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Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th


Typhoon Tip
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5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

So I only waste .30" of QPF as IP at the onset...according to the GFS.

1712203200-b26bLWsl6OY.png

This is total QPF by dawn...lets assume no accumulation during the day given inconsistent rates and solar irradiance...around a foot of cement minus the .3 wasted. Maybe even assume less than 10:1...say 10" or so.

1712228400-sMkOfrRGPDo.png

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8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This is total QPF by dawn...lets assume no accumulation during the day given inconsistent rates and solar irradiance...around a foot of cement minus the .3 wasted. Maybe even assume less than 10:1...say 10" or so.

1712228400-sMkOfrRGPDo.png

Verbatim it's a textbook snow sounding from like 03z to 09z then it starts to rapidly dry out up top. Can't rule out 1''+/hr poundage during that window though. Razor thin.

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1 minute ago, DomNH said:

Verbatim it's a textbook snow sounding from like 03z to 09z then it starts to rapidly dry out up top. Can't rule out 1''+/hr poundage during that window though. Razor thin.

Could be more....I did 2"/hr for severla hours during that time frame back in January. That coming in predawn helps, too.

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1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Don’t! Sleet and slot will make for a let down. Stay the course. 1-3” of slop/cement. 

It's not an isothermal paste bomb sounding though during the overnight hours once the H7 warmth washes out. It's pretty damn cold right about down to the surface.

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