HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 5 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Hopefully a wet, wild summer. Grand-finale ending with a few bomb EC canes that power through FL/MA/?NE. It’s going to be a boring summer with bursts of AN heat and humidity. Hopefully less rain than last summer. Personally, I’m wishing for warm and BN dry. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 20 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Is this big Arctic cold, asking for a friend That's the day I'm picking up my boat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 5 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It’s going to be a boring summer with bursts of AN heat and humidity. Hopefully less rain than last summer. Personally, I’m wishing for warm and BN dry. Warm to hot with average precip would be great IMBY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 It was 98⁰ April 19th 1976. Average temp for the week was 72⁰ now that was a torch. Spent the week of Freshman year URI in Misquamicut. Made a major mistake, worst Ice Cream headache ever diving in the 42⁰ Atlantic 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 Easter Sunday was the 18th and remember being at my grandmother's house in Boston and the heat was intolerable inside. I remember talking about how the heat would affect the marathoners the next day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 00z Euro (operational) threw out the bathwater on the cold p.o.s. useless pattern. heh The GGEM also tossed. These models are both parting company with the GFS, which is holding onto the idea of plunking a -2.5 SD micro nuke at 500 mb down over NE at D6/7... It's doing it over a seasonally neutered baroclinic ambient lower troposphere, though ...so all we get from that is a paltry 1002 mb surface response and bunch of grapply/pea hail low top convection below the summit snows up N. The GFS has cold/amplitude bias beyond D 5..6..7 -ish. All troughs, closed or open, are consummately deeper than every other guidance in and beyond that time range in every run of the GFS, always () . There are certainly times when deeper verified(s) better, and the GFS looks pretty good. But every time? I doubt it. It's one aspect about the GFS I noticed around 2013 or so and has persisted since. It tends to accumulate colder heights over the polar side of the best perceived latitude of the main jet. Such that by the time a D10 roles around - when it doesn't matter LOL - it looks like the PV/arctic domain is in a state of regressing global warming... (sarcasm). It's actually relatively subtle, and not the same amount. But some 6 to 10 dm deeper in the nadirs of 500 mb across the hemisphere, relative to all other guidance, is too commonly observed for comfort. That subtle deeper depth concomitantly increases the ambient gradient, which leads to increased basal flow rate of the polar jet. I suspect this is why we get so many top heavy ridges in spring in the GFS, where it looks at 500 mb like a big warm up is coming, but the GFS ends up with a 1045 mb high over western Ontario, directing an E wind everywhere. The faster consequential flow velocity meant that confluence ended up too strong --> bigger high. Warmth excludes from the surface. The GFS has trouble getting SW lower troposphere flows under raising 500 mb to concurrently happen out in time. The model is uniquely adept at hiding warm up potentials, right at time of year when that it preferential to do so - nice! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 14 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: Hopefully a wet, wild summer. Grand-finale ending with a few bomb EC canes that power through FL/MA/?NE. 8 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It’s going to be a boring summer with bursts of AN heat and humidity. Hopefully less rain than last summer. Personally, I’m wishing for warm and BN dry. Indications continue to suggest hyperactive tropics are favored. I think we’re pretty hot here this summer but hopefully we do get some long dry stretches so it’s enjoyable. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 1 hour ago, Angus said: Easter Sunday was the 18th and remember being at my grandmother's house in Boston and the heat was intolerable inside. I remember talking about how the heat would affect the marathoners the next day. We were driving our 1971 Beetle from NNJ to northern Maine that day, stopping at my BIL's apartment in Boston for dinner (meat and potatoes - a salad would've been nice.) and that little air-cooled engine was so hot that when we stopped, we could hear the pings as it tried to cool. Outside the apartment a rat ran across in front of us and tried to go into a hole by the steps but was too fat and had to back out and go elsewhere. (We were not impressed.) When we arrived home in Fort Kent, it was 40° and cloudy. After the sweaty marathon 16-hour trip, we loved it. I'll be at Pittston Farm north of Moosehead next Thurs-Sat, in time for the cool down. May see some flurries? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: It was 98⁰ April 19th 1976. Average temp for the week was 72⁰ now that was a torch. Spent the week of Freshman year URI in Misquamicut. Made a major mistake, worst Ice Cream headache ever diving in the 42⁰ Atlantic I remember Easter that year as being hot up here, like 90°. I was 8 years old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 56 minutes ago, MJO812 said: That’s a stormy HHH cane look . Trough in center of country , WAR pumping heights and dews and heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s a stormy HHH cane look . Trough in center of country , WAR pumping heights and dews and heat Yep we will get hit this summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 Last flakes of the season? However, as things are winding down much colder air filters in late Wed into early Thu. Would not be surprised if there are some snowflakes mixing in. At this point total precip appearing to be generally between 0.1 and 0.5 inches. We`ve got mod to high (30-80+ percent) probs of totals AOA 0.1 inches and low probs (10-30 percent) of 0.5 inches. For now have just stuck with WPC. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s a stormy HHH cane look . Trough in center of country , WAR pumping heights and dews and heat Will you install or just sit sticking to an armchair muttering "this is more like it"? 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: AN precip might mean that the AN temps would be mainly in the minima, 86/75 rather than 93/68. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 4 minutes ago, tamarack said: AN precip might mean that the AN temps would be mainly in the minima, 86/75 rather than 93/68. Dewcie dew your partna! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 heat and dew talk. awesome 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 No stick season down here....82⁰ and dare I say a bit sticky 56⁰ back at home 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 14 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: No stick season down here....82⁰ and dare I say a bit sticky 56⁰ back at home looks great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 25 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: No stick season down here....82⁰ and dare I say a bit sticky 56⁰ back at home Leafout in Southbury! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 No surprise that forecasted by some folks record cold and freeze shot next week greatly modified today . Will end up a day of normal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 37 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No surprise that forecasted by some folks record cold and freeze shot next week greatly modified today . Will end up a day of normal Yeah like Coastalwx mentioned, it's a quick mild-down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 44 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Yeah like Coastalwx mentioned, it's a quick mild-down A chilly April is now +2 to +3 in sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 12 minutes ago, Allsnow said: A chilly April is now +2 to +3 in sne now Overall, April is more typically "chilly" for most of northeast NE, while SW areas can and will sometimes be markedly warmer. we've seen some sneaky backdoor situations pop into guidance, E /NE zones are never out of the woods"" jmo But yeah west CT/NY/NJ, you all good. It's seasonably cool weather in April, nbd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 Man we euro. Let’s go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 onshore flow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: No surprise that forecasted by some folks record cold and freeze shot next week greatly modified today . Will end up a day of normal Some SN mix in the forecast for NW Maine, Wednesday night and Thursday. No mention of accumulation and it's 5-6 days out. However, a few late April flakes there isn't really news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 yeah... GFS and Euro even more divorced re the D6-10 range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 19 Share Posted April 19 33 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man we euro. Let’s go. TOOORRCCHHH!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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