DavisStraight Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/03/major-spring-storm-to-supply.html First Call tomorrow night. Can you lower the right boob about 10-15 miles please? 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The more consolidated solutions have incredible dynamics. But something like the GFS is less intriguing until you are into high terrain of NNE. You have the low trying to escape northeast too quickly early before it finally gets tugged back. Yeah I mean don't get me wrong the ceiling with this is definitely high, but I just can't see this being another April 97, even if the consolidated solutions were to verify. April 1982 is the least applicable because this one lacks the same cold antecedent airmass. I could imagine a ceiling event with this one being 03/29/70 which was the Easter Sunday blizzard if the low retrogrades back sooner. So it has potential, just not sure its April 97 potential. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 5 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said: Yeah I mean don't get me wrong the ceiling with this is definitely high, but I just can't see this being another April 97, even if the consolidated solutions were to verify. April 1982 is the least applicable because this one lacks the same cold antecedent airmass. I could imagine a ceiling event with this one being 03/29/70 which was the Easter Sunday blizzard if the low retrogrades back sooner. So it has potential, just not sure its April 97 potential. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2024/03/major-spring-storm-to-supply.html First Call tomorrow night. I've got a blue line going through my backyard. Taking the under for mi casa. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Go back to the pre-clown map era when you have marginal temp profile….esp under 800-1000 feet 1. Look for 6 hourly QPF greater than 0.50”…preferably 0.75”+. The heavier the better, but 0.25 or 0.37 over 6 hours isn’t gonna cut it. That’s mostly white rain. 2. Look at 925 temps. Typically want -2ish or colder to avoid total slop though -1 will work if youre pounding with good snow growth aloft. If you aren’t satisfying both of those criteria, then you’re looking at something significantly under 10:1 ratios. Nocturnal timing for max precip can help a bit too, but it’s less significant than the two factors above. ORH yellow thumpity thump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 12 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: I remember it very well. 13 yrs old. Wiffle ball in the snow. 1st of 2 April snows 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 I am just in awe of the whole 500mb evolution. But while the 500 evolution is a beauty, how the surface evolves is going to be a giant PITA to figure out I think. With how things continue to look though I would not be surprised to see the highest totals in the 3 foot range and this would be achieved in favored upslope areas along the Greens and Berks. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 42 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Can you lower the right boob about 10-15 miles please? You would think he’d sag the nip tip right into NE TOL hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 21 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I am just in awe of the whole 500mb evolution. But while the 500 evolution is a beauty, how the surface evolves is going to be a giant PITA to figure out I think. With how things continue to look though I would not be surprised to see the highest totals in the 3 foot range and this would be achieved in favored upslope areas along the Greens and Berks. I’m going eastern facing side of the Whites for the jackpot right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 I am just in awe of the whole 500mb evolution. But while the 500 evolution is a beauty, how the surface evolves is going to be a giant PITA to figure out I think. With how things continue to look though I would not be surprised to see the highest totals in the 3 foot range and this would be achieved in favored upslope areas along the Greens and Berks.So you’re saying a certain ski resort in the northern greens 5 miles from the Canadian border looks like a powder fest late week? Preach on, sir!. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 20 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I’m going eastern facing side of the Whites for the jackpot right now. It will be some place no one lives. 45 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I am just in awe of the whole 500mb evolution. But while the 500 evolution is a beauty, how the surface evolves is going to be a giant PITA to figure out I think. With how things continue to look though I would not be surprised to see the highest totals in the 3 foot range and this would be achieved in favored upslope areas along the Greens and Berks. I don't give a rat's ass about the H5 evolution if it focuses all of the snow over Fort Otter****, ME again. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 30 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I’m going eastern facing side of the Whites for the jackpot right now. Phineas could get a 30 burger in this setup. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Phin is already planning on that lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Around 10 years ago my Dad was looking to buy a place in Randolph, NH. Awesome home, but too big and too remote. What a weenie spot. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 35 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I’m going eastern facing side of the Whites for the jackpot right now. ahhh good call. I wanted to mention the Whites in there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Phineas could get a 30 burger in this setup. Long duration E-NE flow into that topography… it really is the first big wall encountered by the moist Atlantic maritime air. If mountains are rocks in a stream, when the water flows from the east into New England, the largest build-up of water is on the east side of the Apps. West of there is turbulent (windy/angry) flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 18z EPS is north of the 12z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Long duration E-NE flow into that topography… it really is the first big wall encountered by the moist Atlantic maritime air. If mountains are rocks in a stream, when the water flows from the east into New England, the largest build-up of water is on the east side of the Apps. West of there is turbulent (windy/angry) flow. Yeah it’s not surprising that is also where some laughable storm totals have occurred when the stars line up. Like 60”+ type totals every once in a while in that high terrain east side near Pinkham Notch. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 As soon as EMA Wx blogged big shift north 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Yeah that north shift is probably the nail in the coffin for us here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 1 minute ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said: Yeah that north shift is probably the nail in the coffin for us here. I doubt you were ever going to get much out of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: As soon as EMA Wx blogged big shift north Well, alI I said was a shot at 6"+ NOP and out of the CTRV....that isn't far fetched. You are the one said I should have extended it further to the south. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I doubt you were ever going to get much out of this. Yea PVD never had a shot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Yeah, in fact most of SNE can mostly write this off. Unless you like an inch or two of glop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 5 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Yeah, in fact most of SNE can mostly write this off. Unless you like an inch or two of glop N Worcester Co will get snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: N Worcester Co will get snow. hoping so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: N Worcester Co will get snow. Yea, the epic solutions for our area certainly appear dubious, but several inches in northern areas remains feasible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 We certainly could use the rain. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 11 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: hoping so Hoping not. Bring on dry warm weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 24 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, alI I said was a shot at 6"+ NOP and out of the CTRV....that isn't far fetched. You are the one said I should have extended it further to the south. Lol I’m joking around with those comments but this always favored NNE . And that’s where it will be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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