Met1985 Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 4 hours ago, GCWarrior said: I’ll send some updates from Saddleback tomorrow and Sunday. Wind seems ok tomorrow. Sunday looks worse but they are pretty good at getting the t bar to kennebago going. Nice! I was looking at around Rangeley getting really hammered especially with there elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 NWS point and click forecast went from 5-9" to 8-16" here. Thinking closer to 8". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 18 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: NWS point and click forecast went from 5-9" to 8-16" here. Thinking closer to 8". I think those are all GFS generated… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 1 hour ago, tunafish said: As a resident of a dead end, I appreciate the reminder. Also on a dead end (a high-clearance vehicle May-November) and burned a couple of tanksful thru the 353 Husky on Dec 18, and another couple junking up the big basswood that I'd merely done enough to clear the road back then. Hey, LL Bean makes good stuff. My current winter boots are 20+ years old and have served me well in tromping thru the state's Public Lots thru 2020-21, deer hunting, snow-blowing, ice fishing et al. Don't let the yuppies that wear chamois shirts and Bean boots to the office keep you away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 HRRR looks a little more south. Not a surprise. A nice Kraft reach around for some in SNH/Nrn MA. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 I'll go 8-12" here, Will probably be on the high end of that scale, Looks like they cut back on zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We had a ZR event (almost half inch accretion) in srn CT in April 2016. So if you can maintain ageo flow and not have it rot at a calm 32F..you will get accretion. I could see low spots sort of rotting near 32, but up towards 1K and with exposure to the E and NE, drop a couple and get accretion. You'll want a steady breeze basically. icing events in Acton growing up were always neighborhood chimney smoke drifting S. it's a bit of nostalgia to smell that with the smell of accreting ice air. Lamps glowing through windows, while the sound of timber straining around the trees. but that's where it ends for me. When the lamps turn off ... I'd rather it not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 The 18z HRRR is colder then the 12z run, Pretty bullish, A couple more tics south again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 I’m starting to think I see some snow in Greenfield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: The 18z HRRR is colder then the 12z run, Pretty bullish, A couple more tics south again. It looks from that animation that it's not colder thermodynamic -wise but is output colder due to the event being slightly earlier. The whole thing is sped up. You can see because the event exits the western half of the domain earlier. If the system speeds up, it can avail of what cold air there is more proficiently. The sensible result is colder but the why-for isn't precisely colder in the physics. interesting.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: The 18z HRRR is colder then the 12z run, Pretty bullish, A couple more tics south again. Mid-levels cooling at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: It looks from that animation that it's not colder thermodynamic -wise but is output colder due to being earlier. The whole thing is sped up. You can see because the event exist the western half of the domain earlier. If the system speeds up, it can avail of what cold air there is more proficiently. The sensible result is colder but the why-for is precisely colder in the physics. interesting.. Dews here are right at 0°F today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 H7 looks a bit better since last night, maybe some decent snow into N MA on the back-end if that continues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Dews here are right at 0°F today. Yeah ...I know, it's been head scratching why the models overcome the hygroscopic cooling in the BL so easily given the low travels S of ORH? least last check... maybe that's changed. But this has "tuck" written on to me - it's going to be interesting to see if a 950 mb backward jet gets going and over SE NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 Nam still is warm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 A bit torched aloft still, I wouldn't discount it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 7 minutes ago, tunafish said: Mid-levels cooling at all? Not really. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: The 18z HRRR is colder then the 12z run, Pretty bullish, A couple more tics south again. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 20 minutes ago, dryslot said: The 18z HRRR is colder then the 12z run, Pretty bullish, A couple more tics south again. Every model stealing my snow now . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 Just now, powderfreak said: Every model stealing my snow now . They have stole all mine since 02/16. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: A bit torched aloft still, I wouldn't discount it. I never discount the NAM mid-level furnace surge. Somebody is getting a lot of sleet with this storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I never discount the NAM mid-level furnace surge. Somebody is getting a lot of sleet with this storm. I should take bets on how long i can keep this upright tomorrow.......... 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I never discount the NAM mid-level furnace surge. Somebody is getting a lot of sleet with this storm. Zr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Zr I am still quite skeptical but I’m not an idiot, I’m going out and getting a couple of gallons of gas for the generator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: I am still quite skeptical but I’m not an idiot, I’m going out and getting a couple of gallons of gas for the generator. Profile up there is more zr than sleet . Sleet should be farther north . That cold will be tough to scour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: A bit torched aloft still, I wouldn't discount it. and I don't. I think it's okay aloft but would not be surprised if colder holds tough in the lowest layers near the ground. I could see the top of Monadcock Mt 37F while 29 down near the reception lodge at max before the whole thing collapses SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: I should take bets on how long i can keep this upright tomorrow.......... Still have the wreckage of mine in the backyard. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 2 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Still have the wreckage of mine in the backyard. God is that ugly, I’m just gonna camp out in mine put a heater in there lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 I don't think I saw a DP air mass this thermodynamically cold in the preceding winter months. ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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