CoastalWx Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 What a morning. Awesome to think last sub 32 was in March. Thank you CC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What a morning. Awesome to think last sub 32 was in March. Thank you CC. still was 36 here with just a subtle amount of frost on the top of the car though. None in the lawn and so forth, no, but exposed metallic surfaces at 36 ? heh Kinda feel that has to stop before the seasonal gravity well has truly been escaped. It's like the Voyager I ... even though it is beyond the terminal shock boundary ... until passes through the interstellar La Grange point it still technically in the sun's outer tentacles. haha ... oooo k Anyway, the reason I muse about it is because this f'n -EPO is for real. Hate it. The overnight runs leaned colder again, loading S-SE Canada with neg anomaly ... I think we're gonna have to risk some frosty mornings this weekend. We really/probably should be on the other side of that 2 to 3 day window and then we'll be at last seasonally released. somethin' like that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Well the end of the GFS run is getting into May. Just a few weeks away from getting serious about convective/severe monitoring 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: Well the end of the GFS run is getting into May. Just a few weeks away from ?getting serious? about convective/severe monitoring Ummm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 The sun won't be denied though. Even if the ambient temperature is held into the upper 40s ... when the wind is light and the sky is open, the sun has a way of offsetting that significantly. Sometimes it helps to compare against the mirror season to put sol into perspective... This is the same sun as ~ August 24th today, and August 19 by this weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 10 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: HVN had a very late high of 78 today at 6pm and was the highest temperature recorded in the state. Around here it was between 74-79 from just after noon to mid-evening. Warmest day of the year so far. Still amazing to think it was in the low to mid 90s a year ago. That's truly wild for mid April. April 2021 at this time (3 years ago) you got warning snowfall. BDR hit 79 yesterday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Ha ha ha, Weatherwiz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The sun won't be denied though. Even if the ambient temperature is held into the upper 40s ... when the wind is light and the sky is open, the sun has a way of offsetting that significantly. Sometimes it helps to compare against the mirror season to put sol into perspective... This is the same sun as ~ August 24th today, and August 19 by this weekend. A few cool days and then we warm. I’m not hitting 32 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: A few cool days and then we warm. I’m not hitting 32 here. Even here in the high hills 32 is long gone and has been. Early May looks hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Even with n the high hills 32 is long gone and has been. Early May looks hot I’ll take this warmth for now, and then let’s do heat and dews through the summer with a WAR in August/September to give us tropical chances. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: A few cool days and then we warm. I’m not hitting 32 here. 34 ? heh Not likely that your garden's nut sack tickles 32, no ... but, big high, null wind, DPs of 24 or whatever will likely radiate the interior into problem territory, if the overnight guidance were correct, as is. Short version, there's a fair chance it won't actually be as cold as the overnight guidance. Longer, is the whole attenuation game ... Models tend to oversell just about everything they see out in time. It's gotten worse over the last 10 or years - roughly around the time all this exotic computing power/speed surged. interesting. But it seems almost perfunctory to assume all cold waves, hot waves, storm amplitude ... hell, the connections I make on my dating apps ... just go ahead and assume some 10 to 50% less inspiring actually happens. Seasonal forcing in spring has always tended to cause cool bias errors in extended range modeling. That's been there long before this recent model attenuation thing. So combining those two aspect... Kevin will now undoubtedly interpret this exchange as an install affirmation and temperatures approaching 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: still was 36 here with just a subtle amount of frost on the top of the car though. None in the lawn and so forth, no, but exposed metallic surfaces at 36 ? heh Kinda feel that has to stop before the seasonal gravity well has truly been escaped. It's like the Voyager I ... even though it is beyond the terminal shock boundary ... until passes through the interstellar La Grange point it still technically in the sun's outer tentacles. haha ... oooo k Anyway, the reason I muse about it is because this f'n -EPO is for real. Hate it. The overnight runs leaned colder again, loading S-SE Canada with neg anomaly ... I think we're gonna have to risk some frosty mornings this weekend. We really/probably should be on the other side of that 2 to 3 day window and then we'll be at last seasonally released. somethin' like that Same here, probably a couple ticks cooler tonight too Absolutely amazing out there today, Top 3 day of the year material 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 54 minutes ago, ma blizzard said: Same here, probably a couple ticks cooler tonight too Absolutely amazing out there today, Top 3 day of the year material Not shabby at all. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: 34 ? heh Not likely that your garden's nut sack tickles 32, no ... but, big high, null wind, DPs of 24 or whatever will likely radiate the interior into problem territory, if the overnight guidance were correct, as is. Short version, there's a fair chance it won't actually be as cold as the overnight guidance. Longer, is the whole attenuation game ... Models tend to oversell just about everything they see out in time. It's gotten worse over the last 10 or years - roughly around the time all this exotic computing power/speed surged. interesting. But it seems almost perfunctory to assume all cold waves, hot waves, storm amplitude ... hell, the connections I make on my dating apps ... just go ahead and assume some 10 to 50% less inspiring actually happens. Seasonal forcing in spring has always tended to cause cool bias errors in extended range modeling. That's been there long before this recent model attenuation thing. So combining those two aspect... Kevin will now undoubtedly interpret this exchange as an install affirmation and temperatures approaching 90 I'm just referring to my local area. No doubt others will for sure. Hell congrats DC on 4/26. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 I have gold finches at my bird feeder. The Silver and Norway maples are fruiting in North Conway. It also looks like the Birches, and Poplars are fruting as well 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 16 Author Share Posted April 16 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Even here in the high hills 32 is long gone and has been. Early May looks hot We hit below 30F this morning. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm just referring to my local area. No doubt others will for sure. Hell congrats DC on 4/26. Temps approaching the mid 80s on the 29th no less... ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We hit below 30F this morning. The usual valleys and elevated valleys and swamps for sure will. Generally most folks are done with 32 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 4 hours ago, BrianW said: BDR hit 79 yesterday. Wow thats crazy. i totally missed that. I was looking at the hourly reports and they weren't even close to that number. All the afternoon hourly reports were around 70-73ish. Looks like they spiked very briefly mid hour between 1-2pm and then crashed back down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 16 Author Share Posted April 16 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: The usual valleys and elevated valleys and swamps for sure will. Generally most folks are done with 32 Yeah. I think almost all are done south of the MA/NH border except in places like Pete’s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 The only frost or freeze I want right now is on my beer mug when I put it in the freezer 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Earliest leaf-out ever? wowzers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yeah. I think almost all are done south of the MA/NH border except in places like Pete’s. They’ll be some next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 we'll be fretting around with nape -like days ... some mild, but a few cooler than normal through D7 but we really need to get on the other side of this, which is pretty well agreed upon by every modeling convention there is, telecon to operational version. After 6 or 7 days from now, this has rapidly moderated to a general nominal dispersion of neg and pos anomalies ... by then being late April/sun it's like the final escape out of this abysmal cold season at that time - that's probably be modestly AN. In fact, there's even to modest suggestion emerging that a mirror departure may formulate very late this month - but heh ...extended range in April is about as dependable as a lotto ticket so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 11 hours ago, Snowedin said: I agree except we need a little more swampiness in the air to truly get that quintessential New England summer feel. Yeah dews will be slow to arrive, hopefully the Bermuda high sets up early and often to ramp up some dew days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 16 Author Share Posted April 16 4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Earliest leaf-out ever? wowzers Yeah. Things are definitely ahead 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Earliest leaf-out ever? wowzers Only 12 was earlier. Junior has lived up to its name this spring . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Only 12 was earlier. Junior has lived up to its name this spring . I remember the overall 12 vibes but don't recall the leaf out. You're probably right. Besides that shit stretch a few weeks ago. Jr. Is delivering the goods. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Beautiful day. Time to shut them down though, zero people still skiing, ha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 Look at this incredible warm up on the 12z Euro .. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now