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Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th


Typhoon Tip
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12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Biggest storm of the season incoming for you?

He got 19” on 1/7….I think it’s gonna be hard for him to beat that in this one..unless this goes south some more.  If it jumps south more..then he’ll have a shot for sure. 

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Heavy rain and flooding...

Rain will become heavy at times Wed night as the low level jet lifts
north across the region, with heavy precip lingering into Thu
morning for NE MA along the nose of the low level jet. Rainfall of
1.5 to 2.5 inches is expected which will likely cause renewed
flooding for many of the rivers in RI and eastern MA that have
recently experienced flooding. River flood watches were issued for
these rivers.

Let's goooo!   Up up up

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2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

My wife worked in Royalston for a few years    Nice town. You should do better than me here in the Hubb. 

The school? Can't picture many other jobs in the small town lol, I don't live there just work there

 

Edit: odds are my coworkers know her lol

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19 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Warnings for sleet & slush? If it doesn’t pound from midnight to 6am. We busted. 

Yeah seemed a little aggressive but what do I know. It's such a fragile setup at a time of year where fragile is tough. GFS is a good example of how it could happen but everything is going to have to break just right. 18z HRRR is a good example of the opposite. ML warmth + inconsistent rates + April solar insolation = 1-2'' of meh. Going to need to absolutely fooking pound consistently overnight to achieve warning snows. 

Truth is probably somewhere in the middle. Gun to weenie I'd go 2-4'' here.

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3 minutes ago, DomNH said:

Yeah seemed a little aggressive but what do I know. It's such a fragile setup at a time of year where fragile is tough. GFS is a good example of how it could happen but everything is going to have to break just right. 18z HRRR is a good example of the opposite. ML warmth + inconsistent rates + April solar insolation = 1-2'' of meh. Going to need to absolutely fooking pound consistently overnight to achieve warning snows. 

Truth is probably somewhere in the middle. Gun to weenie I'd go 2-4'' here.

Gun to weenie:

1/2” of sleet <- 8p to 12a 
3-4” of snow <- 12a to 8a
Drizzle on Thursday
Occasional snow shower Thursday & Friday

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4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I wish I lived there 

Use to go there for work - it's actually a nice college town. Was there in 2013 - Memorial Day week when Superior was still iced in. 

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10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Wow 26-39 inches for Marquette

Screenshot_20240402_195847_Chrome.jpg

Snow isn’t really making it up to Mount Bohemia.  Rough winter for the upper Midwest.  They closed a few weeks ago.  26-39” might have got them back open.  

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14 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

18z Euro seems kind of flaccid on QPF compared to other guidance. Really nothing over about an inch and a half for the frozen zones with lots of 1.2ish totals. 

Explains how snow totals went down some but down almost everywhere, not just the southern areas

 

Excuse me I'm still learning that there's more to winter forecasting than just clown maps, seriously though this stuffs complex :lol:

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