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April 2024 Disco- SNE’s favorite month


HoarfrostHubb
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2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Hope things improve bro especially with this coming next Sat. 925 winds GFS Euro and qpf

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Nope.  No.  NO more rain.  Not when the water table is already so high that I'll need a dinghy and water wings to do the laundry if we get any more.

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7 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I could look this up but where do we stand for wettest 12 month stretch? Feel like we’ve gotten 2” of rain every 4 days for a year at this point. 

If this info is correct, 2023 was the 4th wettest on record in Worcester.  If we keep up the same rate we've had so far in 2024, we would probably surpass that.

https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/worcester/year-2023

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9 minutes ago, wx_observer said:

Nope.  No.  NO more rain.  Not when the water table is already so high that I'll need a dinghy and water wings to do the laundry if we get any more.

If this happens I throw in the towel. Feels like drying out the basement has become a weekly chore at this point. There's just nowhere for the water to go.

Neighbors dealing with yards that are flooding in places they've never flooded. Our basement has ground water coming up in areas that it's never done before. Just exhausting, think I looked and we're somewhere around 44" of precipitation since New Year's.

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4 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Winters are warming. Summers are torching. Falls are shortening. Yet, April suck of yore remains just as sucky as I can ever remember. 

Hopefully Greta can eventually warm spring.

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27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hopefully Greta can eventually warm spring.

i almost imagine after the next 100 years of only tepid success ... ultimately failing time constraining 'climate deadlines' later, and our seasons are so smeared at the boundaries it seems like it's trying to become one season.  We average 56 to 62 in "cold" season, and summers are a putrid 81/79 daily torpid steam bath under rumbles like a rain forest...

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2 hours ago, wx_observer said:

If this info is correct, 2023 was the 4th wettest on record in Worcester.  If we keep up the same rate we've had so far in 2024, we would probably surpass that.

https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/worcester/year-2023

The Kennebec drainage has had much if its top-5 peak flows in recent years, especially the 2 rivers from the mountains.  All flow numbers are cfs.  (Parentheses:  sq. mi. watershed)

Carrabassett    1926 on    (373)   Much the flashiest trib.
50,700    4/1/1987
39,000   12/18/2023*
35,500    5/1/2023
31,600    8/29/2011   Irene
30,800    3/19/1936

Sandy   1929 on   (516)
51,100     4/1/1987
42,700   12/19/2023
38,600    3/19/1936
36,900   3/28/1953
31,300    5/1/2023

Kennebec   1979 on   (5,403)
232,000    4/2/1987 **
167,000    12/19/2023
113,000     6/1/1984
113,000     5/1/2023
111,000     4/28/1979

* Reached 39,000 while still rising, then went offline for 8 hours, by which time the flow was much lower.
** Greatest flow in Maine records.  Comparison with Maine's other major rivers:
Penobscot, 1902 on   153,000 on 5/1/1923    (6,6721)
Saint John, 1927 on   183,000 on 4/30/2008  (5,680)
Androscoggin, 1929 on   135,000 on 3/20/1936   (3,263)

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April 1987 must have been crazy to see. I was living in Austin Texas but my grandmother sent me all the local newspapers. I think I still have them somewhere. 

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Strong/Damaging Winds...

As for the wind threat the EPS continues to be more amped up. The
EPS indicates winds 2-3 STD above model climo, but the V
component (north/south) is around 3-3.5 STD above model climo.
As for the NAEFS the winds are around 2-2.5 STD, while the V
component is 2.5- 3 STD above model climo. Both sources
indicate most anomalous winds at 850 hPa, which makes sense as
deterministic guidance showing a 50- 80+ kt southerly jet
impinging on our region. The big question on the winds is the
exact timing and typically it is a bit more difficult to mix
down southerly winds this time of year. This risk could be
increased especially in areas where heavier rain slides through
or with thunderstorm activity.

 

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