ma blizzard Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 9 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: For SNE…pick the tamest solution on any one model at any given time and there’s your forecast. Sloppy inch or two in the hills. Maybe some pellets for the low landers N of the Pike. I really think the sleet is being underplayed .. it could potentially end up being like 1"-1.5" of QPF as sleet between the Pike and SNH 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 5 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: I really think the sleet is being underplayed .. it could potentially end up being like 1"-1.5" of QPF as sleet between the Pike and SNH Let’s hope not, that would be a shit show on the roads Thursday morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The models have like a g-wave or maybe more like a lee mtn wave feature over wrn ORH county. Might get some weird winds out of that. Power is overrated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Winter storm watch.. we take 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: at some point the cold is just going to overwhelm the soundings and the edgy models that are IP/cat pawing may bust ... it's like venturing too close to the 'thermal event horizon' and the phase change physics pulls you down. Tip, I apologize for messing with your post earlier. I won't do it ever again. I really enjoy when you recognize a pattern then get into serious, energetic, enthusiastic analysis mode! That's when you start making those trillion dollar posts like the one at the beginning of this thread, and when I read it I feel like I just won 50 billion dollars on the mega millions. I really truly seriously love those posts you make where you analyze a promising pattern, setup to a decent blizzard for the SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Winter Storm Warning here, we rideSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 WSW hoisted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Ugh on the glue run. NAM bufkit is nutz at GYX. 19.7 snow winds gust in the upper 50s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Congrats folks. GL and take pics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Ugh on the glue run. NAM bufkit is nutz at GYX. 19.7 snow winds gust in the upper 50s we'd be fuked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 BOX basically going little to no accumulations even N of Rt 2, outside of the high elevations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Warnings up here too. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Burlington VT 327 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024 NYZ030-031-034-VTZ003-006-008-010-016>021-030900- /O.UPG.KBTV.WS.A.0005.240403T1200Z-240405T1000Z/ /O.NEW.KBTV.WS.W.0007.240403T1500Z-240405T1000Z/ Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-Western Essex-Orleans-Lamoille- Washington-Orange-Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden- Eastern Addison-Eastern Rutland-Western Windsor-Eastern Windsor- Including the cities of Saranac Lake, Tupper Lake, Dannemora, Ellenburg, Lake Placid, Newcomb, Derby, Newport, Johnson, Stowe, Montpelier, Waitsfield, Bradford, Randolph, Enosburg Falls, Richford, Richmond, Underhill, Bristol, Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington, Bethel, Ludlow, Springfield, and White River Junction 327 PM EDT Tue Apr 2 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy, elevation dependent snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 20 inches. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph along western slopes of the southern Greens prior to heavy snow Wednesday evening. * WHERE...Portions of northern New York and central, northeast, northwest and southern Vermont. * WHEN...From 11 AM Wednesday to 6 AM EDT Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Travel on mountain passes may be impossible. The hazardous conditions is most likely to impact the Thursday morning commute. Strong winds could cause tree damage. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snow is likely to occur Wednesday night into Thursday. In the afternoon, snow accumulations are more likely on grassy surfaces and elevated terrain than on roadways. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Please allow extra time if travel is necessary. && Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Let’s hope not, that would be a shit show on the roads Thursday morning. 18z HRRR def not backing down on the sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 BOX not impressed. Burlington more bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Surprised GYX went straight to warnings here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoCORH4L Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: at some point the cold is just going to overwhelm the soundings and the edgy models that are IP/cat pawing may bust ... it's like venturing too close to the 'thermal event horizon' and the phase change physics pulls you down. So cold begets cold, and the storm makes it's own cold. Got it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 10 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: 18z HRRR def not backing down on the sleet Was also snowier N of pike. Esp up by Rt 2 and over to Ray's hood. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 12 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: BOX not impressed. Burlington more bullish. BTV is even more bullish now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Was also snowier N of pike. Esp up by Rt 2 and over to Ray's hood. Yeah looks like it tries to flip to snow under good lift a couple times overnight even down to like KBED Not expecting much down here except for sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 BTV is even more bullish now.8.6 would beat my single storm all-time record...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 14 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: BOX not impressed. Burlington more bullish. Yeah BOX has been very conservative with amounts, and I don't see their expected snowfall lining up, 1.6 for my area? Wonder if they know something we don't because that doesn't make sense to me, even with the risk of it trending north last minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Stein Steining snow ? https://x.com/growingwisdom/status/1775235267399463151?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 NAM looks warmer again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Just now, Weathernoob335 said: Yeah BOX has been very conservative with amounts, and I don't see their expected snowfall lining up, 1.6 for my area? Wonder if they know something we don't because that doesn't make sense to me, even with the risk of it trending north last minute Which if I recall is less than the expected total that was posted this morning, think that was 3 something, wonder why they trended down when everyone else is trending up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Lmao 700mb actually improved over 12zSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 GL up north! We sit this one out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 10 minutes ago, mreaves said: BTV is even more bullish now. Somebody’s going to be way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 10 minutes ago, Weathernoob335 said: Yeah BOX has been very conservative with amounts, and I don't see their expected snowfall lining up, 1.6 for my area? Wonder if they know something we don't because that doesn't make sense to me, even with the risk of it trending north last minute I think they’re just being realistic. There’s still plenty of time for this to turn into a sleet storm all the way up to Concord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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