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Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th


Typhoon Tip
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Days and days at Pit2?   lol

Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Light and variable wind becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
Wednesday
A chance of rain and snow before 11am, then a chance of rain between 11am and noon, then rain and snow likely after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 40. East wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Wednesday Night
Rain and snow likely before 8pm, then snow. Low around 32. Breezy, with an east wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
Thursday
Rain and snow, becoming all rain after 11am. High near 38. Windy. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
Rain likely, mainly before 2am. Cloudy, with a low around 33. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday
A chance of rain before 8am, then a chance of showers after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.
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Man looking at GFS soundings and that is an absolute nuke for the interior north of Route 2 verbatim. H7 warm tongue is definitely something to watch though. Getting the feeling it's either going to be a condo collapser or a scalping, both of which completely suck at this point.

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3 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Edit* More paltry higher res models as they come into range for the blend algorithm get weighed more heavily. (Source: complete speculation)

Ahh that makes sense, because gfs and the other ensembles are staying the same or going south, yet the blends going north, so I think you're right 

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It absolutely is. Ask the Mets here if you don’t want to believe me. 

I haven’t heard, or see that at all being the problem.  The primary going to far north and east is killing this imo. If the primary was not making it as far north/or progged too, the secondary/coastal would get going further south, cutting off the warmth..thus we’d have a big wintry event on our hands.  But that doesn’t seem to be the case.    

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Euro was a little better with the secondary. Hits S NH and maybe extreme N MA near the border decently Thursday AM whereas the 12z run really didn’t do much in those areas. 

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