Holston_River_Rambler Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 Beautiful fantasy storm on the 6z GFS: (unless you live in Kingsport or Halls) GFS has been trying to to create a strong storm around 16 - 19th for a few runs now. Heck, I'd just love to see a strong storm take that track, lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted March 6 Author Share Posted March 6 Is it possible for such a stout upper low to take this track when there is cold air nearby? No says I. Not since 1993. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 On 3/4/2024 at 6:21 AM, Holston_River_Rambler said: Beautiful fantasy storm on the 6z GFS: (unless you live in Kingsport or Halls) GFS has been trying to to create a strong storm around 16 - 19th for a few runs now. Heck, I'd just love to see a strong storm take that track, lol. Just pull that thing 50-100 miles further East. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 6 Share Posted March 6 Beautiful fantasy storm on the 6z GFS: (unless you live in Halls) . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 11 Share Posted March 11 Interesting… yesterday after church I started clearing out two landscaping beds. I’m redoing them and reshaping the beds itself. Underneath a Japanese Maple I’ve got some “big blue” which is basically miniature monkey grass that spreads together and makes a nice thick ground cover that gets purple blossoms in late summer. So I was transplanting that yesterday and ran across two white(ish) gray baby snakes alive and kicking hiding in the 6” grass. I’m not a snake expert by no means but this seems a little early in the season. Unfortunately one of them I chopped in half but the other I relocated to a creek that’s 150 yards away. Thoughts?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted March 22 Share Posted March 22 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 On 3/11/2024 at 8:32 AM, PowellVolz said: Interesting… yesterday after church I started clearing out two landscaping beds. I’m redoing them and reshaping the beds itself. Underneath a Japanese Maple I’ve got some “big blue” which is basically miniature monkey grass that spreads together and makes a nice thick ground cover that gets purple blossoms in late summer. So I was transplanting that yesterday and ran across two white(ish) gray baby snakes alive and kicking hiding in the 6” grass. I’m not a snake expert by no means but this seems a little early in the season. Unfortunately one of them I chopped in half but the other I relocated to a creek that’s 150 yards away. Thoughts? . Sounds like water snake. Although, could be black. Their is a small breed that old timers used to call a Thunderhead. It was either black or gray with a white ring around the Neck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 4 hours ago, Daniel Boone said: Sounds like water snake. Although, could be black. Their is a small breed that old timers used to call a Thunderhead. It was either black or gray with a white ring around the Neck. Gray Ratsnakes are pretty common in Tn 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted March 26 Share Posted March 26 Vols are still in it! Sweet 16. One of my brackets is doing well, but it requires Tennessee to the Final Four. The others are bust. In other news, the Central/West and Ohio Valley both lack total eclipse threads for April 8. What a pity! New England has a thread, but I sure hope it's clear much closer. We had a thread going two years before August 2017. Who started it? Thank you! Search is acting up now. Tennessee Valley remains the best Region! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowellVolz Posted March 27 Share Posted March 27 Vols are still in it! Sweet 16. One of my brackets is doing well, but it requires Tennessee to the Final Four. The others are bust. In other news, the Central/West and Ohio Valley both lack total eclipse threads for April 8. What a pity! New England has a thread, but I sure hope it's clear much closer. We had a thread going two years before August 2017. Who started it? Thank you! Search is acting up now. Tennessee Valley remains the best Region!Not because I’m a fan but I think Tennessee is a terrible matchup for Creighton. Won’t be the first time I’m wrong but what Tenn does well on offense and defense is not what Creighton wants to see. That being said, Tenn can’t shoot as bad as they have the last several games and win. Below 40% in 4 of the last 5 will not beat Creighton. One thing that give me hope is the Texas game was our crap the bed game we have lost every tournament but this time we were good enough to win. Creighton plays solid team defense but everyone of their losses, the other team had a player they couldn’t guard one on one. Creighton is gonna have a hard time with DK. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Good luck to the Vols today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Still top analog is Mid April 1998 by the NAM 12z today,Disco from Nahshville LONG TERM... (Monday Night through next Sunday) Issued at 1106 AM CDT Sun Mar 31 2024 The main concern in the extended forecast continues to be on Tuesday with the expectation of some severe storms. A wave of energy within a larger positively-tilted, broad trough will eject out of the SW CONUS on Monday with a surface low developing in response. The surface low will move from the Ozarks into the Midwest and deepen as Tuesday progresses. Storms could be ongoing early Tuesday morning to our north and west. A couple of the CAMS including the HRRR have some activity leaking into our northwest around dawn. There could be enough instability in place where a severe storm cannot be ruled out. The main show continues to appear to be in the afternoon ahead of the cold front. Models continue to show surface CAPE values between 500 to close to 900 J/kg during the afternoon. Models are suggesting storms will develop ahead of the front over the western third of the CWA and move eastward as the afternoon and evening progresses. 0-500mb bulk shear will be ample to support organized updrafts with values greater than 60 kts. 0-1 km SRH values could be between 200-250 m2/s2 over the eastern half of the area Tuesday afternoon. Storm modes may be a mix bag of clusters, supercells, or line segments. Given all of that damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes all look possible. The severe storm window should end between 00z and 03z Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Tennessee could have beaten Purdue. All those 12-15 FT jumpers for 2 points were just awful shots with low expected value. And lots of time on the shot clock to boot. Yeah try a 3 if open. Otherwise go inside and get fouled. I'm pissed. Though a Kansas guy, I've gotten attached to Tennessee basketball. Still a great season for the Vols! Congratulations to Alabama first Final Four in school history! Fans just have fun and soak it in. UConn is a tough assignment. Players should not fear UConn. Fans manage expectations and enjoy it. That's easier said than done though. Wichita St. 2013. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 3 hours ago, nrgjeff said: Tennessee could have beaten Purdue. All those 12-15 FT jumpers for 2 points were just awful shots with low expected value. And lots of time on the shot clock to boot. Yeah try a 3 if open. Otherwise go inside and get fouled. I'm pissed. Though a Kansas guy, I've gotten attached to Tennessee basketball. Still a great season for the Vols! Congratulations to Alabama first Final Four in school history! Fans just have fun and soak it in. UConn is a tough assignment. Players should not fear UConn. Fans manage expectations and enjoy it. That's easier said than done though. Wichita St. 2013. As a BAMA fan. I am just happy to experience happiness in March/April Madness!!! lol! I don’t see us beating UConn but stranger things have happened. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted April 18 Share Posted April 18 A few lightning bugs out tonight, after having to kick a snake out of my house today. Probably the earliest I've seen lightning bugs in my memory. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted April 18 Share Posted April 18 We really need to get some more soaking rains. It’s drying out quickly with these winds & warmer temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Something new to be hopeful for. Sky conditions will be excellent. Whether anything shows up this far south is a different matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Roughly a 5 inch rainfall week this week, I gambled and planted tomatoes early hoping we would avoid a late frost, seems to have paid off. Looks like a rainy next week as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted May 12 Share Posted May 12 My eclipse and aurora season is going much better than my storm chasing. Aurora pix pending transfer from DSLR. For now, this lovely stat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted May 27 Share Posted May 27 Check this out from Meade's quarry in Knoxville. Crazy. https://x.com/RickD865Vol/status/1794803131500380231 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 21 Share Posted August 21 If anyone is interested in joining the annual NFL pick-em the info is up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted August 27 Share Posted August 27 It is about football time. The golden rod is about to bloom. My Jerusalem artichokes are blooming. The sycamores are shedding their leaves. Get the next 3-4 days out of the way, and it is going to feel like fall. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted September 13 Author Share Posted September 13 Hope everyone had a good summer! Occasional cold fronts and football have prodded me out of my AMWx estivation. Here are some sky photos from my annual May trip to the SW: Mts above Flagstaff, AZ: AM snow over the Grand Canyon: PM storms over the grand canyon: The aurora from Mather campground: fun sunrise clouds over southern Utah: distant virga storm as seen from around 11,000 feet near Brian head in Utah: first time I've seen differential heating storms growing with a foot plus of snow on the ground (also Brian Head): Kodachrome basin sky: Golden hour over the La Sal mts near Moab, UT: same spot but at night with fullish moon and an iphone: late May snow over Silverton, CO: occasionally tornadic storm in Oklahoma near Lake Eufaula: 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 Nice @Holston_River_Rambler looks like an impressive trip! Bonus Aurora in the Southwest, ha. Lots of stars at night. You drove the Million Dollar Highway? No guard rails it's white knuckles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted September 17 Author Share Posted September 17 16 hours ago, nrgjeff said: You drove the Million Dollar Highway? No guard rails it's white knuckles. We did. First time for me. What an amazing drive! Started snowing around Silverton and it was 29 with a nice dusting above Ouray. We were worried we might have to drive 8 hours back to Durango via Grand Junction and Moab, lol. There was a persistent snow band on that pass and while the students we take on the trip were relaxing in the hot springs, I was frantically checking the satellite since there was some clearing over SW Utah. At 5PM we attempted the pass. The snow had stopped but the roads were wet and it was in the upper 20s above 10000'. There were motorcycles and a semi that we met near the top of the pass, so that gave us some confidence. Made it back to Durango by 7! Here is a pic coming down into Ouray for those who haven't seen this drive: Luckily it was foggy and we couldn't see the 1000' drop off to the left. If any of y'all ever have the chance to do that drive and go to the Ouray Hot springs, I highly recommend! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Holston_River_Rambler Posted September 18 Author Share Posted September 18 GOES 19: https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/news/noaa-debuts-first-imagery-goes-19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted November 17 Share Posted November 17 Is it me, or is the new 360 hour euro coming a little earlier/faster than the older version? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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