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April 2024


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47 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I wonder if we've ever had that before in one week? Temperatures (all highs I'm assuming) in every decadal range from the teens to the sixties lol.

 

I like the Jan 15 - 19 - 1994 up and down

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3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

With the rest of the month looking fairly dry we may end up falling below average for April. Certainly didn't seem possible after receiving 3" the first week

That was an extension of the March pattern.  I wonder taken collectively if it was one of our wettest 5-6 weeks periods ever.

 

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Nasty today. Only 51 degrees here right now. 

Not much to talk about for awhile. Finally in a dry pattern. Maybe just a shower on Wednesday. Pretty much just normal temps (maybe slightly below a couple days) for late April over the next week with highs in the 60s. Boring weather ahead, but I'm ok with boring for awhile after all the rain we've had in recent months. 

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2 hours ago, nycwinter said:

i feel euphoric over this weather cloudy and chilly :lol:

I must recommend a Helly Hansen - easily the best rainy/ snowy weather jacket I’ve had. Best. North Face and Oros - pass. If of course you don’t have one. 

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1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

Nasty today. Only 51 degrees here right now. 

Not much to talk about for awhile. Finally in a dry pattern. Maybe just a shower on Wednesday. Pretty much just normal temps (maybe slightly below a couple days) for late April over the next week with highs in the 60s. Boring weather ahead, but I'm ok with boring for awhile after all the rain we've had in recent months. 

I would settle for boring hopefully the next couple of weeks. Our rivers and streams deserve a much needed break. Besides I got a hunch we’re going to deal with a couple of tropical threats this summer with a hyperactive hurricane season looming.

 

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Under mainly cloudy skies, much of the region struggled to reach the low 50s. Tomorrow will be somewhat milder, but generally cooler than normal conditions will likely persist through most of the week.

It could turn warmer as April concludes with May starting with warmer to much warmer than normal temperatures.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around April 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.10°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.15°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is fading. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring.

The SOI was -4.33 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.594 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 74% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 54.9° (1.2° above normal).

 

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8 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

are we returning to early 80s type weather in spring lol?

It was below freezing on this date in 1981 and of course we know what happened in 1982 and 1983 also had a late April snowstorm on the 20th.

The -30C 850 mb temperature near James Bay is close to the record for late April. It looks like the TPV splits in a few days and a piece heads for Maine. So NYC has a shot at dipping under 40° with the interior northeast having a hard freeze potential.

 

C303DA6F-EADB-49C4-B530-968E3924D84D.thumb.jpeg.eaa5a7d54dc16e755330f7bb03d60e83.jpeg

AEDFBB11-7A23-4873-B564-A159AA3F8219.thumb.jpeg.6fe4d13ec3ef594c7d60804285735ece.jpeg

 

 

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10 hours ago, bluewave said:

The -30C 850 mb temperature near James Bay is close to the record for late April. It looks like the TPV splits in a few days and a piece heads for Maine. So NYC has a shot at dipping under 40° with the interior northeast having a hard freeze potential.

 

C303DA6F-EADB-49C4-B530-968E3924D84D.thumb.jpeg.eaa5a7d54dc16e755330f7bb03d60e83.jpeg

AEDFBB11-7A23-4873-B564-A159AA3F8219.thumb.jpeg.6fe4d13ec3ef594c7d60804285735ece.jpeg

 

 

It's pretty rare to get below 40 degrees after 4/20, it's only happened a handful of times in my memory (and most of those were actually in early May like 2020, 1992, etc, and of course there was 1977.)  1983 stands out with a snowstorm on 4/20.

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2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

It's pretty rare to get below 40 degrees after 4/20, it's only happened a handful of times in my memory (and most of those were actually in early May like 2020, 1992, etc, and of course there was 1977.)  1983 stands out with a snowstorm on 4/20.

The last times NYC dropped under 40° after 4-20 was back in 2021 and 2020. The rarest was during early May in 2020 when it snowed. That was probably the most anomalous cold event of the 2020s so far.

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Ending Date
Lowest Min Temperature Apr 21 to May 31
Missing Count
2023-05-31 43 0
2022-05-31 40 0
2021-05-31 36 0
2020-05-31 34 0
2019-05-31 41 0
2018-05-31 39 0
2017-05-31 44 0
2016-05-31 43 0
2015-05-31 38 0
2014-05-31 41 0
2013-05-31 37 0
2012-05-31 38 0
2011-05-31 40 0
2010-05-31 40 0

 

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