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Central Pa. Spring 2024


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I have been warned about the perils of freezing.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
153 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

PAZ004-005-010-011-017>019-045-046-049>053-251200-
/O.UPG.KCTP.FZ.A.0002.240425T0600Z-240425T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KCTP.FZ.W.0002.240425T0600Z-240425T1200Z/
Warren-McKean-Elk-Cameron-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Southern Centre-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-
Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, St. Marys, Ridgway,
Emporium, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, State College,
Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville,
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
153 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures of 25 to 30 degrees expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will threaten crops,
other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected
outdoor plumbing.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take protective measures now as freezing temperatures could
damage or kill tender plants and vegetation. Potted plants should
be brought inside.

The latest forecast information can be found on the
NWS State College Facebook page and Twitter @NWSStateCollege,
or on the web at weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$


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21 minutes ago, Atomixwx said:

I have been warned about the perils of freezing.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
153 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

PAZ004-005-010-011-017>019-045-046-049>053-251200-
/O.UPG.KCTP.FZ.A.0002.240425T0600Z-240425T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KCTP.FZ.W.0002.240425T0600Z-240425T1200Z/
Warren-McKean-Elk-Cameron-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Southern Centre-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-
Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, St. Marys, Ridgway,
Emporium, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, State College,
Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville,
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
153 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures of 25 to 30 degrees expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 2 AM to 8 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will threaten crops,
other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected
outdoor plumbing.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take protective measures now as freezing temperatures could
damage or kill tender plants and vegetation. Potted plants should
be brought inside.

The latest forecast information can be found on the
NWS State College Facebook page and Twitter @NWSStateCollege,
or on the web at weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$


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image.thumb.png.19620a11e526237d9f1ca3c5ff19a838.png

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Check it out this weekwnd for my parents near the TX/LA border. Signals for bad tornadoes there. 
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=ICT&issuedby=ICT&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

Saturday has the potential to bring significant severe weather
to the area. Of course there is plenty of time for the forecast
to change and there does remain some degree of uncertainty
particularly in storm mode. A sfc low in the vicinity of SW KS
is progged to deepen and move east/northeast potentially around
central/south central KS by peak heating. Moderate to strong
instability (2500-4000 J/kg) will combine with strong flow
(60kts+ bulks shear), nicely curved hodographs/strong LL SRH,
and strong 3CAPE (200j/kg). Any storm that can remain discrete
or even semi-discrete in this type of environment will pose
significant hazards from strong to potentially violent
tornadoes, large to very large (2-3+ inch) hail, and damaging
wind gusts.

APRIL 27th.

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47 minutes ago, Atomixwx said:

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=ICT&issuedby=ICT&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

Saturday has the potential to bring significant severe weather
to the area. Of course there is plenty of time for the forecast
to change and there does remain some degree of uncertainty
particularly in storm mode. A sfc low in the vicinity of SW KS
is progged to deepen and move east/northeast potentially around
central/south central KS by peak heating. Moderate to strong
instability (2500-4000 J/kg) will combine with strong flow
(60kts+ bulks shear), nicely curved hodographs/strong LL SRH,
and strong 3CAPE (200j/kg). Any storm that can remain discrete
or even semi-discrete in this type of environment will pose
significant hazards from strong to potentially violent
tornadoes, large to very large (2-3+ inch) hail, and damaging
wind gusts.

APRIL 27th.

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It’s been a very very quiet severe season - instability with high clouds every time CAPE gets a chance to happen. We’ll see.  

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Winter Storm Watch


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
145 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

MTZ327-329-330-251045-
/O.NEW.KTFX.WS.A.0011.240426T1200Z-240428T1200Z/
Northwest Beaverhead County-Ruby Mountains and Southern
Beaverhead Mountains-Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and
Centennial Mountains-
Including the following locations: Wise River, Raynolds Pass, Big
Hole Pass, West Yellowstone, Wisdom, Dewey, Big Sky, Targhee
Pass, Monida Pass, and Chief Joseph Pass
145 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT ABOVE 7000 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible above 7000 feet. Total snow
  accumulations up to 3 inches below 7000 feet, with over 12 inches
  possible above 7000 feet.

* WHERE...The Mountains of Southwestern Montana south of Interstate
  90.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through late Saturday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible and tire
  chains may be required for some vehicles. Those in the backcountry
  should ensure they have appropriate knowledge and gear and may
  want to consider alternate plans.
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Just now, Blizzard of 93 said:

Winter Storm Watch


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
145 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

MTZ327-329-330-251045-
/O.NEW.KTFX.WS.A.0011.240426T1200Z-240428T1200Z/
Northwest Beaverhead County-Ruby Mountains and Southern
Beaverhead Mountains-Gallatin and Madison County Mountains and
Centennial Mountains-
Including the following locations: Wise River, Raynolds Pass, Big
Hole Pass, West Yellowstone, Wisdom, Dewey, Big Sky, Targhee
Pass, Monida Pass, and Chief Joseph Pass
145 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT ABOVE 7000 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible above 7000 feet. Total snow
  accumulations up to 3 inches below 7000 feet, with over 12 inches
  possible above 7000 feet.

* WHERE...The Mountains of Southwestern Montana south of Interstate
  90.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through late Saturday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible and tire
  chains may be required for some vehicles. Those in the backcountry
  should ensure they have appropriate knowledge and gear and may
  want to consider alternate plans.

It’s still snowing near Yellowstone.

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University of Pennsylvania predicts 33 named storms this year. That's quite bold

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Seven of them hitting Havre de Grace as cat fives.

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It is a decent area to chase in

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Oh absolutely. And it's not Dixie Alley so you don't have mountains and rain-wrapped shit so you'll get some very photogenic twisters.

This could be a lot of farm life's 9/11.

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19 hours ago, Jns2183 said:

University of Pennsylvania predicts 33 named storms this year. That's quite bold

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I thought maybe this was a joke or you meant Penn State. But I looked it up and found free Washington Post article all about the Penn team.

"The new forecast, issued Wednesday, calls for a range of 27 to 39 named storms, with a best guess of 33. The most on record was 30 named storms in 2020." 

North Atlantic ocean temps have hit highs for the past 419 days. This is shown in great chart in article using top solid black line for 2024 and orange line below that for 2023. It is impossible for me not to think I and others here am going to get something we won't like out of the predicted very high land and ocean heat this summer. Not nearly as bad as Sandy when I lived (second floor thank God) a brief walk from Hudson River & NYC Harbor in downtown Jersey City but something. I didn't expect to feel that way when I moved back to Williamsport in 2015.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/other/forecast-group-predicts-busiest-hurricane-season-on-record-with-33-storms/ar-AA1nBEbz

 

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I thought maybe this was a joke or you meant Penn State. But I looked it up and found free Washington Post article all about the Penn team.
"The new forecast, issued Wednesday, calls for a range of 27 to 39 named storms, with a best guess of 33. The most on record was 30 named storms in 2020." 
North Atlantic ocean temps have hit highs for the past 419 days. This is shown in great chart in article using top solid black line for 2024 and orange line below that for 2023. It is impossible for me not to think I and others here am going to get something we won't like out of the predicted very high land and ocean heat this summer. Not nearly as bad as Sandy when I lived (second floor thank God) a brief walk from Hudson River & NYC Harbor in downtown Jersey City but something. I didn't expect to feel that way when I moved back to Williamsport in 2015.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/other/forecast-group-predicts-busiest-hurricane-season-on-record-with-33-storms/ar-AA1nBEbz
 
Sandy wasn't bad out here at all. Anything that is going to be bad wind wise is going to have to be a cat 4 hurricane flying through the Carolinas or into the tidewater at 40 to 50 mph. Would really haven't had that happen since hurricane Carol back in the 1950s

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