MJO812 Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 21 minutes ago, Allsnow said: @MJO812 you will see 95+ degrees in April before you see 30 in Brooklyn ever again This is a stupid post and you know it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 29 Share Posted March 29 59 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: 40s and rain, talk about a horrendous weather week. Looking forward to the 2nd week of April when we'll see a big warmup to the 70s. Anyway I hope everyone has a great holiday weekend. Unless we see an omega block form 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 48 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Unless we see an omega block form Thankfully zero signal for that on ensembles. Matter of fact quite the opposite. Big ridge forming in the E after the breakdown of the NAO block 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: This is a stupid post and you know it. That you'll see a 95 degree high in April before a 30 degree high in April in Brooklyn? Think about that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 15 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Thankfully zero signal for that on ensembles. Matter of fact quite the opposite. Big ridge forming in the E after the breakdown of the NAO block It really is remarkable how quickly at least in the operational GFS, is transitive … Tries to go from the substantial snowstorm in New England all the way to the mid 70s just three or four days later. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 32 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Thankfully zero signal for that on ensembles. Matter of fact quite the opposite. Big ridge forming in the E after the breakdown of the NAO block Yep heat will be here mid to late April 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yep heat will be here mid to late April Agreed. Big signals building Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 38 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Thankfully zero signal for that on ensembles. Matter of fact quite the opposite. Big ridge forming in the E after the breakdown of the NAO block I'd rather wait a couple more days but yes that's the signal right now. Probably a scary harbinger of a brutally hot summer if we do see 80s in April. Seasonal forecasts and a Nino to Nina transition point to a brutal scorcher. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Just now, SnoSki14 said: I'd rather wait a couple more days but yes that's the signal right now. Probably a scary harbinger of a brutally hot summer if we do see 80s in April. Seasonal forecasts and a Nino to Nina transition point to a brutal scorcher. Agreed. Not calling for a torch or anything yet here from my end. But pretty unanimous agreement on ensembles of ridging in the E. A strong system coming early next week is a big giveaway with the NAO breaking down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 2 hours ago, Allsnow said: @MJO812 you will see 95+ degrees in April before you see 30 in Brooklyn ever again 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: This is a stupid post and you know it. 22 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: That you'll see a 95 degree high in April before a 30 degree high in April in Brooklyn? Think about that. Good evening Allsnow, Anthony, JP87. Ref the attached NWS almanac graphic, it’s already (95+) happened twice within the last 38 years. I feel that Allsnow was stating the obvious. Our ocean will likely be our blanket regardless of the season. Stay well, as always… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 25 minutes ago, rclab said: Good evening Allsnow, Anthony, JP87. Ref the attached NWS almanac graphic, it’s already (95+) happened twice within the last 38 years. I feel that Allsnow was stating the obvious. Our ocean will likely be our blanket regardless of the season. Stay well, as always… Thanks for pulling the data. I thought Allsnows comment was very straightforward and truthful. This confirms it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 On 3/28/2024 at 10:22 AM, LibertyBell said: omg I guess if you want to avoid the traffic and the high costs of airfare, you could always travel by Amtrak. But that has logistical issues also. From April 5th on, Amtrak heading upstate to path of totality is sold out by now. Only thing I saw available was 1 train the morning of, which is cutting it extremely close, like to the minute. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 an inch before the main event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 8 hours ago, JetsPens87 said: Thankfully zero signal for that on ensembles. Matter of fact quite the opposite. Big ridge forming in the E after the breakdown of the NAO block Maybe this is why every time we have had a very rainy March, it has always been followed by a very hot summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 7 hours ago, dWave said: From April 5th on, Amtrak heading upstate to path of totality is sold out by now. Only thing I saw available was 1 train the morning of, which is cutting it extremely close, like to the minute. I just looked too, and there isn't even one coming back down after the eclipse on the same day lol. So anyone who goes there by train will have to stay there overnight. By the way, what travel site do you use to check and what city did you see it was still available for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 The storm is trending into an interior northern New England event. April, strong primary/parent low driving into Lake Erie, no antecedent arctic airmass in place prior to the event, strong WAR out ahead of it, coastal redevelopment happens too late for this latitude…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 41 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The storm is trending into an interior northern New England event. April, strong primary/parent low driving into Lake Erie, no antecedent arctic airmass in place prior to the event, strong WAR out ahead of it, coastal redevelopment happens too late for this latitude…. Always was 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Any time we get a period of cooler weather these days the warm up following the cooler weather ends up more impressive. Plus we haven’t been able to sustain -NAO patterns for very long since last fall. There is usually a quick NAO rebound to positive following any dips. The one exception is during the summer with the shift to record summer -NAOs in recent times. As we can see on the models. Once next week's storm passes, warm weather will start showing up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 13 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Always was Sadly true but doesn't hurt to track it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Sadly true but doesn't hurt to track it. Noone said you couldnt.. I'm tracking it cause it's a powerful storm. Rain for here though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 11 minutes ago, MJO812 said: As we can see on the models. Once next week's storm passes, warm weather will start showing up. Yep, big warmup coming, multi-model ensemble agreement on that too. Would not surprise me at all to see widespread 70’s show up again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Just now, snowman19 said: Yep, big warmup coming, multi-model ensemble agreement on that too. Would not surprise me at all to see widespread 70’s show up again Agree La nina coming in strong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Agree La nina coming in strong I’m worried about a dangerous Atlantic hurricane season coming up…record warm MDR already, ++AMO, rapidly developing (possibly strong) La Niña…bad, bad combination. I also think we see a very hot summer with a likely roided up SE ridge and given the extreme soil moisture we have in place, it’s probably going to be humid as hell too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 5 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I’m worried about a dangerous Atlantic hurricane season coming up…record warm MDR already, ++AMO, rapidly developing (possibly strong) La Niña…bad, bad combination. I also think we see a very hot summer with a likely roided up SE ridge and given the extreme soil moisture we have in place, it’s probably going to be humid as hell too The tropics are going to be very active. We should be on the lookout. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 1 hour ago, JetsPens87 said: Always was Probably too late for coastal New England too, unless you're up in Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 24 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I’m worried about a dangerous Atlantic hurricane season coming up…record warm MDR already, ++AMO, rapidly developing (possibly strong) La Niña…bad, bad combination. I also think we see a very hot summer with a likely roided up SE ridge and given the extreme soil moisture we have in place, it’s probably going to be humid as hell too it sounds like a repeat of those weird 1950s years Take a look at some of those years with very hot summers and lots of east coast tropical activity. In the 90s and afterwards, usually a strong WAR has meant TCs get steered to Florida or the GOM-- you think it will be more like the 1950s rather than the 1990s and since then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 40 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Noone said you couldnt.. I'm tracking it cause it's a powerful storm. Rain for here though. high winds and lots of coastal flooding too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 47 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Noone said you couldnt.. I'm tracking it cause it's a powerful storm. Rain for here though. Yeah I was never tracking it for snow here. There is nothing like tracking a powerful coastal storm regardless of precipitation type. Always fun and exciting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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