I think you will see this continue as we get closer,Most of the time, These trend colder in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 I think you will see this continue as we get closer,Most of the time, These trend colder in the end.Yeah, which benefits everybody overall with a colder columnSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Yeah, which benefits everybody overall with a colder column Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Whether its rain or snow, It will by high impact, Wind and storm surge from the east just enhances things too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 26 minutes ago, powderfreak said: See I agree with you. I’d still stay climo that you want to be from you to ORH hills, Berks, and north in the usual interior elevations. Of course a CCB like that is going to crush heavy wet snow to the surface but just go climo right now. Unless it trends south .. south of ORH won’t see anything significant . And I fully expect to wake up tomorrow to moves north . Of course I hope that’s not the case, but these don’t typically trend south as you get closer in 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 31 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: I know it’s been a historically warm winter but it didn’t start that way in November and has ended that way in March/early April…so ya I’m running out of firewood, burned a ton of it this year Well, after this storm you'll have plenty of blowdowns around town to cut split stack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 Lol GEFS got round 2 for Vermont and New Hampshire Friday nightSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: Whether its rain or snow, It will by high impact, Wind and storm surge from the east just enhances things too. I have 0 reason to be confident in my location for this, but I am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 One hell of an ens averageSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 3 minutes ago, tunafish said: I have 0 reason to be confident in my location for this, but I am. East winds certainly are not your friend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 1 minute ago, dryslot said: East winds certainly are not your friend. Truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 38 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: Ya it’s a much different system than last weekends. If I had to guess I’d say the winners will be further south than the last one 36 minutes ago, dryslot said: I agree. Oh how we pray. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 I like my spot for this.. wish it was two days out though not 5 to 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 It looks like a big coastal storm is in the cards. Obviously a long way to go, dialing in Wintery outcomes for parts of SNE. Easter Sunday will be my make or break day, to figure out if this has a chance, of being a special spring storm for New England. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 33 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: One hell of an ens average Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk It’s coming, just need to wait a few more days to see where the white vs wet is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 There will be more in the way of wind impacts with this and wherever that mixes with low ratio snows look out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 Didn't think I had a chance to reach average snowfall this season but it's looking like a real possibility now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 I better go buy shear pins tomorrow morning. I used my last ones with last weekend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I have been savagely beaten last two years. 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I have been savagely beaten last two years. Here here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 11 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Significant Miller B Nor'easter potential is signaled across Apr 3rd-4th ... A chilly 850 mb anomaly is in position over SE Canada ...infiltrated throughout the eastern GL and NE England regions, prior to a strong -NAO maxing over the western limb of the domain. This aspect is situated while there is an undercutting trough of significant amplitude. Any kind of emergent trough is highly statistically correlated with this particular kind of -NAO expression, but below we see what really amounts to a phenomenally exquisite expression of that. Given to the high correlation, notwithstanding the "stable look" to this synoptic evolution ... confidence is quite high for at least the general set up. Anomalously high baroclinic instability in situ despite the lateness of the date/spring season. As the above mid and upper level events unfold over top that lower level temperature gradient ( see the 850 mb charts from the operational Euro/GFS/GGEM further above) ... strong cyclogenesis is well within the realm of possibilities, and the only limitation on this as far as I can see given these rather elegantly, yet glaringly obvious precursor metrics is the fact that this above is about 144 to 156 hours away. Unfortunately ... confidence is only very high for an event. What that event's particulars will mean as far as specific impacts is still pending. But sufficed it is to say ...this is a classic leading layout for late season snow impact. What is also interesting about this - from a personal anecdotal/experience perspective, these spring storms tend to actually be modeled more marginal/warmer than this, at this sort of time range - only to tick colder as the time nears to a 'blue timber bender' storm. This already has the look from all sources, and has been a recurrent theme over the past week. Dynamic height falls and just wholesale evolution of common winter metrics that are involved, snow would be a slam dunk. It's worth it to follow this ...lest the new April thread has 900 pages by the 5th of the month... I also am aware that interest in winter -related subject matter may be diminishing at this point. Seasonal awareness, along with just issue fatigue for having been abused so mercilessly over the last 4 months ( LOL )... but it is what it. It is noted that the 00z Euro CCB's the hell out of interior and eastern SNE out of this ordeal. It is also something that we haven't seen much of in recent years, a slower moving event. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 59 minutes ago, dryslot said: East winds certainly are not your friend. ll winds are more backed, even at the start. I don't see a big issue unless the storm hugs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 26 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: There will be more in the way of wind impacts with this and wherever that mixes with low ratio snows look out Hi 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 LOL - this couldn't come in February? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30 Author Share Posted March 30 50 minutes ago, Jebman said: Fixed. Lol dont play with my junk … I meant that as a headline like, “severe thunderstorm watch” fwiw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Lows are decently clustered at 126….but then they start to spray a bit like buckshot after that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Tonight and tomorrow will be pretty big for the confidence of this storm track. Typically if you’re gonna see a big move, it’s that period from 120ish to getting inside of 100 hours. The biggest threat zone right now is prob something like western Maine foothills (like Bridgton and lakes regions there) down through dendrite-land into Monads, N ORH hills and Berks/S VT. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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