dryslot Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Isn’t the issue up near 700? No issue there either up here, looked to be -02c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That ULL in the Midwest is a bit more WSW and weaker vs 12z. So despite initial warm push, lets see if secondary can get going and move towards the globals. Seems to be happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Seems to be happening. Looks to be SE a couple tics from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 1 Author Share Posted April 1 Prolly should go with the JMA... 2-3" of liq equiv over 24 hrs of rampaging Nor'easter 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Looks to be SE a couple tics from 12z Yeah that's what I was referring to. Starts to cut the torch aloft off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Although low goes into srn CT lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Low goes to HippyValley lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Although low goes into srn CT lol. Secondary goes bonkers down to 981mb then track north thru the VT/NH border..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Just now, dryslot said: Secondary goes bonkers down to 980mb then track north thru the VT/NH border..........lol Thought for a moment it would trend better with that limited WAA aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 17 minutes ago, dryslot said: The next layer i can see is 925mb, I cant see south of either of those 700mb is the issue. Might pinch off just in time for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Thought for a moment it would trend better with that limited WAA aloft. Nammy going to need a few more cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Was not banking on this one to work out given the situationals/time of year, but the last couple of days evolution is completely on script with last two years around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 700mb is the issue. Might pinch off just in time for you. I already looked at that on the 12k and it did here, Just looked at 3k and did there too fwiw, More analyzing then i need to be doing on the Nam lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Just now, dryslot said: I already looked at that on the 12k and it did here. 3km looks like you get to -1C but unsure if the warmest is right at 700mb. Might sneak above near there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: 3km looks like you get to -1C but unsure if the warmest is right at 700mb. Might sneak above near there. from what I've seen warm nose peaks around 725-750 mb most guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Getting a little granular with the NAM at like 60 hours here .. haha! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Let's lock that 18z 3k in and call it a day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 2 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Getting a little granular with the NAM at like 60 hours here .. haha! Some nightmares from a week or so ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said: Getting a little granular with the NAM at like 60 hours here .. haha! I don’t like that primary low, ha. Warm mid-levels doesn’t seem like a huge stretch with the mid-level set-up. That primary low makes it like a SWFE on the front side. Like Scooter said, it makes sense to some degree but it’s also the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 700mb is the issue. Might pinch off just in time for you. This certainly isn’t good news for those looking for big snows. I wouldn’t discount it at all, the NAM is VERY good at picking up warm layers like that. Anecdotally it seems like when it’s NAM vs the cooler globals in these types of setups, the NAM is right more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: I don’t like that primary low, ha. Warm mid-levels doesn’t seem like a huge stretch with the mid-level set-up. That primary low makes it like a SWFE on the front side. Like Scooter said, it makes sense to some degree but it’s also the NAM. I'm just bustin'. If folks want to Zapruder the 60h 18z NAM then this is the place to do it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said: I'm just bustin'. If folks want to Zapruder the 60h 18z NAM then this is the place to do it Can’t wait to do the RGEM next and debate it vs the Euro . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Low goes to HippyValley lol. What quadrant of the eyewall will I be in? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Should be easier to clear up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Reggie a tick north but very reach around-ish for eastern Mass. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Reggie a tick north but very reach around-ish for eastern Mass. 20"+ lol here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 57 minutes ago, dryslot said: Well, That's the thing, Not sure how well its handling it but that does reek havoc on the models. Developing theme now is a late blooming CCB as the ULL interacts with the 980 ish LP south of CC. Turns the corner someone from Scooter to NE Mass gets smoked. Meteorologically makes perfect sense with that position of the ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_observer Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 1 hour ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: These are the kind of numbers you like to see on your point and click. Maybe in January or February? The garden is calling....I'm about ready for 60F with sun for a several day stretch now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Developing theme now is a late blooming CCB as the ULL interacts with the 980 ish LP south of CC. Turns the corner someone from Scooter to NE Mass gets smoked. Meteorologically makes perfect sense with that position of the ULL All guidance is bullish up here since 12z, Even the 18z ICON which I typically don’t look at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Wednesday Sleet likely before 8am, then snow and sleet. High near 29. Very windy, with an east wind 44 to 55 mph, with gusts as high as 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Wednesday Night Snow, possibly mixed with sleet, becoming all snow after midnight. Low around 25. Strong and damaging winds, with an east wind 60 to 65 mph, with gusts as high as 80 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Breezy https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=244&y=195&site=btv&zmx=&zmy=&map_x=244&map_y=195 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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