wxdude64 Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 11 hours ago, RVAman said: The clocks have moved forward. Nearly 80 on Friday. I'll get everyone a shot at the local Applebees if it snows. Are you talking about sitting down, enjoying a gourmet meal.... at a place that's REAL special?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 Coldest now appears to be around last few days of march into first ten days of April, a bit late in season for snow but not impossible. The march 19-21 window seems to be closing for now, could re-open, flow appears too flat to generate coastal low but 23-24 now opens up, so far GFS is inland but looks like snow for w PA and upstate NY. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 Dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 1 hour ago, North Balti Zen said: Dude. It's OVERRRRRR 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 1 hour ago, RVAman said: It's OVERRRRRR For you, certainly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 Either the storm died or Ji and Will have. Not sure at this time which. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVAman Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: For you, certainly Not sure if that's supposed to be a dig, but it's over for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 1 minute ago, RVAman said: Not sure if that's supposed to be a dig, but it's over for everyone. It’s not a dig. It’s reality. Winter ends far sooner in Richmond than it does here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 But the euro p15 shows two feet of snow from Richmond to York! This storm will need a whole new chapter in the KU book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 Not over yet.....WB Day 12 or so both GFS and EURO have a storm and "Barney" purple cold is around. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 LOL. Now we are.......two weeks away! And out to March 26!! If we just keep going long enough, we can get back to December! 3 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 4 minutes ago, osfan24 said: LOL. Now we are.......two weeks away! And out to March 26!! If we just keep going long enough, we can get back to December! That’s not wrong 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 Utter crap continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 Models that can't get 180 hours right in February will 100% be accurate at 306 and definitely snow on March 26. LFG 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 15 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Models that can't get 180 hours right in February will 100% be accurate at 306 and definitely snow on March 26. LFG As far as snow , models have about a 25% accuracy this winter. when you and I started in early 2000’s they were about 70% accurate on snow calls. Then they tried to become more complicated and turn into microscopes rather than a broader based binoculars and since about 2011 they have been 50/50 with a recent decrease in that over last 3 years. They do great for wind events because they don’t start hyping it 2 weeks in advance in an attempt to accomplish what they can’t. Winter weather models could try that approach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 WB 12Z GEFS; full disclosure EPS stinks. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 13 Author Share Posted March 13 EPS had some massive hitters at 00z---gone at 12z. this hobby sucks ass 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 10 minutes ago, Ji said: EPS had some massive hitters at 00z---gone at 12z. this hobby sucks ass Yes, having a hobby with a singular desired outcome that you have no control over and is a rare occurrence is pretty sucky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 Let's see if the AI at 12Z shows anything. Don't think it is out yet. 2 hour train rides home from work go faster when I spend time looking at model runs. Miss it during the nonwinter/ nonhurricane months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 The 18z gfs provided a friendly reminder that it needs to be cold for it to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 Yes, having a hobby with a singular desired outcome that you have no control over and is a rare occurrence is pretty sucky. Chasing “storms” regardless of seasons, is funner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 16 minutes ago, 87storms said: The 18z gfs provided a friendly reminder that it needs to be cold for it to snow. Yeah good luck with the 'bring the precip and I will take my chances' mantra. That rarely works outside of the western highlands these days. Need a legit cold air mass in place, and sometimes a wave moving along a thermal boundary with Arctic air pressing can work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 20 hours ago, CAPE said: Yes, having a hobby with a singular desired outcome that you have no control over and is a rare occurrence is pretty sucky. Add to it inferior predictive “tools” and it’s game set match Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 On 3/13/2024 at 12:48 PM, Weather Will said: Not over yet.....WB Day 12 or so both GFS and EURO have a storm and "Barney" purple cold is around. March 1942 (Baltimore)... Temp anomaly was +2.8...Hit 76f on feast of St. Patrick.....22" of snow fell on 3/29/42. Same date also the lowest temp of the month at 33f. That's right, a 22" snowfall month in which the temp never fell to freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 23 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z GEFS; full disclosure EPS stinks. How we lookin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 Just now, stormtracker said: How we lookin? My WxBell subscription ran out today. Liberating 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 Which can’t miss event are we onto now. Jan 14 2025 looks locked in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 14 Share Posted March 14 29 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Which can’t miss event are we onto now. Jan 14 2025 looks locked in hasn't almost everyone in here been saying for weeks that it's over...not gonna snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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