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Winter 2024-2025 DISC


40/70 Benchmark
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  On 10/31/2024 at 8:29 PM, Go Kart Mozart said:

As for Marquette, I am wondering if the lake froze earlier/longer in the 60s, thus reducing snow totals.  That said, the numbers for 65 and 66 are a bit odd, to say the least.

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Hes an agenda troll. Marquette clearly has missing data from the 1960s, just as Toledo did in the graph he posted. The snowiest winter on record for the Keewenaw Peninsula in the U.P. (an even snowier local than MQT) is actually the very cold winter of 1978-79 with like 380". The freezing of Lake Superior is a different beast than that of the other Great Lakes. The 1960s were much colder winters than the mild 1950s, but the real cold winters decade was the 1970s. Marquettes snowfall is taken outside of the city in Negaunee, an area that is actually MUCH snowier than the city itself. very micro-climatey there. Not sure if those 1960s numbers werent in Negaunee but rather in the city itself, or if it was just missing data.

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  On 11/6/2024 at 6:13 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea. We can keep all the outdoor furniture in place while the snow equipment is locked in the shed. 

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I left the top of my gazebo on one year because were getting nothing and the future looked bleak, then we had a one snow changing to freezing rain event and the weight collapsed my gazebo.

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We are six days into the last month of climatological autumn. If November continues toasty, maybe December will start out that way, too. There is  no way to predict with any certainty what will happen from Dec 15 on, especially not as we move into deep winter.

All that said. Predicting 10" snow totals is doubly ridiculous. It might be the warmest winter ever, but all we need is a confluence of cold and precipitation and we could triple that amount in one big bang. We've done so in the recent past. So, maybe wait until mid January to light one's hair on fire?

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  On 11/6/2024 at 8:10 PM, DavisStraight said:

I left the top of my gazebo on one year because were getting nothing and the future looked bleak, then we had a one snow changing to freezing rain event and the weight collapsed my gazebo.

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been there, collapsed that. Left it out a week too long in December 2020. Canopy didn’t stand a chance with 20” of snow

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  On 11/12/2024 at 5:24 PM, CoastalWx said:

Maybe we get a window for a NNE or interior event before the MJO goes into warm phases for December. Hopefully circles around before Christmas.

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Yeah right now looks like maybe we can carry a workable pattern 11/22 til 12/5 or so as my hunch is the -NAO and the west ridge won't just snap off by 12/1 but probably 12/5-12/20 is going to be bad, how bad depends on the PDO.  If its -1.5 and not -3.5 something can sneak in if we assume Canada is not torched like last year.

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