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Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th


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9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

If this is going to trend toward slop up here let’s just ram it to YUL and dryslot as much as possible. I’m ready to start growing cranberries here. 

Brian,  I'll take your sloppy seconds.  I will do the very minimal cleanup as the week after will quickly melt it.  Of course you have your pesky north exposure and things dry out slower.

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

Trend has been for primary hanging on around Lake Huron which is what you don’t want.

Yep. Prob gonna check out on this one soon. I’ll give it another couple cycles though since there is still some spread south/colder. But this is starting to get the feeling of an NNE elevation storm and not the more cleanly phased tempest over the benchmark up to ACK. 
 

Gonna need a shift south on subsequent cycles. 

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21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yep. Prob gonna check out on this one soon. I’ll give it another couple cycles though since there is still some spread south/colder. But this is starting to get the feeling of an NNE elevation storm and not the more cleanly phased tempest over the benchmark up to ACK. 
 

Gonna need a shift south on subsequent cycles. 

I’m not giving up just yet, but we need the north trend to stop NOW. If it keeps going north by 0z, I’m out.

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2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

It's funny usually we hear at this time frame all about the NAM trending North. It goes south and all of a sudden it's all about the GFS. Weenie world

Lol..when the NAM is north and warm ….we’re told to not discount it. But when it’s south and cold, it’s discounted.  Funny shit. 

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1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol..when the NAM is north and warm ….we’re told to not discount it. But when it’s south and cold, it’s discounted.  Funny shit. 

It's a proven fact. But let's see where this goes, people checking out early

 

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17 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol..when the NAM is north and warm ….we’re told to not discount it. But when it’s south and cold, it’s discounted.  Funny shit. 

The NAM was thoroughly discounted the past couple events when it was on its own.  Remember all that snowfall it was showing just a couple days ago for that long-duration rainer?  Amped up into the cold sector?

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49 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yep. Prob gonna check out on this one soon. I’ll give it another couple cycles though since there is still some spread south/colder. But this is starting to get the feeling of an NNE elevation storm and not the more cleanly phased tempest over the benchmark up to ACK. 
 

Gonna need a shift south on subsequent cycles. 

Amazing how the trend that we do not want is what always prevails these past few seasons. Just unreal.

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7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Amazing how the trend that we do not want is what always prevails these past few seasons. Just unreal.

It's amazing even with the blocking.  Usually we will have a weaker primary and a transfer further south but in these past winters nothing at all.

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4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It's amazing even with the blocking.  Usually we will have a weaker primary and a transfer further south but in these past winters.

It seems like every event we get a lecture about how it would have been through Montreal without it, but instead its 34 and rain. I think frankly I am all set with it.

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Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It seems like every event we get a lecture about how it would have been through Montreal without it, but instead its 34 and rain. I think frankly I am all set with it.

Welcome to my climo :P

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10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It's amazing even with the blocking.  Usually we will have a weaker primary and a transfer further south but in these past winters nothing at all.

Blocking doesn’t matter with a strong mid level disturbance and associated primary.

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

If this is going to trend toward slop up here let’s just ram it to YUL and dryslot as much as possible. I’m ready to start growing cranberries here. 

Hope you are prepping your runs for the blue bomb that’s coming.

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