40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 Early lead candidate for me is 1998-1999, which woud actually be a notable improvement over this past monstrosity. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 High Ace/+QBO strong La Nina rebounding off of a very strong El Nino in the midst over an overall hostile, +WPO predominate Pacific regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 Don't do it to yourself again... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 13 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Don't do it to yourself again... How is establishing an early baseline of the 1998-1999 winter setting up for dissapointment? The season was warm with below average snowfall... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: How is establishing an early baseline of the 1998-1999 winter setting up for dissapointment? The season was warm with below average snowfall... ..way to early to be discussing next winter... 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 21 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Don't do it to yourself again... 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: How is establishing an early baseline of the 1998-1999 winter setting up for dissapointment? The season was warm with below average snowfall... I pity the fool 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: ..way to early to be discussing next winter... Give us a date . Since you don't make forecasts maybe sit this thread out. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Give us a date . Since you don't make forecasts maybe sit this thread out. how about late in the summer /early fall?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 I salute you. Just beaten down year over year and back for more. Kudos. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: I salute you. Just beaten down year over year and back for more. Kudos. I have had some good years. Its one of those things that you just need to accept something short of mastery. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ..way to early to be discussing next winter... No get out of the thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: No get out of the thread. ...no lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 3 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ...no lol So you are interested. Hypocrite. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: So you are interested. Hypocrite. ...toss some more insults lol..doesn't bother me in the least bit lol..call me whatever you want to... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 I think one element I have largely neglected that needs to become a point of focus is the WPO. That is what killed me last year and this year when I was pretty accurate with everything else. It used to be the AO/NAO, but I have been decent there past few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: ...toss some more insults lol..doesn't bother me in the least bit lol..call me whatever you want to... Not an insult so much as a characterization. Do as you wish- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not an insult so much as a characterization. Do as you wish- ..gee thanks for granting your permission, it means so much to me!! lol 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think one element I have largely neglected that needs to become a point of focus is the WPO. That is what killed me this year. It used to be the AO/NAO, but I have been decent there past few years. Any good links to track the current and forecasted states of the WPO/EPO? Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 42 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ..gee thanks for granting your permission, it means so much to me!! lol Honestly, stay out of the thread if you aren’t going to contribute anything of substance and just continue to troll. I’ll help you out if you don’t want to do it voluntarily. 5 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 98-99 was horrid here. I can't remember anything notable but I'm sure we had a moderate event or two like this year but I do remember it being mostly warm from front to end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Honestly, stay out of the thread if you aren’t going to contribute anything of substance and just continue to troll. I’ll help you out if you don’t want to do it voluntarily. so saying it is best to wait to late summer or early fall is considered to be trolling??? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 51 minutes ago, sankaty said: Any good links to track the current and forecasted states of the WPO/EPO? Thanks! WPO: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/correlation/wp.data EPO: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/correlation/epo.data 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: WPO: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/correlation/wp.data EPO: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/correlation/epo.data Its obvious in the data that the Pacific let up a bit in January relative to December and February, which allowed for a portion of the region to cash in. I know some did in February, as well, but some sports got near 30" in January.....but that is more for another thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 29 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: 98-99 was horrid here. I can't remember anything notable but I'm sure we had a moderate event or two like this year but I do remember it being mostly warm from front to end Yea, defintely not a great year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 2 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: I salute you. Just beaten down year over year and back for more. Kudos. I sort of get it. I’m not good at golf, I topped out at a 13 handicap and last year I had a couple of injuries that set me back. But I enjoy it and it’s my release in summer. I know I’ll never be a single digit but it’s like a zen thing for me, it my meditation. Ray has mentioned similar feelings about his forecasting. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 3 minutes ago, mreaves said: I sort of get it. I’m not good at golf, I topped out at a 13 handicap and last year I had a couple of injuries that set me back. But I enjoy it and it’s my release in summer. I know I’ll never be a single digit but it’s like a zen thing for me, it my meditation. Ray has mentioned similar feelings about his forecasting. Golf is a great analogy, ha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 5 minutes ago, mreaves said: I sort of get it. I’m not good at golf, I topped out at a 13 handicap and last year I had a couple of injuries that set me back. But I enjoy it and it’s my release in summer. I know I’ll never be a single digit but it’s like a zen thing for me, it my meditation. Ray has mentioned similar feelings about his forecasting. Thing is no one is really good at it...sure, there are some that are better than I am, but its a work in progress for everyone. The mystique behind just how elusive skill in this capacity is coupled with an intense passion for snow makes it immensely alluring and difficult to resist. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think one element I have largely neglected that needs to become a point of focus is the WPO. That is what killed me last year and this year when I was pretty accurate with everything else. It used to be the AO/NAO, but I have been decent there past few years. I know most here consider Bastardi a clown but one thing he always talks about is how if the WPO is positive, any -EPO will be short lived. Only when they are negative in tandem is the -EPO sustainable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 5 Author Share Posted March 5 Just now, roardog said: I know most here consider Bastardi a clown but one thing he always talks about is how if the WPO is positive, any -EPO will be short lived. Only when they are negative in tandem is the -EPO sustainable. Kind of like the AO/NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 4 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: how about late in the summer /early fall?? The great thing about internet forums, like tv and radio channels you can scroll past, or change them. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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