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Significant Miller B Nor'easter watch, Apr 3rd-4th


Typhoon Tip
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49 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The colder solutions recently have had the primary maxing out over Lake Michigan or far western Michigan instead of the thumb of Michigan or Lake Huron. That is enough to make a difference and allow the coastal to consolidate a bit better without primary interference. 
 

Note that the 12z NAM was a “thumb of Michigan/Lake Huron” solution unlike the RGEM/GFS

Yeah... Kevin was mentioning this earlier this morning

 

:lol:   :facepalm:

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2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah... Kevin was mentioning this earlier this morning

 

:lol:   :facepalm:

I honestly didn’t read that far back. Was busy with work. 
 

But it’s been a theme I’ve noticed since last night’s runs. We already knew a primary into Huron was bad for snow south of NNE but we were kind of hoping it would be over CLE instead previously…but that isn’t happening…however, an alternative version of getting more snow in SNE (or at least down into the SNE/CNE gray area) is to have the primary nuke out much further west over Lake Michigan. 

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4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

When hasn't it looked good.

If this pos model scores a coup, I will switch to Molsen Golden for all of April

Was it the CMC that had sniffed out the whiff for basically all of Mass for the Valentine's Day storm?

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Just now, Prismshine Productions said:

It was

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

I had forgotten after getting some ECT with my toaster in the bathtub.

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Not much change on euro. Maybe slightly better with primary as it drifts SE from Lake Michigan instead of east into Lake Huron. But gonna need more help than that though. 

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Canadian H5 is funny. It's nice and concentric with the ULL in the Midwest and then it's like the PV lobe NE of Maine is the brick that's thrown into a washer machine on spin cycle. Gets all wonky and shoots out a sharp s/w that rips it ENE at hr 84.

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