TalcottWx Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 16 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Power outages over/ under 100k? Combined? Easily. Maine will have 100k+ alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Really have no idea if I'll wake up to 6-7'' of pure concrete and no power tomorrow or 3'' of crud. At least it looks like things improve pretty quickly in the morning. Cautiously optimistic my 3 pm out of MHT will survive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Hard to tell, but looks like flakes are mixing in on Wachusett webcam. Could just be insane rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just had first power outage. Now back on If it flips again, you can report as two outages #damage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Just now, DomNH said: Really have no idea if I'll wake up to 6-7'' of pure concrete and no power tomorrow or 3'' of crud. At least it looks like things improve pretty quickly in the morning. Cautiously optimistic my 3 pm out of MHT will survive. Just told my neighborhood chat this too. 0-16” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Hard to tell, but looks like flakes are mixing in on Wachusett webcam. Could just be insane rain Milk and bread for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Just now, TalcottWx said: Milk and bread for you. Beer. If I bring home a lot of grading, I will have school... If I leave it here, it will be cancelled... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Just now, Chrisrotary12 said: Just told my neighborhood chat this too. 0-16” My gut still says crud but there's definitely an avenue to warning snow if everything breaks right and it pounds 1-2'' an hour from midnight to 6 am. Hate the H7 low in NY State though - to me that screams showery banded radar and that ain't going to cut it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 1 minute ago, DomNH said: My gut still says crud but there's definitely an avenue to warning snow if everything breaks right and it pounds 1-2'' an hour from midnight to 6 am. Hate the H7 low in NY State though - to me that screams showery banded radar and that ain't going to cut it. Crud. Cut to 10pm when the radar is shredded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Hard to tell, but looks like flakes are mixing in on Wachusett webcam. Could just be insane rain When I left Worcester a couple hours ago it was all sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 GYX table of 90%/expected/10% still shows lots of uncertainty: PWM #: 0/6/20 ASH #: >1/5/16 Less of a spread at Farmington: 13/18/25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just had first power outage. Now back on Winds already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Saturday looks nice. NNW winds and temps in the 30s with rn/sn showers pinwheeling down 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 4 minutes ago, tamarack said: GYX table of 90%/expected/10% still shows lots of uncertainty: PWM #: 0/6/20 ASH #: >1/5/16 Less of a spread at Farmington: 13/18/25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 I don't know if I would have the balls to go 10" at MHT...but we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 18 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Beer. If I bring home a lot of grading, I will have school... If I leave it here, it will be cancelled... Wouldn’t it be the other way around? Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 6 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Winds already? Yeah trees and lines down in center of town 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kazimirkai Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Weather is absolutely miserable in Long Island. 39 degrees with 30 degree wind chill and pouring rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 21 minutes ago, DomNH said: My gut still says crud but there's definitely an avenue to warning snow if everything breaks right and it pounds 1-2'' an hour from midnight to 6 am. Hate the H7 low in NY State though - to me that screams showery banded radar and that ain't going to cut it. The H7 warm front lifts north relatively quickly once it gets established over SNE. Some of the better runs yesterday we’re trying to stall it for a few hours which is how you get 20-burgers there but that seems unlikely now as it doesn’t slow down until near S ME/NH border. But yeah, if you can flash to parachutes by 03-04z, then you’ll have a path to warning criteria snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 35 minutes ago, DomNH said: My gut still says crud but there's definitely an avenue to warning snow if everything breaks right and it pounds 1-2'' an hour from midnight to 6 am. Hate the H7 low in NY State though - to me that screams showery banded radar and that ain't going to cut it. 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The H7 warm front lifts north relatively quickly once it gets established over SNE. Some of the better runs yesterday we’re trying to stall it for a few hours which is how you get 20-burgers there but that seems unlikely now as it doesn’t slow down until near S ME/NH border. But yeah, if you can flash to parachutes by 03-04z, then you’ll have a path to warning criteria snow. That's the biggest difference I see between yesterday and today. There was a nice H7 low over SNE on yesterday's runs, but today it just kind of looks baggy or develops really late Thursday where it's almost over NH. In that sense it is almost purely WAA driven, which gives me more of a SWFE vibe of capping things at 10ish outside of the mountains. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 I'm surprised the wind and snow isn't being hyped more.. some will be surprised 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: I'm surprised the wind and snow isn't being hyped more.. some will be surprised agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Lots of outages popping up in Western CT and Mass on the Eversource outage map...spreading east. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 5 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said: Lots of outages popping up in Western CT and Mass on the Eversource outage map...spreading east. Big night ahead . Eversource will be caught pants down CT on this one 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Just got up north. 93 was wet roads, but there were some wet flakes mixing in Lakes Region north. Found my ski (lost it in the 24" last time I was up) at 1500' where it was snowing/sticking and temp at 33F. 34.1/31 here and light snow, no accumulation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 30 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That's the biggest difference I see between yesterday and today. There was a nice H7 low over SNE on yesterday's runs, but today it just kind of looks baggy or develops really late Thursday where it's almost over NH. In that sense it is almost purely WAA driven, which gives me more of a SWFE vibe of capping things at 10ish outside of the mountains. will you be pulling the trigger on any blizzard warnings? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Meanwhile the NAM won't budge on all sleet then follows the HRRR in drying things out aloft by daybreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: will you be pulling the trigger on any blizzard warnings? Nah. There was plenty of discussion, but overall we haven't really observed blizzards without it also being really cold, and that's just not in the forecast right now. Do I think there's a path to 20s and 1/4sm? Yes. But I'm not on the likely side at the moment. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 42 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That's the biggest difference I see between yesterday and today. There was a nice H7 low over SNE on yesterday's runs, but today it just kind of looks baggy or develops really late Thursday where it's almost over NH. In that sense it is almost purely WAA driven, which gives me more of a SWFE vibe of capping things at 10ish outside of the mountains. Yes. I think the western ULL ended up overpowering some of the height bulges out to the east that we were seeing yesterday on some runs. It’s a bit less prominent today so it’s taking longer for the storm to turn the mid-level winds easterly…and as you said, pretty hard to get monster totals when you are relying too much on WAA precip. Someone a little further north may benefit more though. I wouldn’t mind being near my summer vacation spot on Moose Pond in Denmark for this one. Pleasant Mountain FTW 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_observer Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Beer. If I bring home a lot of grading, I will have school... If I leave it here, it will be cancelled... Sounds about right...so bring it home. We really don't need school cancelling / power outage level snow in April. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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