Cyclonicjunkie Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 At my brothers house for Christmas here near the Smokies (Blount Co) TN, and snow has begun to fall Moderate to Heavily, expecting around 6+ inches here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm starting to optimistically think that a large portion of WNC is going to get buried with this thing: Latest RUC at 6hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 GSP being very cautious along the I-85 corridor. from Greenville to Spartanburg to Gaffney it appears they are calling for total storm accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. I'll take it but based on the most recent model runs, seems to be a little ont he low side. Maybe they are factoring in P type issues or anticipating some dry slotting. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclonicjunkie Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm starting to optimistically think that a large portion of WNC is going to get buried with this thing: Latest RUC at 6hrs Western NC is going to be Sweet spot with this system and a I fully expect a General Foot there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas to all my se friends !!! Enjoy your white Christmas NWS -- ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SUNDAY... .TODAY...SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE AROUND 30. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS... BECOMING NORTH AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT. So they say- 2-6 I think we def have a shot at 6-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSC Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Merry Christmas everyone! Looks like a good snowstorm for most! Can someone give me the lowdown for SC coast please (North Myrtle Beach). Is this looking like a 1989 storm for us or is it too close to the coast and too warm for lots of snow. I know I will see snow, just looking for insight. Thanks in advance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
socar2001 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 anyone know where the local forecasts on the weather channel comes from? i am in northeast sc and the nws is calling for 1-3 inches while the weather channel local forecast is calling for 4-6 inches! why the huge difference? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Haha yea, I woke up this morning and saw that and went, LITERALLY, 'YEA!' I'm such a weenie, haha. I figured GSP had to come around at some point, it was pretty clear last night at 2am when I went to bed that this thing was turning into a memorable storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 MERRY CHRISTMAS! I can't believe we're in a winter storm warning and are going to see snow on Christmas. How things have changed! And if that system goes just a tad west, we are really going to get thumped here. I am sitting right at US1, so I think I am in a great spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Not sure I am buying into the NAM with with its low track east than the GFS and SREF. There appears to be some vort max spin up off the coast that the low shifts towards too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 25, 2010 Author Share Posted December 25, 2010 The nam isn't bombing the system very far south, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 This just looks beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 MERRY CHRISTMAS! I can't believe we're in a winter storm warning and are going to see snow on Christmas. How things have changed! And if that system goes just a tad west, we are really going to get thumped here. I am sitting right at US1, so I think I am in a great spot. same to you. i cant believe it either, and imagine that most of us cant radar shows some heavier echos here soon, but i am getting impatient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The NAM just murders the foothills of NC/SC!!! Goodluck everybody! It looks to me like even coastal section SC are gonna get a hard hit from this storm as it pulls up the coast. I wouldn't be surprised of charleston sees a few inches on the back side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Still waiting for some heavy returns. the lasy little batch has some ip mixed in. Need some heavy returns .. GSP being very cautious along the I-85 corridor. from Greenville to Spartanburg to Gaffney it appears they are calling for total storm accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. I'll take it but based on the most recent model runs, seems to be a little ont he low side. Maybe they are factoring in P type issues or anticipating some dry slotting. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 GSP being very cautious along the I-85 corridor. from Greenville to Spartanburg to Gaffney it appears they are calling for total storm accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. I'll take it but based on the most recent model runs, seems to be a little ont he low side. Maybe they are factoring in P type issues or anticipating some dry slotting. We'll see. Only thing I'm a little worried about is that if snow holds off until this afternoon, then we may have mixing issues as boundary layer temps may be a tad too warm. Temperature right now has risen to 36.6 but my wetbulb is hanging right around the 32 degree mark so right now I think we are still ok but if we are 39 or 40 degrees when precip starts then don't be too surprised to see a few raindrops mixed with the snow at first. Even so as cold as it will be aloft temps should quickly fall to freezing or a little below once heavier precipitation commences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Not sure I am buying into the NAM with with its low track east than the GFS and SREF. There appears to be some vort max spin up off the coast that the low shifts towards too. Yea I was wondering about that. Figured it's time to not worry about the models though, mother nature is going to do what she wants to do at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Yea I feel you, things can go to crap in a heart beat. Gotta see where that low goes once it hits FL, hopefully one of us won't be caught holding the bag. Looks like the dreaded triangle is putting up a good fight. Notice on the radar how it shows the green slot of rain (although nothing is hitting the ground) that looks like the point of a triangle? Thats our areas, even back to Roberts hizzle. After the past few years...I am skittish about this until the snow gets started. Radar looking GREAT THOUGH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Luckily my kids are older and not here! They'll be here later though, I have to take advantage of my time while I have it right now! It appears to me that this storm has started to take on a negative tilt.... getting good. I was thinking the same thing. It's going negative by the minute. Radar returns are looking PURTY, too: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Not sure I am buying into the NAM with with its low track east than the GFS and SREF. There appears to be some vort max spin up off the coast that the low shifts towards too. easily influenced by upstream vort maxes. this low will be stronger and closer tot he coast line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 12 hr accum precip from RUC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 anyone know where the local forecasts on the weather channel comes from? i am in northeast sc and the nws is calling for 1-3 inches while the weather channel local forecast is calling for 4-6 inches! why the huge difference? It will be changing quickly throughout the day. If this thing does what it's suppose to do, the radar ought to explode this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 You can now see the Winter Storm watch in north Alabama Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Latest RUC places SLP over Savannah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I have to admit the weenie in me was worried when the nam cut my qpf in half at 6z...however it's back to more than it spit out at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 On the SV snow map for the 12z NAM all of NC and SC is in 4-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Where the heck is FFC!? I have been feeling good about there performance all week until now! Its obvious if they would bother to check on NW GA at any point we already have 1-2 on the ground. Looking out the window at this heavy wet snow that is pouring down and looking at radar and then model data one would see why HSV and MRX both issued WSW for there counties why FFC continues to always be the slow office in anything this way is beyond me..Rant Off Merry Christmas! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 On the SV snow map for the 12z NAM all of NC and SC is in 4-8 I've got .58 on the NAM this run...with the 12:1 ratios that GSP mentioned, thats right around 7". sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I've got .58 on the NAM this run...with the 12:1 ratios that GSP mentioned, thats right around 7". sweet. Looking at radar hard not to believe this storm might over perform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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