Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,610
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th


Typhoon Tip
 Share

Recommended Posts

Scalp fest has begun. PL, 31° F. There was a coating of snow last night during the evening from the WAA aloft once the column cooled enough to support RA to SN. 

Thinking 6-10" of sleet and snow here by Friday AM. Of course the wildcard is how quickly does that warm nose aloft collapse and we go from PL to SN. If I'm SN by 06z tomorrow, I could see 12"+. Mid level fronto tomorrow AM is also another wildcard.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, eekuasepinniW said:

lol

50+mph from the west or north = grid fine

14mph from the east = total grid collapse

 

Capture.PNG

Kidding aside. I passed about a dozen Holland Power Services utility trucks going south on 93 this morning. Looks like NH utilities have called in reinforcements already. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, OceanStWx said:

LOL at the entire GYX CWA having 90% chance of 12" in 24 hrs from 00z Thu to 00z Fri.

I feel like the last two years the output has been over the top. Maybe it highlights the hot spots.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

One thing I keep seeing on Bufkit forecast soundings is that the first 10-12 or so inches have deep saturation through the DGZ, but the next 6-10 the DGZ dries out. I would be pretty wary of that additional snow unless that profile changes significantly on these 12z runs.

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I feel like the last two years the output has been over the top. Maybe it highlights the hot spots.

That's what we've found for the QPF side of the HREF. Picks out the max values well, but the areal extent is usually too large.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

One thing I keep seeing on Bufkit forecast soundings is that the first 10-12 or so inches have deep saturation through the DGZ, but the next 6-10 the DGZ dries out. I would be pretty wary of that additional snow unless that profile changes significantly on these 12z runs.

QPF is always overdone when the mid level center is weakening and/or tracking west. I learned that in the early March 2009 system....clown maps kept trying to lay down like 18" and it ended up being like half of that.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...