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April 2024 Disco- SNE’s favorite month


HoarfrostHubb
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Changes coming.  The modeling horizon glows with the distant twilight.    ...Having just said that about 32, a real shot at this week being the last of that crap given to the multi-sourced modeled tapestry beyond this Friday.   No promises of course, but that's a definitive complexion shift over the whole hemisphere. 

Happens every year going in either direction ... the levee of the old finally caves into seasonal forcing and there's a series of days when the modeling represent that by flushing the system

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Anyone west of a I95 tomorrow ( Tues ) may have a sneaky run at 70.   850s pop to +3 C between 18z and 00z, with general ceiling level RH < 50% not three weeks before entry into solar max time of year ... the MOS and man expectations will definitely hold the temperatures down too much - how much so, notwithstanding.  But +3 at 850, if the mixing depth gets that high, is 64 at the sfc - then the "tree height" slope at the bottom of the sounding is easily 70. 

Unfortunately ... from Scott to PVD to metrowest to N. Shore probably get caressed by Labrador urine

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34 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Avoided frost this morning. Had an impressive temperature jump around midnight as some warmer air over my head managed to mix down. Went from around 32° to 38° in only about 15-20 minutes. Never quite made it below freezing this morning as a result. Check out the graph.

Screenshot 2024-04-22 080936.png

Yep. Just radiational nonsense.

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46 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Avoided frost this morning. Had an impressive temperature jump around midnight as some warmer air over my head managed to mix down. Went from around 32° to 38° in only about 15-20 minutes. Never quite made it below freezing this morning as a result. Check out the graph.

Screenshot 2024-04-22 080936.png

Calm to breezy so we mixed out. Pretty common. The ground was frozen solid though thanks to the low dews and clear skies. 

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