weatherwiz Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:42 PM, dryslot said: Some of those are where that secondary is going to develop around the delmarva. Expand yup going to be interesting to watch that evolve later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:45 PM, weatherwiz said: yup going to be interesting to watch that evolve later on Expand I was just telling a coleague that here that it will be interesting, As that will affect the slp track a bit east or west or where its modeled now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:40 PM, Ginx snewx said: Asking again, any insight into new Rapid Refresh @OceanStWx Expand Honestly I don't know much about the known biases, but I would hazard a guess that they'll be similar in nature to the HRRR (since they are both RAP based). 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:42 PM, dryslot said: Some of those are where that secondary is going to develop around the delmarva. Expand For marginal areas, you'd want the convection to really get going and get as organized as possible this afternoon .. would go a long way overnight to have a more uniform area of big lift as opposed to a more banded structure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:48 PM, ma blizzard said: For marginal areas, you'd want the convection to really get going and get as organized as possible this afternoon .. would go a long way overnight to have a more uniform area of big lift as opposed to a more banded structure Expand That's the wild card really, Convection plays different rolls good or bad, If the precip field has that convective showery look to it that generally does not bode well for results. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:43 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Checking in. Obviously have disappeared, been busy with divorce activities lol. Pounding pellets as I head down 24 through Brockton Expand We were wondering where you disappeared to? Certainly Very Sorry to hear that Brett…but stay positive and upbeat, and you’ll be fine. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:40 PM, Ginx snewx said: Asking again, any insight into new Rapid Refresh @OceanStWx Expand They run it off Ray’s computer. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:43 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Checking in. Obviously have disappeared, been busy with divorce activities lol. Pounding pellets as I head down 24 through Brockton Expand Welcome back even if it's just for a visit. Did you get any rain down there last month? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:52 PM, WinterWolf said: We were wondering where you disappeared to? Certainly Very Sorry to hear that Brett…but stay positive and upbeat, and you’ll be fine. Expand On 4/3/2024 at 4:55 PM, kdxken said: Welcome back even if it's just for a visit. Did you get any rain down there last month? Expand Thanks wolfie, I appreciate it. I’ve been around, just been busy obviously, I’m hanging in there, moving forward, all you can do. And good lord, I’ve had enough water, it’s crazy. I’m done. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:55 PM, ORH_wxman said: They run it off Ray’s computer. Expand Nam says barely any snow, hrrr says we go pound town I love how we're actually technically in the event and the models STILL can't agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:55 PM, ORH_wxman said: They run it off Ray’s computer. Expand While his patients pour their hearts out…Ray’s got one hand on his laptop hovering over the touchpad while the other slowly begins to slip below his waist. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:58 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Thanks wolfie, I appreciate it. I’ve been around, just been busy obviously, I’m hanging in there, moving forward, all you can do. And good lord, I’ve had enough water, it’s crazy. I’m done. Expand Good to hear from you, real sorry to hear about all that. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 I'm riding the herpes model 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 We mist here. Winds slowly starting to bump up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 5:03 PM, dryslot said: I'm riding the herpes model Expand You sure you wouldn't prefer a model without an STD? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:47 PM, OceanStWx said: Honestly I don't know much about the known biases, but I would hazard a guess that they'll be similar in nature to the HRRR (since they are both RAP based). Expand Thanks Man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:55 PM, ORH_wxman said: They run it off Ray’s computer. Expand Tandy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 3:49 PM, UnitedWx said: No sleet in Simsbury, but down another degree to 38 fwiw Almost looks like wet snow/sleet/rain on cam in Westfield. We need a better camera! Expand I took a sick day; we had sleet for about 15minutes earlier. Ended quickly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 5:05 PM, tunafish said: You sure you wouldn't prefer a model without an STD? Expand Don't they still have antibiotics? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 It is going to be wild in Portland and especially west during the early morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 5:06 PM, weatherwiz said: It is going to be wild in Portland and especially west during the early morning Expand I think our outages will exceed last weekend's ice storm, and that was relatively significant for our area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 I just started an obs thread as the first flakes are in the air up here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 5:08 PM, tunafish said: I think our outages will exceed last weekend's ice storm, and that was relatively significant for our area. Expand That is very possible. I wonder if we see blizzard warnings fly with the afternoon packages Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 5:09 PM, wxeyeNH said: I just started an obs thread as the first flakes are in the air up here Expand Nice, I appreciate the update, leaving Lowell now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:42 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: Say what? Lol Expand Say what you know about RR bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 5:08 PM, tunafish said: I think our outages will exceed last weekend's ice storm, and that was relatively significant for our area. Expand we have production run tomorrow in pwm. I told the guys we're going to lose power and that'll likely mean we have to discard the run/product. We're in such backlog we can't afford not to manufacture, but we also face the likelihood of dumping the material if power goes out. can't win 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 5:06 PM, Ginx snewx said: Tandy? Expand I think it's a Wang. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 On 4/3/2024 at 4:58 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Thanks wolfie, I appreciate it. I’ve been around, just been busy obviously, I’m hanging in there, moving forward, all you can do. And good lord, I’ve had enough water, it’s crazy. I’m done. Expand That’s Good to hear!! It will get better. :-). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 Pouring in Tewksbury, 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2024 Share Posted April 3, 2024 Definitely a trend south from 6z. Maybe convection playing a role in that. But, sometimes surface lows don't have a big effect on the upper levels if it's already torched. The surface low could be quite out of place compared to like 850 low etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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