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April 2024 Disco- SNE’s favorite month


HoarfrostHubb
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Every year one of these BDs on the charts gets successfully beatin back from all these plausible philosophies and interpretations and then what happens?  it ends up in southern NJ

remarkable correlation exists between those two results …

General rule: if the models hint at a back door cold front at all, it will be misery beyond NYC some 90% of times. 
 

maybe this will be the one in 10 time it doesn’t

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38 minutes ago, kdxken said:

So much for '80s all week. Oh well...

"

Given the uncertainty and run to run inconsistency, blended warmer NBM guidance withcooler CONSALL
guidance. High temps will be warmer Monday regardless, but latest guidance has also trended temperatures back from the upper 70s to
low 80s, down to the low to mid 70s due to the back door cold front."

So much for your record cold BN week lol 

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Definitely a deep cold looking at the mountain temps.  What's interesting is the exposed upper mountain temperatures continue to cool off faster (relatively, the delta is larger up high) than the lower elevations on the east side.  Two sites, over a mile apart at 3,600ft are showing 16F.  While two sites, at mid-slope are 7F warmer at 1K lower elevation.  That's a steep lapse rate that is common with continued CAA from the NW up there.  Low levels are harder to drop, but up high in the free air is cooling much faster.  Cold air aloft.

Looking at the mountain profile...

3,600ft... 16F

2,600ft... 23F

1,500ft... 27F

750ft... 30F

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10 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Wood smoke in the air and a Marchand beat down of the Leafs. Doesn't get much better...

Watching playoff hockey on a CAA evening feels fitting.

It doesn't mean anything in the larger context of things, but it was more of a cold season vibe than warm season.  With playoff hockey.

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