dryslot Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:28 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: Isn’t the issue up near 700? Expand No issue there either up here, looked to be -02c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:29 PM, CoastalWx said: That ULL in the Midwest is a bit more WSW and weaker vs 12z. So despite initial warm push, lets see if secondary can get going and move towards the globals. Expand Seems to be happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:31 PM, CoastalWx said: Seems to be happening. Expand Looks to be SE a couple tics from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 1, 2024 Author Share Posted April 1, 2024 Prolly should go with the JMA... 2-3" of liq equiv over 24 hrs of rampaging Nor'easter 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:33 PM, dryslot said: Looks to be SE a couple tics from 12z Expand Yeah that's what I was referring to. Starts to cut the torch aloft off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 Although low goes into srn CT lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 Low goes to HippyValley lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:38 PM, CoastalWx said: Although low goes into srn CT lol. Expand Secondary goes bonkers down to 981mb then track north thru the VT/NH border..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:40 PM, dryslot said: Secondary goes bonkers down to 980mb then track north thru the VT/NH border..........lol Expand Thought for a moment it would trend better with that limited WAA aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:26 PM, dryslot said: The next layer i can see is 925mb, I cant see south of either of those Expand 700mb is the issue. Might pinch off just in time for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:41 PM, CoastalWx said: Thought for a moment it would trend better with that limited WAA aloft. Expand Nammy going to need a few more cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 Was not banking on this one to work out given the situationals/time of year, but the last couple of days evolution is completely on script with last two years around these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:42 PM, powderfreak said: 700mb is the issue. Might pinch off just in time for you. Expand I already looked at that on the 12k and it did here, Just looked at 3k and did there too fwiw, More analyzing then i need to be doing on the Nam lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:43 PM, dryslot said: I already looked at that on the 12k and it did here. Expand 3km looks like you get to -1C but unsure if the warmest is right at 700mb. Might sneak above near there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:45 PM, powderfreak said: 3km looks like you get to -1C but unsure if the warmest is right at 700mb. Might sneak above near there. Expand from what I've seen warm nose peaks around 725-750 mb most guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 Getting a little granular with the NAM at like 60 hours here .. haha! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 Let's lock that 18z 3k in and call it a day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:48 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Getting a little granular with the NAM at like 60 hours here .. haha! Expand Some nightmares from a week or so ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:48 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Getting a little granular with the NAM at like 60 hours here .. haha! Expand I don’t like that primary low, ha. Warm mid-levels doesn’t seem like a huge stretch with the mid-level set-up. That primary low makes it like a SWFE on the front side. Like Scooter said, it makes sense to some degree but it’s also the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:42 PM, powderfreak said: 700mb is the issue. Might pinch off just in time for you. Expand This certainly isn’t good news for those looking for big snows. I wouldn’t discount it at all, the NAM is VERY good at picking up warm layers like that. Anecdotally it seems like when it’s NAM vs the cooler globals in these types of setups, the NAM is right more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:52 PM, powderfreak said: I don’t like that primary low, ha. Warm mid-levels doesn’t seem like a huge stretch with the mid-level set-up. That primary low makes it like a SWFE on the front side. Like Scooter said, it makes sense to some degree but it’s also the NAM. Expand I'm just bustin'. If folks want to Zapruder the 60h 18z NAM then this is the place to do it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:54 PM, MaineJayhawk said: I'm just bustin'. If folks want to Zapruder the 60h 18z NAM then this is the place to do it Expand Can’t wait to do the RGEM next and debate it vs the Euro . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:39 PM, CoastalWx said: Low goes to HippyValley lol. Expand What quadrant of the eyewall will I be in? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 Should be easier to clear up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 Reggie a tick north but very reach around-ish for eastern Mass. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 9:13 PM, powderfreak said: Reggie a tick north but very reach around-ish for eastern Mass. Expand 20"+ lol here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:19 PM, dryslot said: Well, That's the thing, Not sure how well its handling it but that does reek havoc on the models. Expand Developing theme now is a late blooming CCB as the ULL interacts with the 980 ish LP south of CC. Turns the corner someone from Scooter to NE Mass gets smoked. Meteorologically makes perfect sense with that position of the ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_observer Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 8:06 PM, AstronomyEnjoyer said: These are the kind of numbers you like to see on your point and click. Expand Maybe in January or February? The garden is calling....I'm about ready for 60F with sun for a several day stretch now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 On 4/1/2024 at 9:19 PM, Ginx snewx said: Developing theme now is a late blooming CCB as the ULL interacts with the 980 ish LP south of CC. Turns the corner someone from Scooter to NE Mass gets smoked. Meteorologically makes perfect sense with that position of the ULL Expand All guidance is bullish up here since 12z, Even the 18z ICON which I typically don’t look at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted April 1, 2024 Share Posted April 1, 2024 Wednesday Sleet likely before 8am, then snow and sleet. High near 29. Very windy, with an east wind 44 to 55 mph, with gusts as high as 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Wednesday Night Snow, possibly mixed with sleet, becoming all snow after midnight. Low around 25. Strong and damaging winds, with an east wind 60 to 65 mph, with gusts as high as 80 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Breezy https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=244&y=195&site=btv&zmx=&zmy=&map_x=244&map_y=195 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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