LVblizzard Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 0z models are faster with the wave of clouds and light rain. Good news for people like me who want to go to Ohio, since there’s a better chance there will be clearer skies by the time totality happens. Bad news for anyone planning to go to New York unless you stay near I-87. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 10 hours ago, LVblizzard said: 0z models are faster with the wave of clouds and light rain. Good news for people like me who want to go to Ohio, since there’s a better chance there will be clearer skies by the time totality happens. Bad news for anyone planning to go to New York unless you stay near I-87. we already got our big surprise with the earthquake today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 Honestly, I'm afraid it's largely going to be a shitshow. There will be a few places that don't have any problems, but this is par for the course for April climo. The best one was always probably going to be Aug '17, though. The areas that *look* like the best (near STL/Carbondale) probably won't be because of thicker jet cirrus moving in at the last minute (that isn't being well forecast) and the little room you get to maneuver in IN/OH inside the dry slot will be crowded as fuck because everywhere else isn't great. Get too far east in OH and you're dealing with stratocu. Try to avoid it altogether and head to ME and you're running into a massive fresh (but melting) snowpack and less than stellar road network, and crowded too as most of the cities down south empty out to head there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wiivile Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 The NAM is fairly optimistic about NY. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024040512&fh=81&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=cloudcover&m=nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 Euro according to JB: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wiivile Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 That looks better than it has all week though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 1 minute ago, wiivile said: That looks better than it has all week though... White on that map JB posted actually represents completely overcast. Euro is caving to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wiivile Posted April 5 Share Posted April 5 wow these maps keep screwing with my head with the blue/white colors. the NAM looks somewhat more optimistic: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=cloudcover&rh=2024040518&fh=75 isnt the NAM superior to the longer range Euro/GFS within this time range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed, snow and hurricane fan Posted April 6 Share Posted April 6 At least San Antonio and Austin are in a Day 3 hatched sig-severe, language suggests for large to very large hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 6 Share Posted April 6 On 4/5/2024 at 1:21 PM, wiivile said: The NAM is fairly optimistic about NY. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024040512&fh=81&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=cloudcover&m=nam I would say that's probably wrong unless you head to Plattsburgh it's probably not going to be good at Syracuse (maybe Watertown will be better.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wiivile Posted April 6 Share Posted April 6 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: I would say that's probably wrong unless you head to Plattsburgh it's probably not going to be good at Syracuse (maybe Watertown will be better.) Yeah, that’s outdated now. NAM is no longer optimistic about NY. Need that front to slow down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 6 Share Posted April 6 1 minute ago, wiivile said: Yeah, that’s outdated now. NAM is no longer optimistic about NY. Need that front to slow down. I think using the national blend of models is best, the blending seems to improve the accuracy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 7 Share Posted April 7 I am committed now to Mountain View Arkansas. Good luck all! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wiivile Posted April 7 Share Posted April 7 supposedly the canadian models are the best for cloud coverage, and i think the HRDPS is the highest resolution canadian model now that we’re within its range. it looks pretty good for northern NY/VT, and you might be able to find some holes in the clouds in western and central NY: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024040712&fh=32&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=cloudcover&m=hrdps i don’t mind some high clouds, but im trying to avoid mid and low clouds like the plague Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 7 Share Posted April 7 41 minutes ago, wiivile said: supposedly the canadian models are the best for cloud coverage, and i think the HRDPS is the highest resolution canadian model now that we’re within its range. it looks pretty good for northern NY/VT, and you might be able to find some holes in the clouds in western and central NY: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024040712&fh=32&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=cloudcover&m=hrdps i don’t mind some high clouds, but im trying to avoid mid and low clouds like the plague If in NY your best bet is Lake Placid. I wouldn't depend on holes in the clouds for Syracuse or points west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 7 Share Posted April 7 42 minutes ago, wiivile said: supposedly the canadian models are the best for cloud coverage, and i think the HRDPS is the highest resolution canadian model now that we’re within its range. it looks pretty good for northern NY/VT, and you might be able to find some holes in the clouds in western and central NY: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024040712&fh=32&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=cloudcover&m=hrdps i don’t mind some high clouds, but im trying to avoid mid and low clouds like the plague https://www.pivotalweather.com/eclipse2024/?m=cmceens&p=cloudcover_labeled&r=us_state_ny Try to get to under 40% cloud coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 9 Share Posted April 9 Had beautiful conditions in Arkansas! 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted April 9 Share Posted April 9 Saw it in Waco Tx and had clear skies during the totality. Got to even see the solar flares. Was amazing to see what everything looked like during that window of time. Can't wait for the next one in 20 years. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted April 9 Share Posted April 9 I ended up driving north toward Glendale AK from Dallas the day of the eclipse. Was a stressful ride because we were in clouds most of the trip but it then cleared up and we settled on the side of the road surrounded by hills, all by myself with my daughter throughout it. Was unforgettable, amazing, hard to describe in words what I witnessed. I might have even burst into tears when I took off the glasses to see totality for the first time. Anyways, despite the cloudiness it seemed that the weather worked out for most of the big cities in totality. Even my aunt in Austin saw it, and they were predicted to be largely in heavy low cloud cover. What an experience - considering chasing the next one in Spain. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted April 11 Share Posted April 11 I watched from Black Rock, Arkansas with my usual storm chasing partner. Totality duration 3:58. C2 1:54:31, C3 1:58:29 Central Time. Black Rock is northwest of LIT. We stationed east side of the centerline in an effort to get back to MEM ahead of traffic. LOL it worked, for the first 10 minutes! He knows the back ways through the Delta into MEM so it's all good, no traffic horror story. @eyewall Arkansas cleared out nicely. Congrats @Ridingtime did you take non-Interstates? I hope so, because the trucks ORD to DFW are horrendous. We are considering Spain; we have friends there, tour around days before, grand finale eclipse. Totality is 45 minutes before sunset, so things have to go right. It's also short 1:30 or so, but that can be an advantage. Punt the equipment, and just enjoy it all naked eye. My detailed eclipse account is in Lakes / Ohio Valley Region. We'd been discussing it for a few days. Thread got off-track on restaurants, but my post is easy to find because it's long on page 4. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 12 Share Posted April 12 I was curious if anyone here saw shadow bands just before totality. Some people around us say they did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 12 Share Posted April 12 11 hours ago, nrgjeff said: I watched from Black Rock, Arkansas with my usual storm chasing partner. Totality duration 3:58. C2 1:54:31, C3 1:58:29 Central Time. Black Rock is northwest of LIT. We stationed east side of the centerline in an effort to get back to MEM ahead of traffic. LOL it worked, for the first 10 minutes! He knows the back ways through the Delta into MEM so it's all good, no traffic horror story. @eyewall Arkansas cleared out nicely. Congrats @Ridingtime did you take non-Interstates? I hope so, because the trucks ORD to DFW are horrendous. We are considering Spain; we have friends there, tour around days before, grand finale eclipse. Totality is 45 minutes before sunset, so things have to go right. It's also short 1:30 or so, but that can be an advantage. Punt the equipment, and just enjoy it all naked eye. My detailed eclipse account is in Lakes / Ohio Valley Region. We'd been discussing it for a few days. Thread got off-track on restaurants, but my post is easy to find because it's long on page 4. It sure did! We had perfect viewing conditions! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardinalland Posted April 12 Share Posted April 12 1 minute ago, eyewall said: I was curious if anyone here saw shadow bands just before totality. Some people around us say they did. I saw them in Lyndon VT. SO cool. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted April 12 Share Posted April 12 13 minutes ago, cardinalland said: I saw them in Lyndon VT. SO cool. I'm curious what causes them and why they are only visible just before and just after totality. I heard them compared to sun shining on a swimming pool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted April 12 Share Posted April 12 1 hour ago, eyewall said: I was curious if anyone here saw shadow bands just before totality. Some people around us say they did. Some YouTube videos show these 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 On 4/11/2024 at 8:47 PM, LibertyBell said: I'm curious what causes them and why they are only visible just before and just after totality. I heard them compared to sun shining on a swimming pool. Most think it is shadows generated by atmospheric turbulence because the light is much more diffuse at that point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 13 Share Posted April 13 Here is my composite: 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 15 Share Posted April 15 And finally a better edit to show the details of the inner Corona: 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 And if you aren't sick of these yet, here is another composite. I did edit some totality shots to approximate the diamond ring phases as I had the filter on for those to protect my scope's optics: 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted April 18 Share Posted April 18 A cleaner edit of my totality shots: 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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