mreaves Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 21 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: 60% of the time I go conservative every time Yogi Berra speaks! (Fellow old guys will get that) 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 1 minute ago, mreaves said: Yogi Berra speaks! (Fellow old guys will get that) Lol, It ain’t over …till it’s over. That post was pretty contradictory by Wiz. 60% of the time, and All the time…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 anyone want to comment about the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 Just now, Torch Tiger said: anyone want to comment about the storm? Idk who this yogi bear is but he can stop stealing my QPF pies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 NAM is never, ever too warm in the mid levels. Not a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 Just now, Weathernoob335 said: Idk who this yogi bear is but he can stop stealing my QPF pies I hope you get 5" QPF....whatever p-type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: NAM is never, ever too warm on the mid levels. Not a good sign. Was just saying this morning it's probably going to sleet to high heaven at my location, that may actually happen, yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 Just now, Torch Tiger said: I hope you get 5" QPF....whatever p-type Treecrusher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 Just now, Weathernoob335 said: Was just saying this morning it's probably going to sleet to high heaven at my location, that may actually happen, yikes The dry slot will race in, too. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 (Full LC here) I hope CON/MHT gets 6-18" of power-outaging cement, however it's too bad setup sucks and leafout isn't quite there. Later April would really take 'em down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The dry slot will race in, too. Despite this it still looks like a decent amount of snow on kuchera, but is that even reliable in these marginal storms? The last storm we got says not even close, hrrr was also bullish and way off last storm for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 1 minute ago, Weathernoob335 said: Despite this it still looks like a decent amount of snow on kuchera, but is that even reliable in these marginal storms? The last storm we got says not even close, hrrr was also bullish and way off last storm for me Kuchera isn’t reliable on the best of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 4 minutes ago, Weathernoob335 said: Despite this it still looks like a decent amount of snow on kuchera, but is that even reliable in these marginal storms? The last storm we got says not even close, hrrr was also bullish and way off last storm for me If you have some elevation, then Kuchera may have some validity...but it can struggle with picking up mid level warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Kuchera isn’t reliable on the best of days. Depends.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If you have some elevation, then Kuchera may have some validity. 1000 feet so maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 11 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: anyone want to comment about the storm? Yes, I don’t want any of it. I’m not expecting my opinion to actually impact anything. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 1 minute ago, mreaves said: Yes, I don’t want any of it. I’m not expecting my opinion to actually impact anything. well played Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 22 minutes ago, mreaves said: Yogi Berra speaks! (Fellow old guys will get that) No one goes to that restaurant anymore, it's too crowded. When you come to the fork in the road, take it. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: NAM is never, ever too warm in the mid levels. Not a good sign. On 4/1/2024 at 9:47 PM, dendrite said: The NAM busts on the 850-925 warmth more often than 700. I wasn’t surprised it blew the last event. Never say never but you are probably right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 We sleet inches... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 I’m not really feeling the puzzle pieces coming together for anybody south of Concord. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z Euro seems kind of flaccid on QPF compared to other guidance. Really nothing over about an inch and a half for the frozen zones with lots of 1.2ish totals. With 700mb in upstate NY this is what I’m expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 North Conway area get's crushed with that track on the GFS. Break out the 3 footer bong reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 2 minutes ago, MarkO said: North Conway area get's crushed with that track on the GFS. Break out the 3 footer bong reports. Gfs is definitely smoking something, Plymouth with 30 inches and the white mountains with over 50 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 3 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said: This is grid failure between you and Springfield... I'm luckily far enough north even at 300' that I will most be SN Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Damn, that gives me 4 inches of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 I can’t figure out how to do it on mobile, but 00z GFS snow depth change on pivotal looks very reasonable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 354 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024 MAZ004-026-032100- /O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0004.240403T1200Z-240405T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0004.240404T0000Z-240405T1200Z/ Northern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA- Including the cities of Barre, Fitchburg, and Ayer 354 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 354 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024 MAZ004-026-032100- /O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0004.240403T1200Z-240405T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0004.240404T0000Z-240405T1200Z/ Northern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA- Including the cities of Barre, Fitchburg, and Ayer 354 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. Lunenburg FTW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 6z GFS gone wild 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 Gfs is probably too cold like the last storm. Pretty warm guidance overnight aloft. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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