SnoSki14 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: These don’t trend south . Remember that The February storm did. We got your storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He did it. We did not do it. Another couple inches of rains among friends . Just the new norm . At least the torch next weekend and beyond is coming . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Just now, SnoSki14 said: The February storm did. We got your storm. Who is we? CT had 12-20” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 At this point in time, I'm perfectly content with the rain or an 1-2 of slop that Pit1 will likely end up with. Pit2 on the other hand might have late season shoveling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Who is we? CT had 12-20” North of CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Who is we? CT had 12-20” Yeah it ruined our storm up here but you guys in CT still got crushed. That was a weird one. It trended like 100 miles south inside of 36 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Nam/Rgem not being amped at their ranges could mean more south shifts. Wouldn't count coastal SNE out at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it ruined our storm up here but you guys in CT still got crushed. That was a weird one. It trended like 100 miles south inside of 36 hours. That was a different setup . Wasn’t really a bombing out low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Most stable I've seen the models all season, atleast for my area Impressive 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 3 minutes ago, Weathernoob335 said: Most stable I've seen the models all season, atleast for my area Impressive The models are always more stable in the spring and summer.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 No changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 4 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: The models are always more stable in the spring and summer.. I expected this to fizzle out into nothing by now with how the years went, guess I can take the extra plowing overtime instead 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Nam/Rgem not being amped at their ranges could mean more south shifts. Wouldn't count coastal SNE out at allNah, they just leaning more weight on the Monday system and that is throwing everything offSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 17 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Nam/Rgem not being amped at their ranges could mean more south shifts. Wouldn't count coastal SNE out at all I did notice the mesos were pretty suppressed. Doesn’t mean much yet though. If they still are once we get to tomorrow night then maybe. By then though, I’d expect globals to have moved some direction. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: No changes. Looking forward to pics of day care toys in snow. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Looking forward to pics of day care toys in snow. Its looking more likely, Models have ticked colder too up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looking forward to pics of day care toys in snow. Jeff prances in 2ft while he shoves binkys into crying sne weenies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Quite bullish on the 06z GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 42 minutes ago, dryslot said: Quite bullish on the 06z GEFS That’s a white rain goose egg in SE NH. PF has it right with the depth change maps. Much better baseline with that. GFS gonna burn us on the coast up until go time with these looks. I mean, it’s outputting 32-34 DP throughout, with 34 surface temps over same time frame. Assuming that’s correct you’d have melting exceeding rates with the qpf output. And if it’s 3 degrees too cold (as the GFS has been all season at these leads) it’s wet surfaces except for the coldest with those transitory dustings that melt whenever rates lighten. Seeing that 34 DP 18z Thurs on the backside of this <980 low is red flag we don’t have the cold conveyor hook up needed to positively offset “marginal”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 6z EPS ticked north a hair btwSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 I could def see this as being all or mostly rain for all of SNE. Still watching, esp at elevations up and in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: He did it. We did not do it. I'm always up that late on a weekend...only difference was I posted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 54 minutes ago, jbenedet said: That’s a white rain goose egg in SE NH. PF has it right with the depth change maps. Much better baseline with that. GFS gonna burn us on the coast up until go time with these looks. I mean, it’s outputting 32-34 DP throughout, with 34 surface temps over same time frame. Assuming that’s correct you’d have melting exceeding rates with the qpf output. And if it’s 3 degrees too cold (as the GFS has been all season at these leads) it’s wet surfaces except for the coldest with those transitory dustings that melt whenever rates lighten. Seeing that 34 DP 18z Thurs on the backside of this <980 low is red flag we don’t have the cold conveyor hook up needed to positively offset “marginal”. It does seem it will at least be cold enough to give ski areas some real accumulating snow. Looking forward to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I could def see this as being all or mostly rain for all of SNE. Still watching, esp at elevations up and in. There’s progged to be a very potent -NAO, if it can press this south some for once, we’d have a shot. But this NAO BS is proving to be worthless the last two years. I think we can add it to More of the fraud 5’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: There’s progged to be a very potent -NAO, if it can press this south some for once, we’d have a shot. But this NAO BS is proving to be worthless the last two years. I think we can add it to More of the fraud 5’s. Well without it this would be a raging cutter and fropa for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathernoob335 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I could def see this as being all or mostly rain for all of SNE. Still watching, esp at elevations up and in. Still confident in our area, right? ... my truck needs some overtime pay so I can buy some parts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: No changes. Gonna need a subtle south shift if we want to get more of SNE in the game. 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s a subtle trend but the WAA and main coastal CCB have become a little more disjointed since yesterday. So it’s actually done two things: 1. Push the threat ever so slightly north 2. Slightly reduced the ceiling of a higher end KU type storm total max zone These are subtle trends and could easily shift back but they could also keep shifting the way they did overnight which would lessen the impact further. Yea, I was dissapointed last night. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Well without it this would be a raging cutter and fropa for everyone. I'd rather that than what is modeled at the moment. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 12z NAM was wetter than the 6z GFS...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 For this to be a legitimate threat for my area, the weakening trend needs to stop now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now