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April 2024 Disco- SNE’s favorite month


HoarfrostHubb
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8 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Surprising. Looks like we touched the mid 20's here. 

Already up to 43° though

Warming aloft. Hills stay warm while radiators sink and drop . CAA yesterday morning got us to 29.7 for an hour . Didn’t kill anything . Trees leafed out even more yesterday afternoon in the warm sun 

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1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

Man. Gardener’s nightmare with a hard freeze on April 26. We do it one more time tomorrow….

The trees always know….

The landscape was brown with much anticipation of this shit…

 

Haha... you're whole post could just be the bold.  Nothing else  LOL

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31 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Odd split in the guidance for lows tonight. GFS and all mesos except the RGEM showing we stay way above freezing while euro and rgem showing we go below. And it’s even stranger with the former group having seasonal cold biases….

 

Do you mean 'machine -based' guidance products, like MOS?  

I've often wondered if they stage the raw models to 'coax' them into 'admitting' the season is in fact changing ha.  No but sometimes, particularly with the GFS ..., it seems any given extended range on March 15 - ~ April 15 or so, the model regresses whatever is happening back to Feb 15.  It's really very annoying if ever the GGEM and Euro and the ens systems all flagging the first sig spring warm up and the GFS is creating ice storms.

But that aside, the MOS products I think are weighted to climo farther out in time.  Not sure the 24 -hour ones are weighted as much, tho.   interesting

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21 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Should at least see some thunder chances next week, great way to kick off first week of May.

Just because you said that ... we are now BD'ed under a stable convention toxicity until July 10

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pretty impressive sun telling the atmosphere who's daddy temperature rises going on.   28 to 48 here in 1 1/2 hrs is quite impressive for a stasis air mass only being modulated by solar radiation alone.

And doing so on the front side of the daylight when the sun angle is still climbing, nothwithstanding ...

As Kevina pointed out, elevations south of Central NE were likely spared the harshest freeze tinging;  ORH low was 36.   FIT was 28.

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16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

GFS trying to cancel Mon-Wed.

It's been shaky anyway, regardless of model.    Don't try to tell Kevin that. LOL. 

It's not surprising when given any excuse to do so, the GFS in particular will always bulldoze warm ups

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You have either a BD on Monday, or the materialization of a front under us that would be more like 'defaulting' us on the N side of a front.  But having to contend with that was obvious going back a couple of day's worth of guidance imho.  I still haven't seen much reason since to go against, not when looking at both the forecast' synoptics and considering our sore-butt climo in the spring. 

 

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Maybe they’re Beech ?

Beech are smooth barked and very gray. Ash have a distinct weave to their bark. Ash also has opposite branching as opposed to Beech which is alternate. 

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45 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

pretty impressive sun telling the atmosphere who's daddy temperature rises going on.   28 to 48 here in 1 1/2 hrs is quite impressive for a stasis air mass only being modulated by solar radiation alone.

And doing so on the front side of the daylight when the sun angle is still climbing, nothwithstanding ...

As Kevina pointed out, elevations south of Central NE were likely spared the harshest freeze tinging;  ORH low was 36.   FIT was 28.

I have been 28F here in E CT the past 2 mornings

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