40/70 Benchmark Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats Jeffafafafa Dendrite RayRay, Euro 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Euro looks unimpressed in SNE. Nice hit for SW Maine though. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 . A robust system Wednesday and Thursday will bring multiple hazards; northeast wind gusts could become strong to locally damaging, heavy rainfall which could lead to renewed river flooding concerns, and possible coastal flooding. Unsettled conditions may linger into next weekend as the storm will be slow to depart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Snow, then snow showers for days up north. Won't be producing many kW with the new solar system in Lowell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 6 hours ago, ineedsnow said: 0z GFS big jump west with the primary 6 hours ago, dryslot said: 0z GFS looks very similar to the 18z run. 6 hours ago, George001 said: Gfs looks more north unfortunately 3 post made in a 4 post string. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 I think Powderfreak has been writing the BTV discussion:https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BTV&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 The biggest change as we enter into the temporal realm of higher-resolution mesoscale and Convection- Allowing Models (CAMs) time range has been a delayed onset of winter precipitation as well as snowfall accumulation. While it is tempting to use straight 10:1 SLRs or kuchera snowfall amounts, the fact that we are two weeks after the start of astronomical spring warrants a closer look at the thermal profiles. While it is not impossible to accumulate snow at 34 degrees with mesoscale banding, the snow does have to come down fast and furious in the valley locales. Besides the sun angle, there is also the potential for a prolonged duration of sleet, which will significantly cut down snowfall amounts in the valleys. All things considered, a better proxy for this upcoming late season winter storm is the positive snow depth change. While far from perfect, it should provide better context on what would most likely occur compared to low probability worst case scenarios depicted by straight 10:1 or kuchera snowfall outputs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Wow (pleads with self not to do it) 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wow (pleads with self not to do it) I literally live in the worst place in NY for snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 4 hours ago, Arnold214 said: Say bye bye to my power. All of ours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Could be the third long-duration outage at Pit2. I think the Pike to Rt2 is on a bit of a razors edge, but pretty confident the goods will stay north. Perhaps 1-2 down to the pike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Maine power grid is more fragile than CT. Didn’t think possible but it’s like 1950’s there . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joeshattrick Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Most Mets are calling for no snow NH border. Most maps I see on here are opposite? Anyone care to elaborate on this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: All of ours. Congratulations. Gonna be fun for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Congratulations. Gonna be fun for you guys. Its going to suck. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Its going to suck. Lol…that’s what ya get in April when big snow hits. We’d be glad to take it off your hands, but unfortunately it doesn’t work like that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 I don’t think it will be as bad as you think. With a lot of sleet well north that will cut down snow amounts and the strong winds will prevent it from stacking before it flips to sleet. Would not be tossing the NAM. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t think it will be as bad as you think. With a lot of sleet well north that will cut down snow amounts and the strong winds will prevent it from stacking before it flips to sleet. Would not be tossing the NAM. The NAM is mostly snow here and in ME. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Just now, dendrite said: The NAM is mostly snow here and in ME. lol I just remember you guys were shocked last week when you to Maine had 3” of sleet and were thinking all snow. Keep it in back of mind 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I just remember you guys were shocked last week when you to Maine had 3” of sleet and were thinking all snow. Keep it in back of mind I had a 1/2” of sleet in between 15” of snow while you were installing. Keep that in the back of your mind. 2 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I had a 1/2” of sleet in between 15” of snow while you were installing. Keep that in the back of your mind. Ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I just remember you guys were shocked last week when you to Maine had 3” of sleet and were thinking all snow. Keep it in back of mind Nam had 3.7" of snow here, We got 9.2"snow, 3" of sleet, It sucked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 I had 3" of sleet when I was expecting damaging freezing rain. That ended up closer to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: I had 3" of sleet when I was expecting damaging freezing rain. That ended up closer to the coast Trade off is you get damaging wet snow this go round. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 19 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol…that’s what ya get in April when big snow hits. We’d be glad to take it off your hands, but unfortunately it doesn’t work like that. I could care less about padding stats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Problem with those GFS clown maps in this area is that most of what falls after 12z Thursday, if it’s even snow, probably isn’t accumulating much, especially on pavement. Heaviest rates are Wednesday night into Thursday which could bring a few sloppy inches but anything after that I’m skeptical. The snow depth maps aren’t all that impressive outside of the elevated areas. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 24" snow, no sleet. Let's see what round 2 brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 2 minutes ago, DomNH said: Problem with those GFS clown maps in this area is that most of what falls after 12z Thursday, if it’s even snow, probably isn’t accumulating much, especially on pavement. Heaviest rates are Wednesday night into Thursday which could bring a few sloppy inches but anything after that I’m skeptical. The snow depth maps aren’t all that impressive outside of the elevated areas. East winds are ripping in eastern SNE up to PWM. SST’s are low 40’s in gulf of Maine. It’s not until after 12z Thurs that those areas gain a more northerly component and by then our ULL has really filled in and dynamics therefore significantly weaker. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Euro looks like RA/IP to MHT Wednesday night into Thursday before flipping to some slop/non-accumulating crap during the day on Thursday. Idk…not that impressed for the lowlands south of like CON. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 The depth of the ULL peaks 6z Thursday near *Indiana*. It’s weakening from there on out. I think what we’re missing more than anything with this is another UL vort to phase in as it makes closest approach to us. Decaying low isn’t gonna get us the consistent mod+ rates to stack in the marginal areas in SNE and SE NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 9 minutes ago, DomNH said: Euro looks like RA/IP to MHT Wednesday night into Thursday before flipping to some slop/non-accumulating crap during the day on Thursday. Idk…not that impressed for the lowlands south of like CON. So Dom, wondering if a waste to pre-salt fear of just washing away, wondering about surface temps around midnight Wednesday..... will continue to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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