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The Congrats Dendrite Deck Destroyer 3/23-3/25 obs discussion


Ginx snewx
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Just now, dryslot said:

If Ray gets half a foot, Jeff gets 20"+

Deep deep Arctic cold so hard to displace. Look for more Messenger moves. I called for snow for Hunchie and Ray so I am hoping it continues to expand snow area.

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Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Deep deep Arctic cold so hard to displace. Look for more Messenger moves. I called for snow for Hunchie and Ray so I am hoping it continues to expand snow area.

27/2°F here, Dews are tanked.

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4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No closed H7 low gives me pause for over 20". Usually those exotic solutions without a closed H7 low get tamer...but it is a good dump of moisture.

Banding and CSI is really impressive on the NAM

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7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No closed H7 low gives me pause for over 20". Usually those exotic solutions without a closed H7 low get tamer...but it is a good dump of moisture.

This whole setup is pretty unique actually.

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Nammy has a decent flip back to snow up here at the end. That would probably create some power issues. 

Brian,  give me a guess for my area?  Clown maps are crazy but showing 20" of snow but I think they are including sleet.  8-12" or would you go higher?  I have not been on the forum much..   

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1 hour ago, GCWarrior said:

According to NWS the winds are over 40 mph up high right now and saddleback is running both the kennabago and Rangeley.  So that is promising. 

I'm looking at the Sugarloaf webcams. And all the upper mountain lifts are closed. The flags on the beach are whipping in the wind.

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1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said:

Brian,  give me a guess for my area?  Clown maps are crazy but showing 20" of snow but I think they are including sleet.  8-12" or would you go higher?  I have not been on the forum much..   

I personally think 8-12 is a good guess along with a wintery mix with maybe a flip back to snow at the end. If it verified a little colder aloft, those higher totals that the models are spitting are very well might verify. 

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These are the zones that are still wildcards

MEZ018>022-NHZ007>010-230200-
/O.CON.KGYX.WS.A.0007.240323T0400Z-240324T0900Z/
Interior York-Central Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-
Interior Waldo-Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-Strafford-
Including the cities of Windsor, Hooksett, Durham, Charlestown,
Augusta, Goshen, Claremont, Newport, Jackson, Liberty, Dunbarton,
Meredith, Livermore Falls, Gray, Dover, China, Laconia,
Montville, Cornish, Waterville, Madbury, Wales, Palermo, Knox,
Hollis, Berwick, New Gloucester, Gilford, Lebanon, Grantham,
Barrington, Concord, Rochester, Rollinsford, Limington,
Canterbury, Brooks, Gorham, Sanford, Vassalboro, Goodwins Mills,
Winterport, Lempster, Loudon, Turner, Lewiston, Morrill, Auburn,
Croydon, Sidney, Buxton, Sabattus, Minot, Boscawen, Greene,
Unity, Alfred, Somersworth, North Windham, and Waldo
958 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2024

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
accumulations greater than 6 inches, sleet accumulations up to one
quarter of an inch, and ice accumulations up to one quarter inch
possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest Maine and central New Hampshire.

* WHEN...From late tonight through late Saturday night.

* IMPACTS...Periods of moderate and heavy snow will combine with low
visibility to create dangerous driving conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

&&

$$

ARNOTT

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6 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

Brian,  give me a guess for my area?  Clown maps are crazy but showing 20" of snow but I think they are including sleet.  8-12" or would you go higher?  I have not been on the forum much..   

I’d plan for about 10” with a period of IP in there. Mid levels start warming and we know how that goes with ratios. The nose is around H85 instead of the usual H75-H8 SWFE, but the best lift is still a bit below the DGZ. 

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

That srn VT to Brian-Gene area is a wild card. 

Scott,  as you know I'm no Met and many of you on here know much more than me.  I am pretty active in our 10,000 member Newfound Lake FB group.  Last year every once in a while I would make a weather post or a forecast.  People started latching on and now I'm very well known locally.  WMUR Mets are good but they tailor their forecasts to S NH in the big population centers.  Being 50 miles north and higher in elevation our local weather is  different.  Coming from Metro Boston where the coastal front setup or sea breeze was the biggest challenge up here it is elevation changes.  PF and Alex get upslope.  We don't.  Sometimes we get shadowed from the Whites just to our north and northeast. So I have been trying to figure things out on my own without mucking up the SNE forums.  

.  

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